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Precise asymptotics for moderate deviation probabilities are established for open convex sets in both the finite- and infinite-dimensional settings. Our results are based on the existence of dominating points for these sets, a related…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-07 Uwe Einmahl , James Kuelbs

The large deviation principle on phase space is proved for a class of Markov processes known as random population dynamics with catastrophes. In the paper we study the process which corresponds to the random population dynamics with linear…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-11-18 A. Logachov , O. Logachova , A. Yambartsev

In this paper, we derive the moderate deviation principle for stationary sequences of bounded random variables with values in a Hilbert space. The conditions obtained are expressed in terms of martingale-type conditions. The main tools are…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-01-21 Sophie Dede

In this paper we study the Maki-Thompson rumor model on infinite Cayley trees. The basic version of the model is defined by assuming that a population represented by a graph is subdivided into three classes of individuals: ignorants,…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-02 Valdivino V. Junior , Pablo M. Rodriguez , Adalto Speroto

The Conway-Maxwell-Poisson (CMP) distribution is a natural two-parameter generalisation of the Poisson distribution which has received some attention in the statistics literature in recent years by offering flexible generalisations of some…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-03-17 Fraser Daly , Robert E. Gaunt

In this article, we develop a framework to study the large deviation principle for matrix models and their quantized versions, by tilting the measures using the limits of spherical integrals obtained in [46,47]. As examples, we obtain 1. a…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-04-25 Serban Belinschi , Alice Guionnet , Jiaoyang Huang

The Principle of Maximum Entropy is a rigorous technique for estimating an unknown distribution given partial information while simultaneously minimizing bias. However, an important requirement for applying the principle is that the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2026-02-03 Kenneth Bogert , Matthew Kothe

Ordinary differential equations obtained as limits of Markov processes appear in many settings. They may arise by scaling large systems, or by averaging rapidly fluctuating systems, or in systems involving multiple time-scales, by a…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-03-24 Hye-Won Kang , Thomas G. Kurtz , Lea Popovic

For Markov processes evolving on multiple time-scales a combination of large component scalings and averaging of rapid fluctuations can lead to useful limits for model approximation. A general approach to proving a law of large numbers to a…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-29 Lea Popovic

We establish a Cram\'er-type moderate deviation theorem for double-index permutation statistics (DIPS). To the best of our knowledge, previous results only provided Berry-Esseen type bounds for DIPS, which cannot yield moderate deviation…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-27 Songhao Liu , Qiman Shao , Jingyu Xu

In this paper, we proved moderate deviation principles for a fully coupled two-time-scale stochastic systems, where the slow process is given by stochastic differential equations with small noise, while the fast process is a rapidly…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-02 Hongjiang Qian

This note provides a tool to infer moderate deviations principles for specific random variables from deviations principles for their Hubbard-Stratonovich transforms.

Probability · Mathematics 2012-10-03 Matthias Löwe , Raphael Meiners

The theorem of Furstenberg and Kesten provides a strong law of large numbers for the norm of a product of random matrices. This can be extended under various assumptions, covering nonnegative as well as invertible matrices, to a law of…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-02-10 Dariusz Buraczewski , Sebastian Mentemeier

Large deviations for sums of i.i.d.\ random variables with stretched-exponential tails (also called Weibull or semi-exponential tails) have been well understood since the 60's, going back to Nagaev's seminal work. Many extensions in the…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-04 Nina Gantert , Joscha Prochno , Philipp Tuchel

The Large Deviation Principle is established for stochastic models defined by past-dependent non linear recursions with small noise. In the Markov case we use the result to obtain an explicit expression for the asymptotics of exit time.

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 F. Klebaner , R. Liptser

Suppose $k$ centers are fit to $m$ points by heuristically minimizing the $k$-means cost; what is the corresponding fit over the source distribution? This question is resolved here for distributions with $p\geq 4$ bounded moments; in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-11-11 Matus Telgarsky , Sanjoy Dasgupta

We show that an appropriately defined fluctuation-dissipation theorem, connecting generalized susceptibilities and time correlation functions, is valid for times shorter than the nucleation time of the metastable state of Markovian systems…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 G. Baez , H. Larralde , F. Leyvraz , R. A. Mendez-Sanchez

In this work, we obtain the central limit theorem for fluctuations of Young diagrams around their limit shape in the bulk of the "spectrum" of partitions of a large integer n (under the Plancherel measure). More specifically, we show that,…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 L. V. Bogachev , Z. G. Su

A large deviation principle is derived for stochastic partial differential equations with slow-fast components. The result shows that the rate function is exactly that of the averaged equation plus the fluctuating deviation which is a…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-01-28 Wei Wang , A. J. Roberts , Jinqiao Duan

Considering the existence of nonconformal stochastic fluctuations in the metric tensor a generalized uncertainty principle and a deformed dispersion relation (associated to the propagation of photons) are deduced. Matching our model with…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2007-05-23 Abel Camacho