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We consider the problem of constructing bounds on the average treatment effect (ATE) when unmeasured confounders exist but have bounded influence. Specifically, we assume that omitted confounders could not change the odds of treatment for…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-25 Jacob Dorn , Kevin Guo , Nathan Kallus

Robust estimation under Huber's $\epsilon$-contamination model has become an important topic in statistics and theoretical computer science. Statistically optimal procedures such as Tukey's median and other estimators based on depth…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-02-27 Chao Gao , Jiyi Liu , Yuan Yao , Weizhi Zhu

This paper is based on our personal notes for the short course we gave on January 5, 2017 at Institut Henri Poincar\'e, after an invitation of the SFdS. Our purpose is to give an overview of the method of $\rho$-estimation and of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-07-04 Yannick Baraud , Lucien Birgé

We propose an adversarial evaluation framework for sensitive feature inference based on minimum mean-squared error (MMSE) estimation with a finite sample size and linear predictive models. Our approach establishes theoretical lower bounds…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-15 Monica Welfert , Nathan Stromberg , Mario Diaz , Lalitha Sankar

This paper addresses the following simple question about sparsity. For the estimation of an $n$-dimensional mean vector $\boldsymbol{\theta}$ in the Gaussian sequence model, is it possible to find an adaptive optimal threshold estimator in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-12-31 Wenhua Jiang , Cun-Hui Zhang

We prove lower bounds on the error of any estimator for the mean of a real probability distribution under the knowledge that the distribution belongs to a given set. We apply these lower bounds both to parametric and nonparametric…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-03-05 Rémy Degenne , Timothée Mathieu

Beta regression models are employed to model continuous response variables in the unit interval, like rates, percentages, or proportions. Their applications rise in several areas, such as medicine, environment research, finance, and natural…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-15 Yuri S. Maluf , Silvia L. P. Ferrari , Francisco F. Queiroz

Many standard estimators such as several maximum likelihood estimators or the empirical estimator for any law-invariant convex risk measure are not (qualitatively) robust in the classical sense. However, these estimators may nevertheless…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-06-21 Volker Krätschmer , Alexander Schied , Henryk Zähle

We study the distribution of hard-, soft-, and adaptive soft-thresholding estimators within a linear regression model where the number of parameters k can depend on sample size n and may diverge with n. In addition to the case of known…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-01-04 Benedikt M. Pötscher , Ulrike Schneider

We study a class of robust mean estimators $\widehat{\mu}$ obtained by adaptively shrinking the weights of sample points far from a base estimator $\widehat{\kappa}$. Given a data-dependent scaling factor $\widehat{\alpha}$ and a weighting…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-17 Antônio Catão , Lucas Resende , Paulo Orenstein

Robust estimation of a mean vector, a topic regarded as obsolete in the traditional robust statistics community, has recently surged in machine learning literature in the last decade. The latest focus is on the sub-Gaussian performance and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-02-22 Yijun Zuo

We develop a novel computationally efficient and general framework for robust hypothesis testing. The new framework features a new way to construct uncertainty sets under the null and the alternative distributions, which are sets centered…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-05-29 Rui Gao , Liyan Xie , Yao Xie , Huan Xu

Robust estimation has played an important role in statistical and machine learning. However, its applications to functional linear regression are still under-developed. In this paper, we focus on Huber's loss with a diverging robustness…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-09-18 Ling Peng , Xiaohui Liu , Heng Lian

We present an argument based on the multidimensional and the uniform central limit theorems, proving that, under some geometrical assumptions between the target function $T$ and the learning class $F$, the excess risk of the empirical risk…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-02-25 Guillaume Lecué , Shahar Mendelson

Linear inverse problems are ubiquitous. Often the measurements do not follow a Gaussian distribution. Additionally, a model matrix with a large condition number can complicate the problem further by making it ill-posed. In this case, the…

Suppose $\widehat\theta_n$ is a strongly consistent estimator for $\theta_0$ in some i.i.d. situation. Let $N_\varepsilon$ and $Q_\varepsilon$ be respectively the last $n$ and the total number of $n$ for which $\widehat\theta_n$ is at least…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-11 Nils Lid Hjort , Grete Fenstad

Algorithmic stability is a classical approach to understanding and analysis of the generalization error of learning algorithms. A notable weakness of most stability-based generalization bounds is that they hold only in expectation.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-25 Vitaly Feldman , Jan Vondrak

We study the problem of robustly estimating the mean or location parameter without moment assumptions. We show that for a large class of symmetric distributions, the same error as in the Gaussian setting can be achieved efficiently. The…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2023-11-09 Gleb Novikov , David Steurer , Stefan Tiegel

The best subset selection (or "best subsets") estimator is a classic tool for sparse regression, and developments in mathematical optimization over the past decade have made it more computationally tractable than ever. Notwithstanding its…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-11 Ryan Thompson

We present novel bounds for estimating discrete probability distributions under the $\ell_\infty$ norm. These are nearly optimal in various precise senses, including a kind of instance-optimality. Our data-dependent convergence guarantees…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-02-14 Aryeh Kontorovich , Amichai Painsky