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This paper develops a new filtering approach for state estimation in polynomial systems corrupted by arbitrary noise, which commonly arise in robotics. We first consider a batch setup where we perform state estimation using all data…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-03-11 Sangli Teng , Harry Zhang , David Jin , Ashkan Jasour , Maani Ghaffari , Luca Carlone

We develop a self contained stochastic perturbation theory for discrete generation and multivariate Ensemble Kalman filters. Unlike their continuous-time counterparts, discrete EnKF algorithms are defined through a two steps prediction…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-28 Pierre Del Moral , Bouchra Nasri , Bruno Rémillard

We propose a new extension of Kalman filtering for continuous-discrete systems with nonlinear state-space models that we name as the level set Kalman filter (LSKF). The LSKF assumes the probability distribution can be approximated as a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-12-14 Ningyuan Wang , Daniel B. Forger

We consider filtering in high-dimensional non-Gaussian state-space models with intractable transition kernels, nonlinear and possibly chaotic dynamics, and sparse observations in space and time. We propose a novel filtering methodology that…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-07 Alessio Spantini , Ricardo Baptista , Youssef Marzouk

The ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) is a method for combining a dynamical model with data in a sequential fashion. Despite its widespread use, there has been little analysis of its theoretical properties. Many of the algorithmic innovations…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-06-17 D. T. B. Kelly , K. J. H. Law , A. M. Stuart

Controlled interacting particle systems such as the ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) and the feedback particle filter (FPF) are numerical algorithms to approximate the solution of the nonlinear filtering problem in continuous time. The…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-10-08 Amirhossein Taghvaei , Prashant G. Mehta

This paper develops the a priori analysis of a mixed finite element method for the filtration of an incompressible fluid through a non-deformable saturated porous medium with heterogeneous permeability. Flows are governed by the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-01-25 Sergio Caucao , Marco Discacciati

The filtering distribution in hidden Markov models evolves according to the law of a mean-field model in state-observation space. The ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) approximates this mean-field model with an ensemble of interacting…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-25 Eviatar Bach , Ricardo Baptista , Edoardo Calvello , Bohan Chen , Andrew Stuart

Mixtures of linear dynamical systems (MoLDS) provide a path to model time-series data that exhibit diverse temporal dynamics across trajectories. However, its application remains challenging in complex and noisy settings, limiting its…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-02 Lulu Gong , Shreya Saxena

Processing high-volume, streaming data is increasingly common in modern statistics and machine learning, where batch-mode algorithms are often impractical because they require repeated passes over the full dataset. This has motivated…

We develop a method to approximate the moments of a discrete-time stochastic polynomial system. Our method is built upon Carleman linearization with truncation. Specifically, we take a stochastic polynomial system with finitely many states…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-07-11 Sasinee Pruekprasert , Jérémy Dubut , Toru Takisaka , Clovis Eberhart , Ahmet Cetinkaya

Traditional Kalman filter (KF) is derived under the well-known minimum mean square error (MMSE) criterion, which is optimal under Gaussian assumption. However, when the signals are non-Gaussian, especially when the system is disturbed by…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-09-16 Badong Chen , Xi Liu , Haiquan Zhao , José C. Príncipe

Ensemble data assimilation methods such as the Ensemble Kalman Filter (EnKF) are a key component of probabilistic weather forecasting. They represent the uncertainty in the initial conditions by an ensemble which incorporates information…

Applications · Statistics 2018-10-17 Sylvain Robert , Daniel Leuenberger , Hans R. Künsch

We use the method of Maximum (relative) Entropy to process information in the form of observed data and moment constraints. The generic "canonical" form of the posterior distribution for the problem of simultaneous updating with data and…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2016-09-08 Adom Giffin , Ariel Caticha

We present a new strategy for filtering high-dimensional multiscale systems characterized by high-order non-Gaussian statistics using observations from leading-order moments. A closed stochastic-statistical modeling framework suitable for…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2024-07-09 Di Qi , Jian-Guo Liu

This paper studies the distributed state estimation problem for a class of discrete-time stochastic systems with nonlinear uncertain dynamics over time-varying topologies of sensor networks. An extended state vector consisting of the…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-09-12 Xingkang He , Xiaocheng Zhang , Wenchao Xue , Haitao Fang

The Bootstrap Particle Filter (BPF) and the Ensemble Kalman Filter (EnKF) are two widely used methods for sequential Bayesian filtering: the BPF is asymptotically exact but can suffer from weight degeneracy, while the EnKF scales well in…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-28 Ilja Klebanov , Claudia Schillings , Dana Wrischnig

Heavy tails is a common feature of filtering distributions that results from the nonlinear dynamical and observation processes as well as the uncertainty from physical sensors. In these settings, the Kalman filter and its ensemble version -…

Computation · Statistics 2023-10-16 Mathieu Le Provost , Ricardo Baptista , Jeff D. Eldredge , Youssef Marzouk

We propose a control-theoretic framework for evolutionary clustering based on Mean Field Games (MFG). Moving beyond static or heuristic approaches, we formulate the problem as a population dynamics game governed by a coupled…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-03-31 Alessio Basti , Fabio Camilli , Adriano Festa

Modern autonomous systems are purposed for many challenging scenarios, where agents will face unexpected events and complicated tasks. The presence of disturbance noise with control command and unknown inputs can negatively impact robot…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-09-22 Zida Wu , Zhaoliang Zheng , Ankur Mehta