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Statistical techniques used in air pollution modelling usually lack the possibility to understand which predictors affect air pollution in which functional form; and are not able to regress on exceedances over certain thresholds imposed by…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-25 Nadja Klein , Jorge Mateu

Traditional spatio-temporal models for areal data typically begin with spatial structure imposed at the level of random effects and later extend to include temporal dynamics. We propose an alternative hierarchical modeling framework that…

Considerable financial resources are allocated for measuring ambient air pollution in the United States, yet the locations for these monitoring sites may not be optimized to capture the full extent of current pollution variability. Prior…

Applications · Statistics 2022-02-18 Makoto M. Kelp , Samuel Lin , J. Nathan Kutz , Loretta J. Mickley

One way to quantify exposure to air pollution and its constituents in epidemiologic studies is to use an individual's nearest monitor. This strategy results in potential inaccuracy in the actual personal exposure, introducing bias in…

Autoregressive models use chain rule to define a joint probability distribution as a product of conditionals. These conditionals need to be normalized, imposing constraints on the functional families that can be used. To increase…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-27 Chenlin Meng , Lantao Yu , Yang Song , Jiaming Song , Stefano Ermon

Constructing high resolution air pollution maps at lower cost is crucial for sustainable city management and public health risk assessment. However, traditional fixed-site monitoring lacks spatial coverage, while mobile low-cost sensors…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-18 Rui Xu , Dawen Yao , Yuzhuang Pian , Ruhui Cao , Yixin Fu , Xinru Yang , Ting Gan , Yonghong Liu

Mixed spatial autoregressive (SAR) models with numerical covariates have been well studied. However, as non-numerical data, such as functional data and compositional data, receive substantial amounts of attention and are applied to…

Applications · Statistics 2018-11-08 Huiwen Wang , Tingting Huang , Shanshan Wang

This paper introduces a novel approach, the bivariate generalized autoregressive (BGAR) model, for modeling and forecasting bivariate time series data. The BGAR model generalizes the bivariate vector autoregressive (VAR) models by allowing…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-22 Tatiane Fontana Ribeiro , Airlane P. Alencar , Fábio M. Bayer

High-frequency sampled multivariate continuous time autoregressive moving average processes are investigated. We obtain asymptotic expansion for the spectral density of the sampled MCARMA process $(Y_{n\Delta})_{n \in \mathbb{Z}}$ as…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-09-14 Peter Kevei

Spatial fields in the Earth and environmental sciences are often available at multiple scales or resolutions. While coarse-scale data (e.g., from global circulation models) are often abundant, they lack the local detail provided by…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-01 Alejandro Calle-Saldarriaga , Paul F. V. Wiemann , Matthias Katzfuss

Generalized autoregressive moving average (GARMA) models are a class of models that was developed for extending the univariate Gaussian ARMA time series model to a flexible observation-driven model for non-Gaussian time series data. This…

Applications · Statistics 2017-02-07 Marinho G. Andrade , Ricardo S. Ehlers , Breno S. Andrade

Two-dimensional (2-D) autoregressive moving average (ARMA) models are commonly applied to describe real-world image data, usually assuming Gaussian or symmetric noise. However, real-world data often present non-Gaussian signals, with…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-09 B. G. Palm , F. M. Bayer , R. J. Cintra

Air pollution is a pressing environmental risk to public health, particularly in cities where population density and pollution levels are high. Traditional methods for exposure analysis often rely on census data, but recent studies…

A typical problem in air pollution epidemiology is exposure assessment for individuals for which health data are available. Due to the sparsity of monitoring sites and the limited temporal frequency with which measurements of air pollutants…

We propose a spatial autoregressive model for a multivariate response variable and functional covariates. The approach is based on the notion of signature, which represents a function as an infinite series of its iterated integrals and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-16 Camille Frévent , Issa-Mbenard Dabo

Ozone and particulate matter PM2.5 are co-pollutants that have long been associated with increased public health risks. Information on concentration levels for both pollutants come from two sources: monitoring sites and output from complex…

Applications · Statistics 2015-03-14 Veronica J. Berrocal , Alan E. Gelfand , David M. Holland

Motivated by the study of pollution trends in the city of Bergen, we introduce a flexible statistical framework for modeling multivariate air pollution data via a nonhomogeneous Hidden Semi-Markov Vector Auto-Regression. The hidden process…

This paper investigates new ways of estimating and identifying causal, noncausal, and mixed causal-noncausal autoregressive models driven by a non-Gaussian error sequence. We do not assume any parametric distribution function for the…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-11-28 Alain Hecq , Daniel Velasquez-Gaviria

We present a diffusion model of surface soil pollution from a stationary source based on the symmetric stochastic motion at finite speed in the plane $\Bbb R^2$, also called the planar Markov random flight, whose lifetime is a random…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-12 Alexander D. Kolesnik

Air pollution is a result of multiple sources including both natural and anthropogenic activities. The rapid urbanization of the cities such as Bujumbura economic capital of Burundi, is one of these factors. The very first characterization…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-12-20 Egide Ndamuzi , Rachel Akimana , Paterne Gahungu , Elie Bimenyimana