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Accurate forecasting of industrial time series requires balancing predictive accuracy with physical plausibility under non-stationary operating conditions. Existing data-driven models often achieve strong statistical performance but…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-20 Yeran Zhang , Pengwei Yang , Guoqing Wang , Tianyu Li

This paper proposes a robust transient stability constrained optimal power flow problem that addresses renewable uncertainties by the coordination of generation re-dispatch and power flow router (PFR) tuning.PFR refers to a general type of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-06-02 Tianlun Chen , Albert Y. S. Lam , Yue Song , David J. Hill

Time series forecasting plays a vital role across scientific, industrial, and environmental domains, especially when dealing with high-dimensional and nonlinear systems. While Transformer-based models have recently achieved state-of-the-art…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-05 Ali Forootani , Mohammad Khosravi , Masoud Barati

The current landscape in time-series forecasting is dominated by Transformer-based models. Their high parameter count and corresponding demand in computational resources pose a challenge to real-world deployment, especially for commercial…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-18 Nicholas Kiefer , Arvid Weyrauch , Muhammed Öz , Achim Streit , Markus Götz , Charlotte Debus

We present a probabilistic forecasting framework based on convolutional neural network for multiple related time series forecasting. The framework can be applied to estimate probability density under both parametric and non-parametric…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-03-17 Yitian Chen , Yanfei Kang , Yixiong Chen , Zizhuo Wang

A pruning-based AutoML framework for run-time reconfigurability, namely RT3, is proposed in this work. This enables Transformer-based large Natural Language Processing (NLP) models to be efficiently executed on resource-constrained mobile…

Recent developments related to the energy transition pose particular challenges for distribution grids. Hence, precise load forecasts become more and more important for effective grid management. Novel modeling approaches such as the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-19 Elena Giacomazzi , Felix Haag , Konstantin Hopf

Preference-based Reinforcement Learning (PbRL) provides a way to learn high-performance policies in environments where the reward signal is hard to specify, avoiding heuristic and time-consuming reward design. However, PbRL can suffer from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-02 Chenyang Cao , Miguel Rogel-García , Mohamed Nabail , Xueqian Wang , Nicholas Rhinehart

The recent boom of linear forecasting models questions the ongoing passion for architectural modifications of Transformer-based forecasters. These forecasters leverage Transformers to model the global dependencies over temporal tokens of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-15 Yong Liu , Tengge Hu , Haoran Zhang , Haixu Wu , Shiyu Wang , Lintao Ma , Mingsheng Long

Subseasonal forecasting, which is pivotal for agriculture, water resource management, and early warning of disasters, faces challenges due to the chaotic nature of the atmosphere. Recent advances in machine learning (ML) have revolutionized…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-06 Shan Zhao , Zhitong Xiong , Xiao Xiang Zhu

The widespread deployment of wireless and mobile devices results in a proliferation of spatio-temporal data that is used in applications, e.g., traffic prediction, human mobility mining, and air quality prediction, where spatio-temporal…

Databases · Computer Science 2024-04-24 Hao Miao , Yan Zhao , Chenjuan Guo , Bin Yang , Kai Zheng , Feiteng Huang , Jiandong Xie , Christian S. Jensen

Transformer-based models have emerged as promising tools for time series forecasting. However, these model cannot make accurate prediction for long input time series. On the one hand, they failed to capture global dependencies within time…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-16 YanJun Zhao , Ziqing Ma , Tian Zhou , Liang Sun , Mengni Ye , Yi Qian

Industrial systems demand reliable predictive maintenance strategies to enhance operational efficiency and reduce downtime. This paper introduces an integrated framework that leverages the capabilities of the Transformer model-based neural…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-06 Yang Zhao , Jiaxi Yang , Wenbo Wang , Helin Yang , Dusit Niyato

In this paper, we find that ubiquitous time series (TS) forecasting models are prone to severe overfitting. To cope with this problem, we embrace a de-redundancy approach to progressively reinstate the intrinsic values of TS for future…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-18 Daojun Liang , Haixia Zhang , Dongfeng Yuan , Bingzheng Zhang , Minggao Zhang

The short-term forecasting of real-time locational marginal price (LMP) and network congestion is considered from a system operator perspective. A new probabilistic forecasting technique is proposed based on a multiparametric programming…

Applications · Statistics 2016-06-28 Yuting Ji , Robert J. Thomas , Lang Tong

Accurate photovoltaic (PV) power forecasting is critical for integrating renewable energy sources into the grid, optimizing real-time energy management, and ensuring energy reliability amidst increasing demand. However, existing models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-08 Guang Wu , Yun Wang , Qian Zhou , Ziyang Zhang

Dynamic link prediction plays a crucial role in diverse applications including social network analysis, communication forecasting, and financial modeling. While recent Transformer-based approaches have demonstrated promising results in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-05 Hantong Feng , Yonggang Wu , Duxin Chen , Wenwu Yu

Owing to uncertainties in both kinematics and dynamics, the current trajectory tracking framework for mobile robots like spherical robots cannot function effectively on multiple terrains, especially uneven and unknown ones. Since this is a…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-06-13 Yifan Liu , Tao Hu , Xiaoqing Guan , Yixu Wang , Bixuan Zhang , You Wang , Guang Li

This paper presents the neural network model that was used by the author in the Weather4cast 2021 Challenge Stage 1, where the objective was to predict the time evolution of satellite-based weather data images. The network is based on an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-12 Jussi Leinonen

Accurate traffic flow forecasting is crucial for intelligent transportation services such as navigation and ride-hailing. In such applications, uncertainty estimation in forecasting is important because it helps evaluate traffic risk…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-29 Haochen Lv , Yan Lin , Shengnan Guo , Xiaowei Mao , Hong Nie , Letian Gong , Youfang Lin , Huaiyu Wan