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Improved Concentration for Mean Estimators via Shrinkage

Statistics Theory 2025-12-17 v2 Statistics Theory

Abstract

We study a class of robust mean estimators μ^\widehat{\mu} obtained by adaptively shrinking the weights of sample points far from a base estimator κ^\widehat{\kappa}. Given a data-dependent scaling factor α^\widehat{\alpha} and a weighting function w:[0,)[0,1]w:[0, \infty) \to [0,1], we let μ^=κ^+1ni=1n(Xiκ^)w(α^Xiκ^)\widehat{\mu} = \widehat{\kappa} + \frac{1}{n}\sum_{i=1}^n(X_i - \widehat{\kappa})w(\widehat{\alpha}|X_i-\widehat{\kappa}|) . We prove that, under mild assumptions over ww, these estimators achieve stronger concentration bounds than the base estimate κ^\widehat{\kappa}, including sub-Gaussian guarantees. This framework unifies and extends several existing approaches to robust mean estimation in R\mathbb{R}. Through numerical experiments, we show that our shrinking approach translates to faster concentration, even for small sample sizes.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2512.12750,
  title  = {Improved Concentration for Mean Estimators via Shrinkage},
  author = {Antônio Catão and Lucas Resende and Paulo Orenstein},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2512.12750},
  year   = {2025}
}

Comments

26 pages, 3 figures

R2 v1 2026-07-01T08:24:07.824Z