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A chaotic system is a highly volatile system characterized by its sensitive dependence on initial conditions and outside factors. Chaotic systems are prevalent throughout the world today: in weather patterns, disease outbreaks, and even…

We introduce M2VN: Multi-Modal Volatility Network, a novel deep learning-based framework for financial volatility forecasting that unifies time series features with unstructured news data. M2VN leverages the representational power of deep…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-24 Yaxuan Kong , Yoontae Hwang , Marcus Kaiser , Chris Vryonides , Roel Oomen , Stefan Zohren

Learning representations for graphs plays a critical role in a wide spectrum of downstream applications. In this paper, we summarize the limitations of the prior works in three folds: representation space, modeling dynamics and modeling…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-07 Li Sun , Zhongbao Zhang , Jiawei Zhang , Feiyang Wang , Hao Peng , Sen Su , Philip S. Yu

Graph neural networks (GNNs) excel in graph representation learning by integrating graph structure and node features. Existing GNNs, unfortunately, fail to account for the uncertainty of class probabilities that vary with the depth of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-17 Qingfeng Chen , Shiyuan Li , Yixin Liu , Shirui Pan , Geoffrey I. Webb , Shichao Zhang

Graph models provide efficient tools to capture the underlying structure of data defined over networks. Many real-world network topologies are subject to change over time. Learning to model the dynamic interactions between entities in such…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-03 Amirhossein Javaheri , Jiaxi Ying , Daniel P. Palomar , Farokh Marvasti

Fault detection and diagnosis are critical for the optimal and safe operation of industrial processes. The correlations among sensors often display non-Euclidean structures where graph neural networks (GNNs) are widely used therein.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-22 Bibek Aryal , Gift Modekwe , Qiugang Lu

In this paper, we develop a hybrid approach to forecasting the volatility and risk of financial instruments by combining common econometric GARCH time series models with deep learning neural networks. For the latter, we employ Gated…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-10-03 Jakub Michańków , Łukasz Kwiatkowski , Janusz Morajda

Financial market analysis, especially the prediction of movements of stock prices, is a challenging problem. The nature of financial time-series data, being non-stationary and nonlinear, is the main cause of these challenges. Deep learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-16 Mostafa Shabani , Alexandros Iosifidis

Market financial forecasting is a trending area in deep learning. Deep learning models are capable of tackling the classic challenges in stock market data, such as its extremely complicated dynamics as well as long-term temporal…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-03-17 Shima Nabiee , Nader Bagherzadeh

The recent advancement of deep learning architectures, neural networks, and the combination of abundant financial data and powerful computers are transforming finance, leading us to develop an advanced method for predicting future stock…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-06 Bivas Dinda

This paper addresses the challenges of fault prediction and delayed response in distributed systems by proposing an intelligent prediction method based on temporal feature learning. The method takes multi-dimensional performance metric…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2025-05-28 Yang Wang , Wenxuan Zhu , Xuehui Quan , Heyi Wang , Chang Liu , Qiyuan Wu

We have proposed to develop a global hybrid deep learning framework to predict the daily prices in the stock market. With representation learning, we derived an embedding called Stock2Vec, which gives us insight for the relationship among…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-10-06 Xing Wang , Yijun Wang , Bin Weng , Aleksandr Vinel

Devising and analyzing learning models for spatiotemporal network data is of importance for tasks including forecasting, anomaly detection, and multi-agent coordination, among others. Graph Convolutional Neural Networks (GCNNs) are an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-01 Mohammad Sabbaqi , Elvin Isufi

This paper studies forward-looking stock-stock correlation forecasting for S\&P 500 constituents and evaluates whether learned correlation forecasts can improve graph-based clustering used in basket trading strategies. We cast 10-day ahead…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-09 Jack Fanshawe , Rumi Masih , Alexander Cameron

Spatiotemporal prediction plays a critical role in numerous real-world applications such as urban planning, transportation optimization, disaster response, and pandemic control. In recent years, researchers have made significant progress by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-03 Dahai Yu , Dingyi Zhuang , Lin Jiang , Rongchao Xu , Xinyue Ye , Yuheng Bu , Shenhao Wang , Guang Wang

Accurate covariance forecasting is central to portfolio allocation, risk management, and asset pricing, yet many existing methods struggle at medium-term horizons, where shifting market regimes and slower dynamics predominate. We propose a…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-05-21 Pedro Reis , Ana Paula Serra , João Gama

This paper addresses the problem of traffic prediction in distributed backend systems and proposes a graph neural network based modeling approach to overcome the limitations of traditional models in capturing complex dependencies and…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2025-10-20 Zhimin Qiu , Feng Liu , Yuxiao Wang , Chenrui Hu , Ziyu Cheng , Di Wu

In recent years, machine learning (ML) has brought effective approaches and novel techniques to economic decision, investment forecasting, and risk management, etc., coping the variable and intricate nature of economic and financial…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2023-12-25 Huajian Li , Longjian Li , Jiajian Liang , Weinan Dai

Financial forecasting using news articles is an emerging field. In this paper, we proposed hybrid intelligent models for stock market prediction using the psycholinguistic variables (LIWC and TAALES) extracted from news articles as…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-11-15 B. Shravan Kumar , Vadlamani Ravi , Rishabh Miglani

Recently, the incorporation of both temporal features and the correlation across time series has become an effective approach in time series prediction. Spatio-Temporal Graph Neural Networks (STGNNs) demonstrate good performance on many…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-29 Wenbo Yan , Ying Tan