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Latent stochastic differential equation (SDE) models are important tools for the unsupervised discovery of dynamical systems from data, with applications ranging from engineering to neuroscience. In these complex domains, exact posterior…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-25 Amber Hu , Henry Smith , Scott Linderman

We introduce a Bayesian system identification (SysID) framework for jointly estimating robot's state trajectories and physical parameters with high accuracy. It embeds physically consistent inverse dynamics, contact and loop-closure…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-02-19 Sergi Martinez , Steve Tonneau , Carlos Mastalli

Short-term precipitation forecasting is essential for planning of human activities in multiple scales, ranging from individuals' planning, urban management to flood prevention. Yet the short-term atmospheric dynamics are highly nonlinear…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-26 Donlapark Ponnoprat

Approximating distributions over complicated manifolds, such as natural images, are conceptually attractive. The deep latent variable model, trained using variational autoencoders and generative adversarial networks, is now a key technique…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-10-08 Wenju Xu , Shawn Keshmiri , Guanghui Wang

In this paper, we address the issue of modeling and estimating changes in the state of the spatio-temporal dynamical systems based on a sequence of observations like video frames. Traditional numerical simulation systems depend largely on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-12 Kun Wang , Hao Wu , Guibin Zhang , Junfeng Fang , Yuxuan Liang , Yuankai Wu , Roger Zimmermann , Yang Wang

The quantitative formulation of evolution equations is the backbone for prediction, control, and understanding of dynamical systems across diverse scientific fields. Besides deriving differential equations for dynamical systems based on…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2025-01-06 Tim W. Kroll , Oliver Kamps

Time-varying linear state-space models are powerful tools for obtaining mathematically interpretable representations of neural signals. For example, switching and decomposed models describe complex systems using latent variables that evolve…

Diffusion (score-based) generative models have been widely used for modeling various types of complex data, including images, audios, and point clouds. Recently, the deep connection between forward-backward stochastic differential equations…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-22 Weitao Du , Tao Yang , He Zhang , Yuanqi Du

While the identification of nonlinear dynamical systems is a fundamental building block of model-based reinforcement learning and feedback control, its sample complexity is only understood for systems that either have discrete states and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-19 Horia Mania , Michael I. Jordan , Benjamin Recht

We develop a variational Bayes approach for dynamic variable selection in high-dimensional regression models with time-varying parameters and predictors that exhibit a predefined group structure. Through comprehensive simulation studies, we…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-16 Nicolas Bianco , Mauro Bernardi , Daniele Bianchi

In designing efficient feedback control laws for fluid flow, the modern control theory can serve as a powerful tool if the model can be represented by a linear ordinary differential equation (ODE). However, it is generally difficult to find…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2023-11-16 Hiroshi Omichi , Takeru Ishize , Koji Fukagata

In the contemporary digital landscape, the continuous generation of extensive streaming data across diverse domains has become pervasive. Yet, a significant portion of this data remains unlabeled, posing a challenge in identifying…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-08-25 Jin Li , Kleanthis Malialis , Christos G. Panayiotou , Marios M. Polycarpou

Models defined by stochastic differential equations (SDEs) allow for the representation of random variability in dynamical systems. The relevance of this class of models is growing in many applied research areas and is already a standard…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-08-06 Umberto Picchini

The Dynamic Nelson--Siegel (DNS) model is a widely used framework for term structure forecasting. We propose a novel extension that models DNS residuals as a Gaussian random field, capturing dependence across both time and maturity. The…

Applications · Statistics 2026-01-01 Qihao Duan , Alexandre B. Simas , David Bolin , Raphaël Huser

Discrete dynamical models underpin systems biology, but we still lack substrate-agnostic diagnostics for identifying finite-horizon dynamical signatures that may be relevant to open-ended evolution (OEE), such as the recurrent production of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-05-27 Amahury J. López-Díaz , Pedro Juan Rivera Torres , Gerardo L. Febres , Carlos Gershenson

Although variational autoencoders (VAEs) represent a widely influential deep generative model, many aspects of the underlying energy function remain poorly understood. In particular, it is commonly believed that Gaussian encoder/decoder…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-31 Bin Dai , David Wipf

Density estimation, compression and data generation are crucial tasks in artificial intelligence. Variational Auto-Encoders (VAEs) constitute a single framework to achieve these goals. Here, we present a novel class of generative models,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-07-07 Ioannis Gatopoulos , Jakub M. Tomczak

Stochastic differential equations (SDEs) are well suited to modelling noisy and irregularly sampled time series found in finance, physics, and machine learning. Traditional approaches require costly numerical solvers to sample between…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-30 Naoki Kiyohara , Edward Johns , Yingzhen Li

This paper presents a deep generative modeling framework for controllably synthesizing implied volatility surfaces (IVSs) using a variational autoencoder (VAE). Unlike conventional data-driven models, our approach provides explicit control…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-09-03 Jing Wang , Shuaiqiang Liu , Cornelis Vuik

The generative learning phase of Autoencoder (AE) and its successor Denosing Autoencoder (DAE) enhances the flexibility of data stream method in exploiting unlabelled samples. Nonetheless, the feasibility of DAE for data stream analytic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-09-25 Mahardhika Pratama , Andri Ashfahani , Yew Soon Ong , Savitha Ramasamy , Edwin Lughofer