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Traditional anomaly detection methods aim to identify objects that deviate from most other objects by treating all features equally. In contrast, contextual anomaly detection methods aim to detect objects that deviate from other objects…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-07 Zhong Li , Matthijs van Leeuwen

Conformal predictive systems are sets of predictive distributions with theoretical out-of-sample calibration guarantees. The calibration guarantees are typically that the set of predictions contains a forecast distribution whose prediction…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-03 Sam Allen , Enrico Pescara , Johanna Ziegel

In this paper we apply Conformal Prediction (CP) to the k-Nearest Neighbours Regression (k-NNR) algorithm and propose ways of extending the typical nonconformity measure used for regression so far. Unlike traditional regression methods…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-01-17 Harris Papadopoulos , Vladimir Vovk , Alex Gammerman

Conformal inference is a fundamental and versatile tool that provides distribution-free guarantees for many machine learning tasks. We consider the transductive setting, where decisions are made on a test sample of $m$ new points, giving…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-20 Ulysse Gazin , Gilles Blanchard , Etienne Roquain

Anomalies represent rare observations (e.g., data records or events) that deviate significantly from others. Over several decades, research on anomaly mining has received increasing interests due to the implications of these occurrences in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-21 Xiaoxiao Ma , Jia Wu , Shan Xue , Jian Yang , Chuan Zhou , Quan Z. Sheng , Hui Xiong , Leman Akoglu

Conformal prediction is a model-free machine learning method for constructing prediction regions at a guaranteed coverage probability level. However, a data scientist often faces three challenges in practice: (i) the determination of a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-31 Liang Hong , Noura Raydan Nasreddine

Anomaly detection (AD) is the machine learning task of identifying highly discrepant abnormal samples by solely relying on the consistency of the normal training samples. Under the constraints of a distribution shift, the assumption that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-25 João B. S. Carvalho , Mengtao Zhang , Robin Geyer , Carlos Cotrini , Joachim M. Buhmann

Conformal prediction (CP) offers distribution-free uncertainty quantification for machine learning models, yet its interplay with fairness in downstream decision-making remains underexplored. Moving beyond CP as a standalone operation…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-20 Pengqi Liu , Zijun Yu , Mouloud Belbahri , Arthur Charpentier , Masoud Asgharian , Jesse C. Cresswell

We develop a novel approach to conformal prediction when the target task has limited data available for training. Conformal prediction identifies a small set of promising output candidates in place of a single prediction, with guarantees…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-21 Adam Fisch , Tal Schuster , Tommi Jaakkola , Regina Barzilay

Anomaly detection incurs certain sampling and sensing costs and therefore it is of great importance to strike a balance between the detection accuracy and these costs. In this work, we study anomaly detection by considering the detection of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-30 Chen Zhong , M. Cenk Gursoy , Senem Velipasalar

Statistical uncertainties are rarely incorporated in machine learning algorithms, especially for anomaly detection. Here we present the Bayesian Anomaly Detection And Classification (BADAC) formalism, which provides a unified statistical…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-02-26 Ethan Roberts , Bruce A. Bassett , Michelle Lochner

The problem of sequential anomaly detection and identification is considered, where multiple data sources are simultaneously monitored and the goal is to identify in real time those, if any, that exhibit ``anomalous" statistical behavior.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-12-09 Aristomenis Tsopelakos , Georgios Fellouris

Discrimination and calibration represent two important properties of survival analysis, with the former assessing the model's ability to accurately rank subjects and the latter evaluating the alignment of predicted outcomes with actual…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-04 Shi-ang Qi , Yakun Yu , Russell Greiner

Anomaly detection focuses on identifying samples that deviate from the norm. Discovering informative representations of normal samples is crucial to detecting anomalies effectively. Recent self-supervised methods have successfully learned…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-22 Alain Ryser , Thomas M. Sutter , Alexander Marx , Julia E. Vogt

Anomaly synthesis is a crucial approach to augment abnormal data for advancing anomaly inspection. Based on the knowledge from the large-scale pre-training, existing text-to-image anomaly synthesis methods predominantly focus on textual…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-08-08 Shidan He , Lei Liu , Xiujun Shu , Bo Wang , Yuanhao Feng , Shen Zhao

Visual anomaly detection aims to learn normality from normal images, but existing approaches are fragmented across various tasks: defect detection, semantic anomaly detection, multi-class anomaly detection, and anomaly clustering. This…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-11-15 Yujin Lee , Harin Lim , Seoyoon Jang , Hyunsoo Yoon

Conformance checking is a set of process mining functions that compare process instances with a given process model. It identifies deviations between the process instances' actual behaviour ("as-is") and its modelled behaviour ("to-be").…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2020-07-22 Sebastian Dunzer , Matthias Stierle , Martin Matzner , Stephan Baier

The advances in deep neural networks (DNN) have significantly enhanced real-time detection of anomalous data in IoT applications. However, the complexity-accuracy-delay dilemma persists: complex DNN models offer higher accuracy, but typical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-21 Mao V. Ngo , Tie Luo , Tony Q. S. Quek

Interest has been growing in decision-focused machine learning methods which train models to account for how their predictions are used in downstream optimization problems. Doing so can often improve performance on subsequent decision…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-03 Santiago Cortes-Gomez , Carlos Patiño , Yewon Byun , Steven Wu , Eric Horvitz , Bryan Wilder

Time-series anomaly detection deals with the problem of detecting anomalous timesteps by learning normality from the sequence of observations. However, the concept of normality evolves over time, leading to a "new normal problem", where the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-23 Dongmin Kim , Sunghyun Park , Jaegul Choo