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This paper proposes the beta binomial autoregressive moving average model (BBARMA) for modeling quantized amplitude data and bounded count data. The BBARMA model estimates the conditional mean of a beta binomial distributed variable…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-02 B. G. Palm , F. M. Bayer , R. J. Cintra

Estimation of the long-term health effects of air pollution is a challenging task, especially when modelling small-area disease incidence data in an ecological study design. The challenge comes from the unobserved underlying spatial…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-05-24 Duncan Lee , Alastair Rushworth , Sujit K. Sahu

In this paper we introduce the Kumaraswamy autoregressive moving average models (KARMA), which is a dynamic class of models for time series taking values in the double bounded interval $(a,b)$ following the Kumaraswamy distribution. The…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-16 Fábio Mariano Bayer , Débora Missio Bayer , Guilherme Pumi

Airborne particulate matter (PM2.5) is a major public health concern in urban environments, where population density and emission sources exacerbate exposure risks. We present a novel Bayesian spatiotemporal fusion model to estimate monthly…

The length-biased Birnbaum-Saunders distribution is both useful and practical for environmental sciences. In this paper, we initially derive some new properties for the length-biased Birnbaum-Saunders distribution, showing that one of its…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-29 Kessys L. P. Oliveira , Bruno S. Castro , Helton Saulo , Roberto Vila

Air pollution constitutes a global problem of paramount importance that affects not only human health, but also the environment. The existence of spatial and temporal data regarding the concentrations of pollutants is crucial for performing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-13 Teresa Bernardino , Maria Alexandra Oliveira , João Nuno Silva

Air pollution remains a critical environmental and public health challenge, demanding high-resolution spatial data to better understand its spatial distribution and impacts. This study addresses the challenges of conducting multivariate…

Applications · Statistics 2025-03-18 Fernando Rodriguez Avellaneda , Erick A. Chacón-Montalván , Paula Moraga

Global ambient air pollution, a transboundary challenge, is typically addressed through interventions relying on data from spatially sparse and heterogeneously placed monitoring stations. These stations often encounter temporal data gaps…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-19 Liam J Berrisford , Hugo Barbosa , Ronaldo Menezes

This study presents a Bayesian hierarchical model for analyzing spatially correlated functional data and handling irregularly spaced observations. The model uses Bernstein polynomial (BP) bases combined with autoregressive random effects,…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-02 Alvaro Alexander Burbano Moreno , Ronaldo Dias

Air pollutants pose a significant threat to the environment and human health, thus forecasting accurate pollutant concentrations is essential for pollution warnings and policy-making. Existing studies predominantly focus on single-pollutant…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-07-17 Xu Fan , Zhihao Wang , Yuetan Lin , Yan Zhang , Yang Xiang , Hao Li

In this paper, we introduce the concept of fractional integration for spatial autoregressive models. We show that the range of the dependence can be spatially extended or diminished by introducing a further fractional integration parameter…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-14 Philipp Otto , Philipp Sibbertsen

Fine particulate matter and aerosol optical thickness are of interest to atmospheric scientists for understanding air quality and its various health/environmental impacts. The available data are extremely large, making uncertainty…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-05 Madelyn Clinch , Jonathan R. Bradley

Autoregressive conditional duration (ACD) models are primarily used to deal with data arising from times between two successive events. These models are usually specified in terms of a time-varying conditional mean or median duration. In…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-10 Helton Saulo , Narayanaswamy Balakrishnan , Roberto Vila

Very unhealthy air quality is consistently connected with numerous diseases. Appropriate extreme analysis and accurate predictions are in rising demand for exploring potential linked causes and for providing suggestions for the…

Applications · Statistics 2023-08-25 Kai Wang , Chengxiu Ling , Ying Chen , Zhengjun Zhang

In this paper, a useful reinterpretation of the city as a porous medium justifies the application of well-known models on fluid dynamics to develop a multi-model study of urban air pollution due to traffic flow in a large city. Thus, to…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-02-21 N. Garcia-Chan , L. J. Alvarez-Vazquez , A. Martinez , M. E. Vazquez-Mendez

In air pollution studies, dispersion models provide estimates of concentration at grid level covering the entire spatial domain, and are then calibrated against measurements from monitoring stations. However, these different data sources…

Applications · Statistics 2020-08-17 Chiara Forlani , Samir Bhatt , Michela Cameletti , Elias Krainski , Marta Blangiardo

Low-cost air pollution sensors, offering hyper-local characterization of pollutant concentrations, are becoming increasingly prevalent in environmental and public health research. However, low-cost air pollution data can be noisy, biased by…

Applications · Statistics 2023-02-21 Claire Heffernan , Roger Peng , Drew R. Gentner , Kirsten Koehler , Abhirup Datta

Ambient air pollution poses significant health and environmental challenges. Exposure to high concentrations of PM$_{2.5}$ have been linked to increased respiratory and cardiovascular hospital admissions, more emergency department visits…

Applications · Statistics 2026-02-27 Zeinab Mohamed , Wenlong Gong

Forecasting PM$_{2.5}$ concentration is important to solving air pollution problems in Wuhan. This paper proposes a PM$_{2.5}$ concentration forecast model based on nonlinear regression, including a single-value forecast model and an…

Applications · Statistics 2023-03-01 Jinghong Zeng

The spatio-temporal autoregressive moving average (STARMA) model is frequently used in several studies of multivariate time series data, where the assumption of stationarity is important, but it is not always guaranteed in practice. One way…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-14 Yangyang Chen , Pedro Alberto Morettin , Chang Chiann
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