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We investigate the probability that an insurance portfolio gets ruined within a finite time period under the assumption that the r largest claims are (partly) reinsured. We show that for regularly varying claim sizes the probability of ruin…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-05-15 Hansjörg Albrecher , Bohan Chen , Eleni Vatamidou , Bert Zwart

Based on a discrete version of the Pollaczeck-Khinchine formula, a general method to calculate the ultimate ruin probability in the Gerber-Dickson risk model is provided when claims follow a negative binomial mixture distribution. The…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-06-03 David J. Santana , Luis Rincon

This paper considers the Cram\'er-Lundberg model, with the additional feature that the number of clients can fluctuate over time. Clients arrive according to a Poisson process, where the times they spend in the system form a sequence of…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-05-25 Peter Braunsteins , Michel Mandjes

If a given aggregate process $S$ is a compound mixed renewal process under a probability measure $P$, we provide a characterization of all probability measures $Q$ on the domain of $P$ such that $Q$ and $P$ are progressively equivalent and…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-08-02 Spyridon M. Tzaninis , Nikolaos D. Macheras

In this work, we derive a complete characterization of all ruin-inducing probability measures that preserve the structure of a given compound renewal process in terms of suitable pairs of functions $(\gamma,\delta)$. This result allows us…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-28 Spyridon M. Tzaninis , Apostolos Bozikas

Important models in insurance, for example the Carm{\'e}r--Lundberg theory and the Sparre Andersen model, essentially rely on the Poisson process. The process is used to model arrival times of insurance claims. This paper extends the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-04-16 Arun Kumar , Nikolai Leonenko , Alois Pichler

In this paper we revisited the classical problem of max-sum equivalence of randomly weighted sums in two dimensions. In opposite to the most papers in literature, we consider that there exists some interdependence between the primary random…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-27 Dimitrios G. Konstantinides , Charalampos D. Passalidis

We analyse the ruin probabilities for a renewal insurance risk process with inter-arrival time distributions depending on the claims that arrived within a fixed (past) time window. This dependence could be explained through a regenerative…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-04-22 Corina Constantinescu , Suhang Dai , Weihong Ni , Zbigniew Palmowski

This paper considers the ruin problem with random premiums, whose densities have rational Laplace transforms, and investments in a risky asset whose price follows a geometric Brownian motion. The asymptotic behavior of the ruin probability…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-12 Viktor Antipov

We consider the problem of minimizing the probability of ruin by purchasing reinsurance whose premium is computed according to the mean-variance premium principle, a combination of the expected-value and variance premium principles. We…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-07-07 Xiaoqing Liang , Zhibin Liang , Virginia R. Young

Contemporary insurance theory is concentrated on models with different types of polices and shock events may influence the payments on some of them. Jordanova (2018) considered a model where a shock event contributes to the total claim…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-06-28 Pavlina Jordanova , Evelina Veleva , Kosto Mitov

In this short note, we derive explicit formulas for the joint densities of the time to ruin and the number of claims until ruin in perturbed classical risk models, by constructing several auxiliary random processes.

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-22 Peng Liu , Chunsheng Zhang , Lanpeng Ji

This paper studies an optimal investment-reinsurance problem for an insurer (she) under the Cram\'er--Lundberg model with monotone mean--variance (MMV) criterion. At any time, the insurer can purchase reinsurance (or acquire new business)…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-05-30 Xiaomin Shi , Zuo Quan Xu

Heavy-tailed random variables have been used in insurance research to model both loss frequencies and loss severities, with substantially more emphasis on the latter. In the present work, we take a step toward addressing this imbalance by…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-11 Jiansheng Dai , Ziheng Huang , Michael R. Powers , Jiaxin Xu

This paper studies the tail probability of weighted sums of the form $\sum_{i=1}^n c_i X_i$, where random variables $X_i$'s are either independent or pairwise quasi-asymptotical independent with heavy tails. Using $h$-insensitive function,…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-04-01 Chenhua Zhang

We formulate the insurance risk process in a general Levy process setting, and give general theorems for the ruin probability and the asymptotic distribution of the overshoot of the process above a high level, when the process drifts to…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Claudia Kluppelberg , Andreas E. Kyprianou , Ross A. Maller

In this paper we give few expressions and asymptotics of ruin probabilities for a Markov modulated risk process for various regimes of a time horizon, initial reserves and a claim size distribution. We also consider few versions of the ruin…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-05 Zbigniew Palmowski

We consider a bivariate Cramer-Lundberg-type risk reserve process with the special feature that each insurance company agrees to cover the deficit of the other. It is assumed that the capital transfers between the companies are…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-05-05 Jevgenijs Ivanovs , Onno Boxma

We consider a generalization of the classical risk model when the premium intensity depends on the current surplus of an insurance company. All surplus is invested in the risky asset, the price of which follows a geometric Brownian motion.…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-03-28 Yuliya Mishura , Mykola Perestyuk , Olena Ragulina

This paper develops asymptotics and approximations for ruin probabilities in a multivariate risk setting. We consider a model in which the individual reserve processes are driven by a common Markovian environmental process. We subsequently…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-12-24 G. A. Delsing , M. R. H. Mandjes , P. J. C. Spreij , E. M. M. Winands