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In this paper we suggest two statistical hypothesis tests for the regression function of binary classification based on conditional kernel mean embeddings. The regression function is a fundamental object in classification as it determines…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-06-22 Ambrus Tamás , Balázs Csanád Csáji

This paper introduces a statistical test inferring whether a variable allows separating two classes by means of a single critical value. Its test statistic is the prediction error of a nonparametric threshold classifier. While this approach…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-07-17 Fabian Schroeder

Classical two-sample permutation tests for equality of distributions have exact size in finite samples, but they fail to control size for testing equality of parameters that summarize each distribution. This paper proposes permutation tests…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-04-22 Marinho Bertanha , EunYi Chung

In confirmatory clinical trials with small sample sizes, hypothesis tests based on asymptotic distributions are often not valid and exact non-parametric procedures are applied instead. However, the latter are based on discrete test…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-22 Robin Ristl , Dong Xi , Ekkehard Glimm , Martin Posch

The Neyman-Pearson (NP) binary classification paradigm constrains the more severe type of error (e.g., the type I error) under a preferred level while minimizing the other (e.g., the type II error). This paradigm is suitable for…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-07 Jingming Wang , Lucy Xia , Zhigang Bao , Xin Tong

The supremum of the standardized empirical process is a promising statistic for testing whether the distribution function $F$ of i.i.d. real random variables is either equal to a given distribution function $F_0$ (hypothesis) or $F \ge F_0$…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-07-19 Dietmar Ferger

The purpose of this paper is to discuss the existence of a nontrivial tradeoff relation for estimating two unitary-shift parameters in a relativistic spin-1/2 system. It is shown that any moving observer cannot estimate two parameters…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2023-12-06 Shin Funada , Jun Suzuki

A goodness-of-fit test for one-parameter count distributions with finite second moment is proposed. The test statistic is derived from the $L^1$ distance of a function of the probability generating function of the model under the null…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-06-11 Antonio Di Noia , Lucio Barabesi , Marzia Marcheselli , Caterina Pisani , Luca Pratelli

The problem of testing for the parametric form of the conditional variance is considered in a fully nonparametric regression model. A test statistic based on a weighted $L_2$-distance between the empirical characteristic functions of…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-07-24 Juan Carlos Pardo-Fernandez , M. Dolores Jimenez-Gamero

We provide a general theoretical analysis of expected out-of-sample utility, also referred to as decision-theoretic classification, for non-decomposable binary classification metrics such as F-measure and Jaccard coefficient. Our key result…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-05-08 Nagarajan Natarajan , Oluwasanmi Koyejo , Pradeep Ravikumar , Inderjit S. Dhillon

Many scientific applications involve testing theories that are only partially specified. This task often amounts to testing the goodness-of-fit of a candidate distribution while allowing for reasonable deviations from it. The tolerant…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-28 Lucas Kania , Tudor Manole , Larry Wasserman , Sivaraman Balakrishnan

Independence testing is a fundamental problem in statistical inference: given samples from a joint distribution $p$ over multiple random variables, the goal is to determine whether $p$ is a product distribution or is $\epsilon$-far from all…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-06 Maryam Aliakbarpour , Alireza Azizi , Ria Stevens

The ultimate limits of quantum state discrimination are often thought to be captured by asymptotic bounds that restrict the achievable error probabilities, notably the quantum Chernoff and Hoeffding bounds. Here we study hypothesis testing…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-12-10 Kaiyuan Ji , Bartosz Regula

We consider the structural change in a class of discrete valued time series that the conditional distribution follows a one-parameter exponential family. We propose a change-point test based on the maximum likelihood estimator of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-03-01 Mamadou Lamine Diop , William Kengne

Randomized experiments are increasingly employed in two-sided markets, such as buyer--seller platforms, to evaluate the effects of marketplace interventions. These experiments must reflect the underlying two-sided market structure in their…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-30 Jizhou Liu , Azeem M. Shaikh , Panos Toulis

While the accuracy-fairness trade-off has been frequently observed in the literature of fair machine learning, rigorous theoretical analyses have been scarce. To demystify this long-standing challenge, this work seeks to develop a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-20 Hua Tang , Lu Cheng , Ninghao Liu , Mengnan Du

Given observations from a stationary time series, permutation tests allow one to construct exactly level $\alpha$ tests under the null hypothesis of an i.i.d. (or, more generally, exchangeable) distribution. On the other hand, when the null…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-09-09 Joseph P. Romano , Marius A. Tirlea

Under the null hypothesis, the marginal probability of the positive response is symmetric at any specified correlated coefficient, and the discordance probability is also symmetric to the positive response probability. The marginal…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-11 Guanghui Huang

We study the fundamental problem of learning an unknown, smooth probability function via pointwise Bernoulli tests. We provide a scalable algorithm for efficiently solving this problem with rigorous guarantees. In particular, we prove the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-08-26 Paul Rolland , Ali Kavis , Alex Immer , Adish Singla , Volkan Cevher

In some high-dimensional and semiparametric inference problems involving two populations, the parameter of interest can be characterized by two-sample U-statistics involving some nuisance parameters. In this work we first extend the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-02 Yuchen Chen , Jing Lei