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Aggregate data often appear in various fields such as socio-economics and public security. The aggregate data are associated not with points but with supports (e.g., spatial regions in a city). Since the supports may have various…

Bayesian learning using Gaussian processes provides a foundational framework for making decisions in a manner that balances what is known with what could be learned by gathering data. In this dissertation, we develop techniques for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-04-29 Alexander Terenin

Multiscale dynamical systems, modeled by high-dimensional stiff ordinary differential equations (ODEs) with wide-ranging characteristic timescales, arise across diverse fields of science and engineering, but their numerical solvers often…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-08-14 Junjie Yao , Yuxiao Yi , Liangkai Hang , Weinan E , Weizong Wang , Yaoyu Zhang , Tianhan Zhang , Zhi-Qin John Xu

We introduce a gradient-free framework for Bayesian Optimal Experimental Design (BOED) in sequential settings, aimed at complex systems where gradient information is unavailable. Our method combines Ensemble Kalman Inversion (EKI) for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-22 Robert Gruhlke , Matei Hanu , Claudia Schillings , Philipp Wacker

This paper presents a backstepping solution for the output feedback control of general linear heterodirectional hyperbolic PDE-ODE systems with spatially-varying coefficients. Thereby, the coupling in the PDE is in-domain and at the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-11-03 Joachim Deutscher , Nicole Gehring , Richard Kern

Heterogeneous treatment effects, which vary according to individual covariates, are crucial in fields such as personalized medicine and tailored treatment strategies. In many applications, rather than considering the heterogeneity induced…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-26 Peng Wu , Pengtao Zeng , Zhaoqing Tian , Shaojie Wei

Real-world observational data often contain existing or emerging heterogeneous subpopulations that deviate from global patterns. The majority of models tend to overlook these underrepresented groups, leading to inaccurate or even harmful…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-13 Tina Behrouzi , Sana Tonekaboni , Rahul G. Krishnan , Anna Goldenberg

As power systems transition toward renewable-rich and inverter-dominated operations, accurate time-domain dynamic analysis becomes increasingly critical. Such analysis supports key operational tasks, including transient stability…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-04-17 Haoran Li , Lihao Mai , Chenhan Xiao , Erik Blasch , Yang Weng

Solving parametric partial differential equations (PDEs) presents significant challenges for data-driven methods due to the sensitivity of spatio-temporal dynamics to variations in PDE parameters. Machine learning approaches often struggle…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-11 Armand Kassaï Koupaï , Jorge Mifsut Benet , Yuan Yin , Jean-Noël Vittaut , Patrick Gallinari

Variational Autoencoders (VAEs) are a powerful framework for learning latent representations of reduced dimensionality, while Neural ODEs excel in learning transient system dynamics. This work combines the strengths of both to generate fast…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-27 Julius Aka , Johannes Brunnemann , Jörg Eiden , Arne Speerforck , Lars Mikelsons

End-to-end learning of dynamical systems with black-box models, such as neural ordinary differential equations (ODEs), provides a flexible framework for learning dynamics from data without prescribing a mathematical model for the dynamics.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-06-20 Paidamoyo Chapfuwa , Sherri Rose , Lawrence Carin , Edward Meeds , Ricardo Henao

The neural ordinary differential equation (ODE) framework has emerged as a powerful tool for developing accelerated surrogate models of complex physical systems governed by partial differential equations (PDEs). A popular approach for PDE…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2025-03-26 Ashish S. Nair , Shivam Barwey , Pinaki Pal , Jonathan F. MacArt , Troy Arcomano , Romit Maulik

Bayesian optimization (BO) is a popular technique for sequential black-box function optimization, with applications including parameter tuning, robotics, environmental monitoring, and more. One of the most important challenges in BO is the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-03-29 Paul Rolland , Jonathan Scarlett , Ilija Bogunovic , Volkan Cevher

Ordinary differential equations (ODEs) are widely used to characterize the dynamics of complex systems in real applications. In this article, we propose a novel joint estimation approach for generalized sparse additive ODEs where…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-19 Nan Zhang , Muye Nanshan , Jiguo Cao

Gaussian Process (GP) regression is a popular and sample-efficient approach for many engineering applications, where observations are expensive to acquire, and is also a central ingredient of Bayesian optimization (BO), a highly prevailing…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-06 Sébastien Da Veiga

Parameter inference of dynamical systems is a challenging task faced by many researchers and practitioners across various fields. In many applications, it is common that only limited variables are observable. In this paper, we propose a…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-01-01 Yu Chen , Jin Cheng , Arvind Gupta , Huaxiong Huang , Shixin Xu

A Bayesian non-parametric framework for studying time-to-event data is proposed, where the prior distribution is allowed to depend on an additional random source, and may update with the sample size. Such scenarios are natural, for…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-06 Martin Bladt , Jorge González Cázares

In many fields of application, dynamic processes that evolve through time are well described by systems of ordinary differential equations (ODEs). The analytical solution of the ODEs is often not available and different methods have been…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-07-19 Saverio Ranciati , Cinzia Viroli , Ernst Wit

Training dynamic models, such as neural ODEs, on long trajectories is a hard problem that requires using various tricks, such as trajectory splitting, to make model training work in practice. These methods are often heuristics with poor…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-09 Valerii Iakovlev , Cagatay Yildiz , Markus Heinonen , Harri Lähdesmäki

We propose a new method for inferring the governing stochastic ordinary differential equations (SODEs) by observing particle ensembles at discrete and sparse time instants, i.e., multiple "snapshots". Particle coordinates at a single time…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-23 Liu Yang , Constantinos Daskalakis , George Em Karniadakis