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We propose a new framework for the simultaneous inference of monotone and smoothly time-varying functions under complex temporal dynamics. This will be done utilizing the monotone rearrangement and the nonparametric estimation. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-08-20 Tianpai Luo , Weichi Wu

A non-Bayesian, regression-based or generalized least squares (GLS)-based approach is formally proposed to estimate a class of time-varying AR parameter models. This approach has partly been used by Ito et al. (2014, 2016a,b), and is proven…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-12-22 Mikio Ito , Akihiko Noda , Tatsuma Wada

A popular approach to model interactions is to represent them as a network with nodes being the agents and the interactions being the edges. Interactions are often timestamped, which leads to having timestamped edges. Many real-world…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-08-30 Chamalee Wickrama Arachchi , Nikolaj Tatti

This article proposes methods to model nonstationary temporal graph processes. This corresponds to modelling the observation of edge variables (relationships between objects) indicating interactions between pairs of nodes (or objects)…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-07 Maria Suveges , Sofia C. Olhede

In this paper, we extend the classical Color Refinement algorithm for static networks to temporal (undirected and directed) networks. This enables us to design an algorithm to sample synthetic networks that preserves the $d$-hop…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-05-23 Felix I. Stamm , Mehdi Naima , Michael T. Schaub

In this paper, we study nonparametric models allowing for locally stationary regressors and a regression function that changes smoothly over time. These models are a natural extension of time series models with time-varying coefficients. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-02-19 Michael Vogt

We devise a distributed asynchronous stochastic epsilon-gradient-based algorithm to enable a network of computing and communicating nodes to solve a constrained discrete-time time-varying stochastic convex optimization problem. Each node…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-10-02 Andrea Simonetto , Leon Kester , Geert Leus

With an ever-increasing number of sensors in modern society, spatio-temporal time series forecasting has become a de facto tool to make informed decisions about the future. Most spatio-temporal forecasting models typically comprise distinct…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-24 Lars Ødegaard Bentsen , Narada Dilp Warakagoda , Roy Stenbro , Paal Engelstad

Given an undirected and connected graph $G$ on $T$ vertices, suppose each vertex $t$ has a latent signal $x_t \in \mathbb{R}^n$ associated to it. Given partial linear measurements of the signals, for a potentially small subset of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-04 Hemant Tyagi

Temporal dynamics, characterised by time-varying degree heterogeneity and homophily effects, are often exhibited in many real-world networks. As observed in an MIT Social Evolution study, the in-degree and out-degree of the nodes show…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-29 Yuguo Chen , Lianqiang Qu , Jinfeng Xu , Ting Yan , Yunpeng Zhou

In this paper, we adopt a latent variable method to formulate a network model with arbitrarily dependent structure. We assume that the latent variables follow a multivariate normal distribution and a link between two nodes forms if the sum…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-03-28 Ting Yan

We consider the fundamental learning problem of estimating properties of distributions over large domains. Using a novel piecewise-polynomial approximation technique, we derive the first unified methodology for constructing sample- and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-18 Yi Hao , Alon Orlitsky

The recovery of time-varying graph signals is a fundamental problem with numerous applications in sensor networks and forecasting in time series. Effectively capturing the spatio-temporal information in these signals is essential for the…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-08-15 Jhon A. Castro-Correa , Jhony H. Giraldo , Anindya Mondal , Mohsen Badiey , Thierry Bouwmans , Fragkiskos D. Malliaros

This paper discusses a general framework for smoothing parameter estimation for models with regular likelihoods constructed in terms of unknown smooth functions of covariates. Gaussian random effects and parametric terms may also be…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-05-10 Simon N. Wood , Natalya Pya , Benjamin Säfken

Modern, inherently dynamic systems are usually characterized by a network structure, i.e. an underlying graph topology, which is subject to discrete changes over time. Given a static underlying graph $G$, a temporal graph can be represented…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2019-08-13 Eleni C. Akrida , George B. Mertzios , Paul G. Spirakis , Viktor Zamaraev

This paper develops a unified and computationally efficient method for change-point estimation along the time dimension in a non-stationary spatio-temporal process. By modeling a non-stationary spatio-temporal process as a piecewise…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-09 Zifeng Zhao , Ting Fung Ma , Wai Leong Ng , Chun Yip Yau

Generalized additive models have been popular among statisticians and data analysts in multivariate nonparametric regression with non-Gaussian responses including binary and count data. In this paper, a new likelihood approach for fitting…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Kyusang Yu , Byeong U. Park , Enno Mammen

This paper investigates a partially linear spatial autoregressive panel data model that incorporates fixed effects, constant and time-varying regression coefficients, and a time-varying spatial lag coefficient. A two-stage least squares…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-10-15 Lingling Tian , Chuanhua Wei , Mixia Wu

The smooth piecewise-linear models cover a wide range of applications nowadays. Basically, there are two classes of them: models are transitional or hyperbolic according to their behaviour at the phase-transition zones. This study explored…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-17 Ferreira , Iuri Emmanuel de Paula , Zocchi , Silvio Sandoval

This paper presents a new iterative state estimation algorithm for advection dominated flows with non-Gaussian uncertainty description of $L^\infty$-type: uncertain initial condition and model error are assumed to be pointvise bounded in…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-12-05 Emanuele Ragnoli , Mykhaylo Zayats , Fearghal O'Donncha , Sergiy Zhuk
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