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Designing optimal Bayes filters for nonlinear non-Gaussian systems is a challenging task. The main difficulties are: 1) representing complex beliefs, 2) handling non-Gaussian noise, and 3) marginalizing past states. To address these…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-06-03 Sangli Teng , Harry Zhang , David Jin , Ashkan Jasour , Ram Vasudevan , Maani Ghaffari , Luca Carlone

This paper develops a new nonlinear filter, called Moment-based Kalman Filter (MKF), using the exact moment propagation method. Existing state estimation methods use linearization techniques or sampling points to compute approximate values…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-01-24 Yutaka Shimizu , Ashkan Jasour , Maani Ghaffari , Shinpei Kato

A central obstacle in nonlinear Bayesian filtering is representing the belief distribution. Moment-based filters address this by propagating polynomial moments and reconstructing a density from them. Recent work completes the predict-update…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-19 Kaito Iwasaki , Anthony Bloch , Taeyoung Lee , Maani Ghaffari

State estimation is a fundamental problem for multi-sensor information fusion, essential in applications such as target tracking, power systems, and control automation. Previous research mostly ignores the correlation between sensors and…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-03-13 Weizhi Chen , Yaowen Li , Yu Liu , You He

Moment-closure methods are popular tools to simplify the mathematical analysis of stochastic models defined on networks, in which high dimensional joint distributions are approximated (often by some heuristic argument) as functions of lower…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2011-05-25 Tim Rogers

Generating samples from limited information is a fundamental problem across scientific domains. Classical maximum entropy methods provide principled uncertainty quantification from moment constraints but require sampling via MCMC or…

We introduce a framework for generating samples of a distribution given a finite number of its moments, targeted to particle-based solutions of kinetic equations and rarefied gas flow simulations. Our model, referred to as the…

Computational Physics · Physics 2023-08-08 Mohsen Sadr , Nicolas G. Hadjiconstantinou , M. Hossein Gorji

Many state estimation and control algorithms require knowledge of how probability distributions propagate through dynamical systems. However, despite hybrid dynamical systems becoming increasingly important in many fields, there has been…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-02-09 Nathan J. Kong , J. Joe Payne , George Council , Aaron M. Johnson

Traditionally, the Method of (Shannon-Kullback's) Relative Entropy Maximization (REM) is considered with linear moment constraints. In this work, the method is studied under frequency moment constraints which are non-linear in…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2012-08-27 M. Grendar, , M. Grendar

First-passage probability estimation of high-dimensional nonlinear stochastic systems is a significant task to be solved in many science and engineering fields, but remains still an open challenge. The present paper develops a novel…

We study the Fokker-Planck equation derived in the large system limit of the Markovian process describing the dynamics of quantitative traits. The Fokker-Planck equation is posed on a bounded domain and its transport and diffusion…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2018-08-01 Katarina Bodova , Jan Haskovec , Peter Markowich

In this paper, we address the problem of uncertainty propagation through nonlinear stochastic dynamical systems. More precisely, given a discrete-time continuous-state probabilistic nonlinear dynamical system, we aim at finding the sequence…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-02-01 Ashkan Jasour , Allen Wang , Brian C. Williams

To date most linear and nonlinear Kalman filters (KFs) have been developed under the Gaussian assumption and the well-known minimum mean square error (MMSE) criterion. In order to improve the robustness with respect to impulsive (or…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2019-04-18 Badong Chen , Lujuan Dang , Yuantao Gu , Nanning Zheng , Jose C. Prıncipe

The stochastic dynamics of biochemical reaction networks can be accurately described by discrete-state Markov processes where each chemical reaction corresponds to a state transition of the process. Due to the largeness problem of the state…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-10-01 Alexander Andreychenko , Linar Mikeev , Verena Wolf

The maximal entropy moment method (MEM) is systematic solution of the challenging problem: generating extended hydrodynamic equations valid for both dense and rarefied gases. However, simulating MEM suffers from a computational expensive…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2024-02-21 Candi Zheng , Wang Yang , Shiyi Chen

We present a novel sampling-based method for estimating probabilities of rare or failure events. Our approach is founded on the Ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) for inverse problems. Therefore, we reformulate the rare event problem as an…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-12-15 Fabian Wagner , Iason Papaioannou , Elisabeth Ullmann

We study mixed-moment models (full zeroth moment, half higher moments) for a Fokker-Planck equation in one space dimension. Mixed-moment minimum-entropy models are known to overcome the zero net-flux problem of full-moment minimum entropy…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2014-05-22 Florian Schneider , Graham Alldredge , Martin Frank , Axel Klar

We propose a hybrid moment method for the multi-scale kinetic equations in the framework of the regularized moment method [7]. In this method, the fourth order moment system is chosen as the governing equations in the fluid region. When…

Computational Physics · Physics 2020-04-14 Weiming Li , Peng Song , Yanli Wang

Modern vision generators transport a base distribution to data through time-indexed measures, implemented as deterministic flows (ODEs) or stochastic diffusions (SDEs). Despite strong empirical performance, standard flow-matching objectives…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-27 Chika Maduabuchi

Realistic models of biological processes typically involve interacting components on multiple scales, driven by changing environment and inherent stochasticity. Such models are often analytically and numerically intractable. We revisit a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-01-19 K. Bodova , E. Szep , N. H. Barton
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