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The Spatial-Temporal Graph Attention Network (ST-GAT) framework was created to serve as an explainable GNN-based solution for detecting bank distress early warning signs and for conducting macro-prudential surveillance of the interbank…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-17 Mohammad Nasir Uddin

Stock market plays an important role in the economic development. Due to the complex volatility of the stock market, the research and prediction on the change of the stock price, can avoid the risk for the investors. The traditional time…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-02-23 Zhuangwei Shi , Yang Hu , Guangliang Mo , Jian Wu

The emergence of Graph Convolutional Network (GCN) has greatly boosted the progress of graph learning. However, two disturbing factors, noise and redundancy in graph data, and lack of interpretation for prediction results, impede further…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-23 Junchi Yu , Tingyang Xu , Yu Rong , Yatao Bian , Junzhou Huang , Ran He

Stock market prediction is a long-standing challenge in finance, as accurate forecasts support informed investment decisions. Traditional models rely mainly on historical prices, but recent work shows that financial news can provide useful…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-10 Nader Sadek , Mirette Moawad , Christina Naguib , Mariam Elzahaby

Traditional optimization-based techniques for time-synchronized state estimation (SE) often suffer from high online computational burden, limited phasor measurement unit (PMU) coverage, and presence of non-Gaussian measurement noise.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-06-05 Shiva Moshtagh , Behrouz Azimian , Mohammad Golgol , Anamitra Pal

Data-centric methods have shown great potential in understanding and predicting spatiotemporal dynamics, enabling better design and control of the object system. However, deep learning models often lack interpretability, fail to obey…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-07 Yuan Mi , Pu Ren , Hongteng Xu , Hongsheng Liu , Zidong Wang , Yike Guo , Ji-Rong Wen , Hao Sun , Yang Liu

This study proposes a hybrid deep-learning-metaheuristic framework with a bi-level architecture for road network design problems (NDPs). We train a graph neural network (GNN) to approximate the solution of the user equilibrium (UE) traffic…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2023-12-12 Bahman Madadi , Goncalo Homem de Almeida Correia

An appropriate calibration and forecasting of volatility and market risk are some of the main challenges faced by companies that have to manage the uncertainty inherent to their investments or funding operations such as banks, pension funds…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-08-19 E. Ramos-Pérez , P. J. Alonso-González , J. J. Núñez-Velázquez

This study aims to address the challenges of futures price prediction in high-frequency trading (HFT) by proposing a continuous learning factor predictor based on graph neural networks. The model integrates multi-factor pricing theories…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-20 Min Hu , Zhizhong Tan , Bin Liu , Guosheng Yin

This study aims to compare multiple deep learning-based forecasters for the task of predicting volatility using multivariate data. The paper evaluates a range of models, starting from simpler and shallower ones and progressing to deeper and…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-06-26 Wenbo Ge , Pooia Lalbakhsh , Leigh Isai , Artem Lensky , Hanna Suominen

Multi-step stock index forecasting is vital in finance for informed decision-making. Current forecasting methods on this task frequently produce unsatisfactory results due to the inherent data randomness and instability, thereby…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-19 Cheng Zhang , Nilam Nur Amir Sjarif , Roslina Ibrahim

Financial markets are inherently volatile and prone to sudden disruptions such as market crashes, flash collapses, and liquidity crises. Accurate anomaly detection and early risk forecasting in financial time series are therefore crucial…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-18 Ziling Fan , Ruijia Liang , Yiwen Hu

Even though computational intelligence techniques have been extensively utilized in financial trading systems, almost all developed models use the time series data for price prediction or identifying buy-sell points. However, in this study…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-13 Omer Berat Sezer , Ahmet Murat Ozbayoglu

Time-evolving traffic flow forecasting are playing a vital role in intelligent transportation systems and smart cities. However, the dynamic traffic flow forecasting is a highly nonlinear problem with complex temporal-spatial dependencies.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-05 Zhenan Lin , Yuni Lai , Wai Lun Lo , Richard Tai-Chiu Hsung , Harris Sik-Ho Tsang , Xiaoyu Xue , Kai Zhou , Yulin Zhu

Multivariate time series forecasting is an important yet challenging problem in machine learning. Most existing approaches only forecast the series value of one future moment, ignoring the interactions between predictions of future moments…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-12 Jiezhu Cheng , Kaizhu Huang , Zibin Zheng

Advances in deep neural network (DNN) architectures have enabled new prediction techniques for stock market data. Unlike other multivariate time-series data, stock markets show two unique characteristics: (i) \emph{multi-order dynamics}, as…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-11-28 Thanh Trung Huynh , Minh Hieu Nguyen , Thanh Tam Nguyen , Phi Le Nguyen , Matthias Weidlich , Quoc Viet Hung Nguyen , Karl Aberer

Mortgage risk assessment traditionally relies on structured financial data, which is often proprietary, confidential, and costly. In this study, we propose a novel multimodal deep learning framework that uses cost-free, publicly available,…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-10-28 Mahsa Tavakoli , Rohitash Chandra , Cristian Bravo

We propose a two-step framework for predicting the implied volatility surface over time without static arbitrage. In the first step, we select features to represent the surface and predict them over time. In the second step, we use the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-01-04 Wenyong Zhang , Lingfei Li , Gongqiu Zhang

The rapid development of Wi-Fi technologies in recent years has caused a significant increase in the traffic usage. Hence, knowledge obtained from Wi-Fi network measurements can be helpful for a more efficient network management. In this…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2024-08-20 Seyedeh Soheila Shaabanzadeh , Juan Sánchez-González

The short term passenger flow prediction of the urban rail transit system is of great significance for traffic operation and management. The emerging deep learning-based models provide effective methods to improve prediction accuracy.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-17 Shuxin Zhang , Jinlei Zhang , Lixing Yang , Jiateng Yin , Ziyou Gao