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As hypothesis generation becomes increasingly automated, a new bottleneck has emerged: hypothesis assessment. Modern systems can surface thousands of statistical relationships-correlations, trends, causal links-but offer little guidance on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-05 Yue Gong , Raul Castro Fernandez

Data privacy concerns have led to the growing interest in synthetic data, which strives to preserve the statistical properties of the original dataset while ensuring privacy by excluding real records. Recent advances in deep neural networks…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-15 Nir Keret , Ali Shojaie

Solving Bayesian inverse problems typically involves deriving a posterior distribution using Bayes' rule, followed by sampling from this posterior for analysis. Sampling methods, such as general-purpose Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC), are…

Mathematical Software · Computer Science 2025-09-16 Jasper M. Everink , Chao Zhang , Amal M. A. Alghamdi , Rémi Laumont , Nicolai A. B. Riis , Jakob S. Jørgensen

Constraints are a natural choice for prior information in Bayesian inference. In various applications, the parameters of interest lie on the boundary of the constraint set. In this paper, we use a method that implicitly defines a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-09-27 Jasper Marijn Everink , Yiqiu Dong , Martin Skovgaard Andersen

Fair data pre-processing is a widely used strategy for mitigating bias in machine learning. A promising line of research focuses on calibrating datasets to satisfy a designed fairness policy so that sensitive attributes influence outcomes…

Databases · Computer Science 2026-03-30 Ying Zheng , Yangfan Jiang , Kian-Lee Tan

Modern neural networks have proven to be powerful function approximators, providing state-of-the-art performance in a multitude of applications. They however fall short in their ability to quantify confidence in their predictions - this is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-29 Alex J. Chan , Ahmed M. Alaa , Zhaozhi Qian , Mihaela van der Schaar

Sparse modeling for signal processing and machine learning has been at the focus of scientific research for over two decades. Among others, supervised sparsity-aware learning comprises two major paths paved by: a) discriminative methods and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-11-23 Lei Cheng , Feng Yin , Sergios Theodoridis , Sotirios Chatzis , Tsung-Hui Chang

Predictive uncertainty quantification is crucial for reliable decision-making in various applied domains. Bayesian neural networks offer a powerful framework for this task. However, defining meaningful priors and ensuring computational…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-30 Yijia Liu , Xiao Wang

Specifying a Bayesian prior is notoriously difficult for complex models such as neural networks. Reasoning about parameters is made challenging by the high-dimensionality and over-parameterization of the space. Priors that seem benign and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-10-22 Eric Nalisnick , Jonathan Gordon , José Miguel Hernández-Lobato

When complex Bayesian models exhibit implausible behaviour, one solution is to assemble available information into an informative prior. Challenges arise as prior information is often only available for the observable quantity, or some…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-18 Andrew A. Manderson , Robert J. B. Goudie

To get Bayesian neural networks to perform comparably to standard neural networks it is usually necessary to artificially reduce uncertainty using a "tempered" or "cold" posterior. This is extremely concerning: if the prior is accurate,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-04-28 Laurence Aitchison

The deployment of AI systems in safety-critical domains, such as industrial defect inspection, autonomous driving, and medical diagnosis, is severely hampered by their lack of reliability. A single undetected erroneous prediction can lead…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-04-22 Hang-Cheng Dong , Yuhao Jiang , Yibo Jiao , Lu Zou , Kai Zheng , Bingguo Liu , Dong Ye , Guodong Liu

Foundation models, and in particular large language models, can generate highly informative responses, prompting growing interest in using these ''synthetic'' outputs as data in empirical research and decision-making. This paper introduces…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-12-02 Sanjog Misra

We formalize Prescriptive Artificial Intelligence as a distinct paradigm for human-AI decision collaboration in high-stakes environments. Unlike predictive systems optimized for outcome accuracy, prescriptive systems are designed to…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-03-26 Pedro Passos , Patrick Moratori

Explainable models in Artificial Intelligence are often employed to ensure transparency and accountability of AI systems. The fidelity of the explanations are dependent upon the algorithms used as well as on the fidelity of the data. Many…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-07-31 Muhammad Aurangzeb Ahmad , Carly Eckert , Ankur Teredesai

Classic Bayesian methods with complex models are frequently infeasible due to an intractable likelihood. Simulation-based inference methods, such as Approximate Bayesian Computing (ABC), calculate posteriors without accessing a likelihood…

Computation · Statistics 2026-01-09 Elliot Maceda , Emily C. Hector , Amanda Lenzi , Brian J. Reich

Artificial Intelligence (AI) based image analysis has an immense potential to support diagnostic histopathology, including cancer diagnostics. However, developing supervised AI methods requires large-scale annotated datasets. A potentially…

As data-driven modeling of physical dynamical systems becomes more prevalent, a new challenge is emerging: making these models more compatible and aligned with existing human knowledge. AI-driven scientific modeling processes typically…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-11 Kevin Zhang , Hod Lipson

Effective and rapid decision-making from randomized controlled trials (RCTs) requires unbiased and precise treatment effect inferences. Two strategies to address this requirement are to adjust for covariates that are highly correlated with…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-29 Alyssa M. Vanderbeek , Arman Sabbaghi , Jon R. Walsh , Charles K. Fisher

There are three principle paradigms of statistical inference: (i) Bayesian, (ii) information-based and (iii) frequentist inference. We describe an objective prior (the weighting or $w$-prior) which unifies objective Bayes and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-06-26 Colin H. LaMont , Paul A. Wiggins