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This work presents Causal Drift Generator (CaDrift), a time-dependent synthetic data generator framework based on Structural Causal Models (SCMs). The framework produces a virtually infinite combination of data streams with controlled shift…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-25 Eduardo V. L. Barboza , Jean Paul Barddal , Robert Sabourin , Rafael M. O. Cruz

Digital twins are virtual systems designed to predict how a real-world process will evolve in response to interventions. This modelling paradigm holds substantial promise in many applications, but rigorous procedures for assessing their…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-03 Rob Cornish , Muhammad Faaiz Taufiq , Arnaud Doucet , Chris Holmes

The fundamental problem of causal inference - that the counterfactual outcome for any individual is never observed - has shaped the entire methodology of the field. Every existing approach substitutes assumptions for missing data:…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-04-03 Olav Laudy

This work is interested in digital twins, and the development of a simplified framework for them, in the context of dynamical systems. Digital twin is an ingenious concept that helps on organizing different areas of expertise aiming at…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-01-29 TG Ritto , FA Rochinha

Healthcare artificial intelligence systems often degrade in performance when deployed across institutions, with documented performance drops and perpetuation of discriminatory patterns embedded in data. This brittleness comes, in part, from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-30 Munib Mesinovic , Max Buhlan , Tingting Zhu

AI-based digital twins are at the leading edge of the Industry 4.0 revolution, which are technologically empowered by the Internet of Things and real-time data analysis. Information collected from industrial assets is produced in a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-20 Jesus L. Lobo , Ibai Laña , Eneko Osaba , Javier Del Ser

Digital twinning in structural engineering is a rapidly evolving technology that aims to eliminate the gap between physical systems and their digital models through real-time sensing, visualization, and control techniques. Although Digital…

Applications · Statistics 2024-08-28 Zeyu Wang , Ziqi Wang

The process industry's high expectations for Digital Twins require modeling approaches that can generalize across tasks and diverse domains with potentially different data dimensions and distributional shifts i.e., Foundational Models.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-18 Michael Mayr , Georgios C. Chasparis , Josef Küng

Concept drift is formally defined as the change in joint distribution of a set of input variables X and a target variable y. The two types of drift that are extensively studied are real drift and virtual drift where the former is the change…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-12 Chang How Tan , Vincent CS Lee , Mahsa Salehi

While most ML models expect independent and identically distributed data, this assumption is often violated in real-world scenarios due to distribution shifts, resulting in the degradation of machine learning model performance. Until now,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-19 Kai Helli , David Schnurr , Noah Hollmann , Samuel Müller , Frank Hutter

The digital twin concept represents an appealing opportunity to advance condition-based and predictive maintenance paradigms for civil engineering systems, thus allowing reduced lifecycle costs, increased system safety, and increased system…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-11-10 Matteo Torzoni , Marco Tezzele , Stefano Mariani , Andrea Manzoni , Karen E. Willcox

A vast amount of expert and domain knowledge is captured by causal structural priors, yet there has been little research on testing such priors for generalization and data synthesis purposes. We propose a novel model architecture, Causal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-08 Jeffrey Jiang , Omead Pooladzandi , Sunay Bhat , Gregory Pottie

In a world that constantly changes, it is crucial to understand how those changes impact different systems, such as industrial manufacturing or critical infrastructure. Explaining critical changes, referred to as concept drift in the field…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-14 David Komnick , Kathrin Lammers , Barbara Hammer , Valerie Vaquet , Fabian Hinder

Detecting drifts in data is essential for machine learning applications, as changes in the statistics of processed data typically has a profound influence on the performance of trained models. Most of the available drift detection methods…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-28 Andrea Castellani , Sebastian Schmitt , Barbara Hammer

The remarkable success of large-scale contrastive pre-training has been largely driven by by vast yet static datasets. However, as the scaling paradigm evolves, this paradigm encounters a fundamental challenge when applied to dynamic data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-25 Xiaoyu Yang , Jie Lu , En Yu , Wei Duan

Knowledge about existence, strength, and dominant direction of causal influences is of paramount importance for understanding complex systems. With limited amounts of realistic data, however, current methods for investigating causal links…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2020-10-20 Erik Laminski , Klaus R. Pawelzik

Industrial Control Systems (ICS) in water distribution and treatment face cyber-physical attacks exploiting network and physical vulnerabilities. Current water system anomaly detection methods rely on correlations, yielding high false…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2026-01-21 Mohammadhossein Homaei , Mehran Tarif , Pablo Garcia Rodriguez , Andres Caro , Mar Avila

Concept drift in learning and classification occurs when the statistical properties of either the data features or target change over time; evidence of drift has appeared in search data, medical research, malware, web data, and video. Drift…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-03 Abhijit Suprem

When learning from streaming data, a change in the data distribution, also known as concept drift, can render a previously-learned model inaccurate and require training a new model. We present an adaptive learning algorithm that extends…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-04 Ashraf Tahmasbi , Ellango Jothimurugesan , Srikanta Tirthapura , Phillip B. Gibbons

Causal influence measures for machine learnt classifiers shed light on the reasons behind classification, and aid in identifying influential input features and revealing their biases. However, such analyses involve evaluating the classifier…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-04-10 Shayak Sen , Piotr Mardziel , Anupam Datta , Matthew Fredrikson
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