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Most research designing novel predictive models, or employing existing ones, assumes that training and testing data are independent and identically distributed. In practice, the data encountered at serving time often deviate from the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-30 Hanyu Duan , Yi Yang , Ahmed Abbasi , Kar Yan Tam

Probabilistic time series forecasting is crucial for quantifying future uncertainty, with significant applications in fields such as energy and finance. However, existing methods often rely on computationally expensive sampling or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-21 Lei Liu , Tengyuan Liu , Hongwei Zhao , Jiahui Huang , Ruibo Guo , Bin Li

The increasing severity of climate change necessitates an urgent transition to renewable energy sources, making the large-scale adoption of wind energy crucial for mitigating environmental impact. However, the inherent uncertainty of wind…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-18 Chongyang Wan , Shunbo Lei , Yuan Luo

In the smart grid of the future, accurate load forecasts on the level of individual clients can help to balance supply and demand locally and to prevent grid outages. While the number of monitored clients will increase with the ongoing…

Traffic prediction is a challenging spatio-temporal forecasting problem that involves highly complex spatio-temporal correlations. This paper proposes a Multi-level Multi-view Augmented Spatio-temporal Transformer (LVSTformer) for traffic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-19 Jiaqi Lin , Qianqian Ren

We consider the problem of remanufacturing planning in the presence of statistical estimation errors. Determining the optimal remanufacturing timing, first and foremost, requires modeling of the state transitions of a system. The estimation…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-03-19 Zhicheng Zhu , Yisha Xiang , Ming Zhao , Yue Shi

Future trajectories play an important role across domains such as autonomous driving, hurricane forecasting, and epidemic modeling, where practitioners commonly generate ensemble paths by sampling probabilistic models or leveraging multiple…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-20 Ruipu Li , Daniel Menacho , Alexander Rodríguez

Autonomous spacecraft control for mission phases such as launch, ascent, stage separation, and orbit insertion remains a critical challenge due to the need for adaptive policies that generalize across dynamically distinct regimes. While…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-17 Amit Jain , Victor Rodriguez-Fernandez , Richard Linares

As a core technology of Intelligent Transportation System, traffic flow prediction has a wide range of applications. The fundamental challenge in traffic flow prediction is to effectively model the complex spatial-temporal dependencies in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-08 Jiawei Jiang , Chengkai Han , Wayne Xin Zhao , Jingyuan Wang

Load forecasting is crucial for multiple energy management tasks such as scheduling generation capacity, planning supply and demand, and minimizing energy trade costs. Such relevance has increased even more in recent years due to the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-16 Verónica Álvarez , Santiago Mazuelas , José A. Lozano

Transformer-based models, despite their promise for long-term time series forecasting (LTSF), suffer from an inherent low-pass filtering effect that limits their effectiveness. This issue arises due to undifferentiated propagation of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-23 Jingjing Bai , Yoshinobu Kawahara

Simulating the long-term dynamics of multi-scale and multi-physics systems poses a significant challenge in understanding complex phenomena across science and engineering. The complexity arises from the intricate interactions between scales…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-22 Da Long , Shandian Zhe , Samuel Williams , Leonid Oliker , Zhe Bai

Sparse and intermittent demand forecasting in supply chains presents a critical challenge, as frequent zero-demand periods hinder traditional model accuracy and impact inventory management. We propose and evaluate a Model-Router framework…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-02 Qiwen Zhang

Spatiotemporal data is ubiquitous, and forecasting it has important applications in many domains. However, its complex cross-component dependencies and non-linear temporal dynamics can be challenging for traditional techniques. Existing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-27 Hao Yuan Bai , Xue Liu

The rapid increase in networked systems and data transmission requires advanced data compression solutions to optimize bandwidth utilization and enhance network performance. This study introduces a novel byte-level predictive model using…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2025-03-26 Xuanhao Luo , Zhiyuan Peng , Zhouyu Li , Ruozhou Yu , Yuchen Liu

The upper mid-band (UMB) spectrum is a key enabler for 6G systems, yet reconfigurable intelligent surface (RIS)-assisted UMB communications face severe channel estimation challenges due to near-field propagation and transitional scattering,…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-09 Jeongjae Lee , Chanwon Kim , Songnam Hong

Nowadays, our mobility systems are evolving into the era of intelligent vehicles that aim to improve road safety. Due to their vulnerability, pedestrians are the users who will benefit the most from these developments. However, predicting…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-03-18 Lina Achaji , Thierno Barry , Thibault Fouqueray , Julien Moreau , Francois Aioun , Francois Charpillet

Traditional approaches to outage-constrained beamforming optimization rely on statistical assumptions about channel distributions and estimation errors. However, the resulting outage probability guarantees are only valid when these…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-05-27 Xin Su , Qiushuo Hou , Ruisi He , Osvaldo Simeone

The massive generation of time-series data by largescale Internet of Things (IoT) devices necessitates the exploration of more effective models for multivariate time-series forecasting. In previous models, there was a predominant use of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-15 Wenyong Han , Tao Zhu Member , Liming Chen , Huansheng Ning , Yang Luo , Yaping Wan

Random backpropagation (RBP) is a variant of the backpropagation algorithm for training neural networks, where the transpose of the forward matrices are replaced by fixed random matrices in the calculation of the weight updates. It is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-12-25 Pierre Baldi , Peter Sadowski , Zhiqin Lu
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