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We propose a new Bayesian Markov switching regression model for multidimensional arrays (tensors) of binary time series. We assume a zero-inflated logit regression with time-varying parameters and apply it to multilayer temporal networks.…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-05 Monica Billio , Roberto Casarin , Matteo Iacopini

We propose a novel framework for learning time-varying graphs from spatiotemporal measurements. Given an appropriate prior on the temporal behavior of signals, our proposed method can estimate time-varying graphs from a small number of…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-09-10 Haruki Yokota , Koki Yamada , Yuichi Tanaka , Antonio Ortega

We live in a world increasingly dominated by networks -- communications, social, information, biological etc. A central attribute of many of these networks is that they are dynamic, that is, they exhibit structural changes over time. While…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2010-12-02 Prithwish Basu , Amotz Bar-Noy , Ram Ramanathan , Matthew P. Johnson

We propose a single time-scale stochastic subgradient method for constrained optimization of a composition of several nonsmooth and nonconvex functions. The functions are assumed to be locally Lipschitz and differentiable in a generalized…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-12-22 Andrzej Ruszczynski

Probabilistic forecasting of multivariate time series is essential for various downstream tasks. Most existing approaches rely on the sequences being uniformly spaced and aligned across all variables. However, real-world multivariate time…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-18 Yijun Li , Cheuk Hang Leung , Qi Wu

We describe a novel method for modeling non-stationary multivariate time series, with time-varying conditional dependencies represented through dynamic networks. Our proposed approach combines traditional multi-scale modeling and network…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-12-25 Xinyu Kang , Apratim Ganguly , Eric D. Kolaczyk

Another facet of the elegant link between random processes on graphs and Laplacian-based numerical linear algebra is uncovered: based on random spanning forests, novel Monte-Carlo estimators for graph signal smoothing are proposed. These…

Discrete Mathematics · Computer Science 2020-02-06 Yusuf Y. Pilavci , Pierre-Olivier Amblard , Simon Barthelmé , Nicolas Tremblay

In the study of dynamical processes on networks, there has been intense focus on network structure -- i.e., the arrangement of edges and their associated weights -- but the effects of the temporal patterns of edges remains poorly…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-06-16 Till Hoffmann , Mason A. Porter , Renaud Lambiotte

Adaptive homodyne estimation of a continuously evolving optical phase using time-symmetric quantum smoothing has been demonstrated experimentally to provide superior accuracy in the phase estimate compared to adaptive or nonadaptive…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2015-09-14 Shibdas Roy , Ian R. Petersen , Elanor H. Huntington

Pairwise temporal interactions between entities can be represented as temporal networks, which code the propagation of processes such as epidemic spreading or information cascades, evolving on top of them. The largest outcome of these…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-07-12 Rémi Vaudaine , Pierre Borgnat , Paulo Goncalves , Rémi Gribonval , Márton Karsai

Stochastic networks are a plausible representation of the relational information among entities in dynamic systems such as living cells or social communities. While there is a rich literature in estimating a static or temporally invariant…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2010-10-21 Mladen Kolar , Le Song , Amr Ahmed , Eric P. Xing

We propose a consistent polynomial-time method for the unseeded node matching problem for networks with smooth underlying structures. Despite widely conjectured by the research community that the structured graph matching problem to be…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-08-24 Yuan Zhang

Neighborhood smoothing methods achieve minimax-optimal rates for estimating edge probabilities under graphon models, but their use for statistical inference has remained limited. The main obstacle is that classical neighborhood smoothers…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-17 Behzad Aalipur , Rachel Kilby

Time-varying graph signals are alternative representation of multivariate (or multichannel) signals in which a single time-series is associated with each of the nodes or vertex of a graph. Aided by the graph-theoretic tools, time-varying…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-01-10 Naveed ur Rehman

In this paper, we propose an online algorithm mspace for forecasting node features in temporal graphs, which captures spatial cross-correlation among different nodes as well as the temporal auto-correlation within a node. The algorithm can…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-24 Aniq Ur Rahman , Justin P. Coon

Temporal networks have been increasingly used to model a diversity of systems that evolve in time; for example human contact structures over which dynamic processes such as epidemics take place. A fundamental aspect of real-life networks is…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-11-08 Luis E C Rocha , Naoki Masuda , Petter Holme

This paper proposes a spatiotemporal graph neural network-based performance prediction algorithm to address the challenge of forecasting performance fluctuations in distributed backend systems with multi-level service call structures. The…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-12 Zhihao Xue , Yun Zi , Nia Qi , Ming Gong , Yujun Zou

Temporal networks model a variety of important phenomena involving timed interactions between entities. Existing methods for machine learning on temporal networks generally exhibit at least one of two limitations. First, time is assumed to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-04 Sudhanshu Chanpuriya , Ryan A. Rossi , Sungchul Kim , Tong Yu , Jane Hoffswell , Nedim Lipka , Shunan Guo , Cameron Musco

Understanding the evolutionary patterns of real-world evolving complex systems such as human interactions, transport networks, biological interactions, and computer networks has important implications in our daily lives. Predicting future…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-19 Khushnood Abbas , Alireza Abbasi , Dong Shi , Niu Ling , Mingsheng Shang , Chen Liong , Bolun Chen

Time-evolving or temporal graphs gain more and more popularity when studying the behavior of complex networks. In this context, the multistage view on computational problems is among the most natural frameworks. Roughly speaking, herein one…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2020-07-30 Klaus Heeger , Anne-Sophie Himmel , Frank Kammer , Rolf Niedermeier , Malte Renken , Andrej Sajenko