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Bayesian flow networks (BFNs) iteratively refine the parameters, instead of the samples in diffusion models (DMs), of distributions at various noise levels through Bayesian inference. Owing to its differentiable nature, BFNs are promising…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-04 Kaiwen Xue , Yuhao Zhou , Shen Nie , Xu Min , Xiaolu Zhang , Jun Zhou , Chongxuan Li

This paper introduces an innovative Bayesian machine learning algorithm to draw interpretable inference on heterogeneous causal effects in the presence of imperfect compliance (e.g., under an irregular assignment mechanism). We show,…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-02 Falco J. Bargagli-Stoffi , Kristof De-Witte , Giorgio Gnecco

We address the problem of finding the maximizer of a nonlinear smooth function, that can only be evaluated point-wise, subject to constraints on the number of permitted function evaluations. This problem is also known as fixed-budget best…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-11-12 Matthew W. Hoffman , Bobak Shahriari , Nando de Freitas

Bayesian models provide a framework for probabilistic modelling of complex datasets. However, many of such models are computationally demanding especially in the presence of large datasets. On the other hand, in sensor network applications,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-07-06 Behnam Babagholami-Mohamadabadi , Sejong Yoon , Vladimir Pavlovic

We introduce a comprehensive Bayesian multivariate predictive inference framework. The basis for our framework is a hierarchical Bayesian model, that is a mixture of finite Polya trees corresponding to multiple dyadic partitions of the unit…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-27 Daniel Yekutieli

We develop a fast and scalable computational framework to solve large-scale and high-dimensional Bayesian optimal experimental design problems. In particular, we consider the problem of optimal observation sensor placement for Bayesian…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-11-09 Keyi Wu , Peng Chen , Omar Ghattas

What if there is a teacher who knows the learning goal and wants to design good training data for a machine learner? We propose an optimal teaching framework aimed at learners who employ Bayesian models. Our framework is expressed as an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-10-04 Xiaojin Zhu

We consider the Bayesian optimal filtering problem: i.e. estimating some conditional statistics of a latent time-series signal from an observation sequence. Classical approaches often rely on the use of assumed or estimated transition and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-03-16 Adrian N. Bishop , Edwin V. Bonilla

We study the problem of estimating a continuous ability parameter from sequential binary responses by actively asking questions with varying difficulties, a setting that arises naturally in adaptive testing and online preference learning.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-10 Sanghwa Kim , Dohyun Ahn , Seungki Min

We study the problem of causal discovery through targeted interventions. Starting from few observational measurements, we follow a Bayesian active learning approach to perform those experiments which, in expectation with respect to the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-10-10 Julius von Kügelgen , Paul K Rubenstein , Bernhard Schölkopf , Adrian Weller

This paper presents an efficient Bayesian framework for solving nonlinear, high-dimensional model calibration problems. It is based on a Variational Bayesian formulation that aims at approximating the exact posterior by means of solving an…

Applications · Statistics 2015-11-02 Isabell M. Franck , P. S. Koutsourelakis

Graph generation aims to sample discrete node and edge attributes while satisfying coupled structural constraints. Diffusion models for graphs often adopt largely factorized forward-noising, and many flow-matching methods start from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-02 Yida Xiong , Jiameng Chen , Xiuwen Gong , Jia Wu , Shirui Pan , Wenbin Hu

We are witnessing the birth of a new variety of pharmacokinetics where non-integer-order differential equations are employed to study the time course of drugs in the body: this is dubbed "fractional pharmacokinetics." The presence of…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-04-25 Pantelis Sopasakis , Haralambos Sarimveis , Panos Macheras , Aristides Dokoumetzidis

High-dimensional data are crucial in biomedical research. Integrating such data from multiple studies is a critical process that relies on the choice of advanced statistical models, enhancing statistical power, reproducibility, and…

Applications · Statistics 2025-06-24 Mavis Liang , Blake Hansen , Alejandra Avalos-Pacheco , Roberta De Vito

Bayesian inference methods are applied within a Bayesian hierarchical modelling framework to the problems of joint state and parameter estimation, and of state forecasting. We explore and demonstrate the ideas in the context of a simple…

Applications · Statistics 2012-11-09 John Parslow , Noel Cressie , Edward P. Campbell , Emlyn Jones , Lawrence Murray

This paper addresses the estimation of parameters of a Bayesian network from incomplete data. The task is usually tackled by running the Expectation-Maximization (EM) algorithm several times in order to obtain a high log-likelihood…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-03-19 Giorgio Corani , Cassio P. De Campos

This article proposes a method of estimating benchmark dose (BMD) using a family of link functions in binomial response models dealing with model uncertainty problems. Researchers usually estimate the BMD using binomial response models with…

Applications · Statistics 2016-12-22 I. Das

The problem of sequentially maximizing the expectation of a function seeks to maximize the expected value of a function of interest without having direct control on its features. Instead, the distribution of such features depends on a given…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-26 Diego Martinez-Taboada , Dino Sejdinovic

Bayesian optimization is normally performed within fixed variable bounds. In cases like hyperparameter tuning for machine learning algorithms, setting the variable bounds is not trivial. It is hard to guarantee that any fixed bounds will…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-01-15 Wei Chen , Mark Fuge

Bayesian optimization (BO) with preference-based feedback has recently garnered significant attention due to its emerging applications. We refer to this problem as Bayesian Optimization from Human Feedback (BOHF), which differs from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-30 Aya Kayal , Sattar Vakili , Laura Toni , Da-shan Shiu , Alberto Bernacchia