English
Related papers

Related papers: Bitcoin's Power Law: Weak Structure, Strong Foreca…

200 papers

Historically, gold and silver have played distinct roles in traditional monetary systems. While gold has primarily been revered as a superior store of value, prompting individuals to hoard it, silver has commonly been used as a medium of…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-08-11 Haoyang Yu , Yutong Sun , Yulin Liu , Luyao Zhang

The value of proof-of-work cryptocurrencies critically depends on miners having incentives to follow the protocol. However, the Bitcoin mining protocol proposed by Nakamoto (2008) and implemented in practice is well known not to constitute…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2026-04-08 Manuel Mueller-Frank , Minghao Pan , Omer Tamuz

Renewed public attention on the identity of Bitcoin's pseudonymous creator has sharpened focus on the Satoshi overhang, commonly framed as a tail risk for bitcoin. This paper argues that the mechanical downside of a disposition is bounded…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-01 Karl T. Ulrich

We study the fundamental differences that separate: Litecoin; Bitcoin Gold; Bitcoin Cash; Ethereum; and Zcash from Bitcoin, and draw analysis to how these features are appreciated by the market, to ultimately make an inference as to how…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-01-12 Andrew Spurr , Marcel Ausloos

The recent emergence of cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin and Ethereum has posed possible alternatives to global payments as well as financial assets around the globe, making investors and financial regulators aware of the importance of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-07-02 Shinji Kakinaka , Ken Umeno

Blockchain systems run consensus rules as code to agree on the state of the distributed ledger and secure the network. Changing these rules can be risky and challenging. In addition, it can often be controversial and take much effort to…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2024-02-15 Jakob Svennevik Notland , Mariusz Nowostawski , Jingyue Li

The Bitcoin Backbone Protocol [GKL15] is an abstraction of the bitcoin proof-of-work consensus protocol. We use a model-checking tool (UPPAALSMC) to examine the concrete security of proof-ofwork consensus by varying protocol parameters and…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2020-07-20 Max DiGiacomo-Castillo , Yiyun Liang , Advay Pal , John C. Mitchell

We prove the consistency of the Power-Law Fit PLFit method proposed by Clauset et al.(2009) to estimate the power-law exponent in data coming from a distribution function with regularly-varying tail. In the complex systems community, PLFit…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-02-18 Ayan Bhattacharya , Bohan Chen , Remco van der Hofstad , Bert Zwart

Bitcoin is the first fully-decentralized permissionless blockchain protocol to achieve a high level of security, but at the expense of poor throughput and latency. Scaling the performance of Bitcoin has a been a major recent direction of…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2023-02-20 Lei Yang , Xuechao Wang , Vivek Bagaria , Gerui Wang , Mohammad Alizadeh , David Tse , Giulia Fanti , Pramod Viswanath

The cryptocurrency market presents both significant investment opportunities and higher risks relative to traditional financial assets. This study examines the tail behavior of daily returns for two leading cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin and…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-07-04 A. H. Nzokem

We consider the block withholding attacks on pools, more specifically the state-of-the-art Power Adjusting Withholding (PAW) attack. We propose a generalization called Temporary PAW (T-PAW) where the adversary withholds a fPoW from pool…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2026-05-20 Mustafa Doger , Sennur Ulukus

The functioning of the cryptocurrency Bitcoin relies on the open availability of the entire history of its transactions. This makes it a particularly interesting socio-economic system to analyse from the point of view of network science.…

This is the first paper that estimates the price determinants of BitCoin in a Generalised Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity framework using high frequency data. Derived from a theoretical model, we estimate BitCoin transaction…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-12-27 Pavel Ciaian , d'Artis Kancs , Miroslava Rajcaniova

Bitcoin is a popular cryptocurrency that records alltransactions in a distributed append-only public ledger calledblockchain. The security of Bitcoin heavily relies on the incentive-compatible proof-of-work (PoW) based distributed consensus…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2018-06-05 Mauro Conti , Sandeep Kumar E , Chhagan Lal , Sushmita Ruj

Bitcoin is a decentralized crypto-currency, and an accompanying protocol, created in 2008. Bitcoin nodes continuously generate and propagate blocks---collections of newly approved transactions that are added to Bitcoin's ledger. Block…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2015-07-24 Ayelet Sapirshtein , Yonatan Sompolinsky , Aviv Zohar

Forks in the Bitcoin network result from the natural competition in the blockchain's Proof-of-Work consensus protocol. Their frequency is a critical indicator for the efficiency of a distributed ledger as they can contribute to resource…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2024-11-18 Paolo Barucca , Carlo Campajola , Jiahua Xu

This study presents an innovative approach for predicting cryptocurrency time series, specifically focusing on Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Litecoin. The methodology integrates the use of technical indicators, a Performer neural network, and…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-03-07 Mohammad Ali Labbaf Khaniki , Mohammad Manthouri

Unlike price fluctuations, the temporal structure of cryptocurrency trading has seldom been a subject of systematic study. In order to fill this gap, we analyse detrended correlations of the price returns, the average number of trades in…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-08-03 Marcin Wątorek , Jarosław Kwapień , Stanisław Drożdż

Bitcoin is a peer-to-peer electronic payment system that has rapidly grown in popularity in recent years. Usually, the complete history of Bitcoin blockchain data must be queried to acquire variables with economic meaning. This task has…

General Economics · Economics 2025-08-11 Yulin Liu , Luyao Zhang , Yinhong Zhao

Recent empirical evidence has highlighted the crucial role of jumps in both price and volatility within the cryptocurrency market. In this paper, we integrate price--volatility co-jumps and volatility short-term dependency into a coherent…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2025-06-17 Boyi Li , Weixuan Xia