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Quantifying uncertainty in clinical predictions is critical for high-stakes diagnosis tasks. Conformal prediction offers a principled approach by providing prediction sets with theoretical coverage guarantees. However, in practice, patient…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-01 Arjun Chatterjee , Sayeed Sajjad Razin , John Wu , Siddhartha Laghuvarapu , Jathurshan Pradeepkumar , Jimeng Sun

Anomaly detection in surveillance videos is attracting an increasing amount of attention. Despite the competitive performance of recent methods, they lack theoretical performance analysis, particularly due to the complex deep neural network…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-10-15 Keval Doshi , Yasin Yilmaz

dtaianomaly is an open-source Python library for time series anomaly detection, designed to bridge the gap between academic research and real-world applications. Our goal is to (1) accelerate the development of novel state-of-the-art…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-21 Louis Carpentier , Nick Seeuws , Wannes Meert , Mathias Verbeke

Performing anomaly detection in hybrid systems is a challenging task since it requires analysis of timing behavior and mutual dependencies of both discrete and continuous signals. Typically, it requires modeling system behavior, which is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-30 Nemanja Hranisavljevic , Oliver Niggemann , Alexander Maier

We develop graph-based methods for semi-supervised learning based on label propagation on a data similarity graph. When data is abundant or arrive in a stream, the problems of computation and data storage arise for any graph-based method.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-06 Michal Valko

Anomaly detection deals with detecting deviations from established patterns within data. It has various applications like autonomous driving, predictive maintenance, and medical diagnosis. To improve anomaly detection accuracy, transfer…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-06-19 Siddhant Shete , Dennis Mronga , Ankita Jadhav , Frank Kirchner

Anomaly detection for tabular data has been a long-standing unsupervised learning problem that remains a major challenge for current deep learning models. Recently, in-context learning has emerged as a new paradigm that has shifted efforts…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-17 Patryk Marszałek , Tomasz Kuśmierczyk , Marek Śmieja

The continued digitization of societal processes translates into a proliferation of time series data that cover applications such as fraud detection, intrusion detection, and energy management, where anomaly detection is often essential to…

Surrogate models (including deep neural networks and other machine learning algorithms in supervised learning) are capable of approximating arbitrarily complex, high-dimensional input-output problems in science and engineering, but require…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-17 Miguel Sánchez-Domínguez , Lucas Lacasa , Javier de Vicente , Gonzalo Rubio , Eusebio Valero

We develop a new approach to multi-label conformal prediction in which we aim to output a precise set of promising prediction candidates with a bounded number of incorrect answers. Standard conformal prediction provides the ability to adapt…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-16 Adam Fisch , Tal Schuster , Tommi Jaakkola , Regina Barzilay

Conformal prediction (CP) is a powerful framework for uncertainty quantification, generating prediction sets with coverage guarantees. Split conformal prediction relies on labeled data in the calibration procedure. However, the labeled data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-11 Xuanning Zhou , Zihao Shi , Hao Zeng , Xiaobo Xia , Bingyi Jing , Hongxin Wei

Methods to quantify uncertainty in predictions from arbitrary models are in demand in high-stakes domains like medicine and finance. Conformal prediction has emerged as a popular method for producing a set of predictions with specified…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-19 Jessica Hullman , Yifan Wu , Dawei Xie , Ziyang Guo , Andrew Gelman

Semi-supervised Learning plays a crucial role in network anomaly detection applications, however, learning anomaly patterns with limited labeled samples is not easy. Additionally, the lack of interpretability creates key barriers to the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-11 Yachao Yuan , Yu Huang , Yingwen Wu , Jin Wang

Researchers often misinterpret and misrepresent statistical outputs. This abuse has led to a large literature on modification or replacement of testing thresholds and $P$-values with confidence intervals, Bayes factors, and other devices.…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-02 Zad Rafi , Sander Greenland

Anomaly detection involves identifying instances within a dataset that deviate from the norm and occur infrequently. Current benchmarks tend to favor methods biased towards low diversity in normal data, which does not align with real-world…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-06-18 Mohammad Akhavan Anvari , Rojina Kashefi , Vahid Reza Khazaie , Mohammad Khalooei , Mohammad Sabokrou

Conformal inference provides a general distribution-free method to rigorously calibrate the output of any machine learning algorithm for novelty detection. While this approach has many strengths, it has the limitation of being randomized,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-25 Meshi Bashari , Amir Epstein , Yaniv Romano , Matteo Sesia

Fault detection is crucial for ensuring the safety and reliability of modern industrial systems. However, a significant scientific challenge is the lack of rigorous risk control and reliable uncertainty quantification in existing diagnostic…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-08-05 Mingchen Mei , Yi Li , YiYao Qian , Zijun Jia

We address the problem of anomaly detection, that is, detecting anomalous events in a video sequence. Anomaly detection methods based on convolutional neural networks (CNNs) typically leverage proxy tasks, such as reconstructing input video…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-03-31 Hyunjong Park , Jongyoun Noh , Bumsub Ham

The property of conformal predictors to guarantee the required accuracy rate makes this framework attractive in various practical applications. However, this property is achieved at a price of reduction in precision. In the case of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-13 Marharyta Aleksandrova , Oleg Chertov

Conformal inference is a method that provides prediction sets for machine learning models, operating independently of the underlying distributional assumptions and relying solely on the exchangeability of training and test data. Despite its…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-01 Daniela Corbetta , Livio Finos , Ludwig Geistlinger , Davide Risso