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Habitat loss is one of the biggest threats facing plant species nowadays. We formulate a simple mathematical model of seed dispersal on reduced habitats to discuss survival of the species in relation to the habitat size and seeds production…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-05-24 Cristian F. Coletti , Nevena Marić , Pablo M. Rodriguez

A central problem in population ecology is understanding the consequences of stochastic fluctuations. Analytically tractable models with Gaussian driving noise have led to important, general insights, but they fail to capture rare,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-12-08 Brandon H. Schlomann

A discrete time branching process where the offspring distribution is generation-dependent, and the number of reproductive individuals is controlled by a random mechanism is considered. This model is a Markov chain but, in general, the…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-01-30 Miguel González , Carmen Minuesa , Manuel Mota , Inés del Puerto , Alfonso Ramos

Branching processes $(Z_n)_{n \ge 0}$ in a varying environment generalize the Galton-Watson process, in that they allow time-dependence of the offspring distribution. Our main results concern general criteria for a.s. extinction,…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-11-11 Götz Kersting

We present a generalization of the Yule model for macroevolution in which, for the appearance of genera, we consider point processes with the order statistics property, while for the growth of species we use nonlinear time-fractional pure…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-01-12 Federico Polito

We study age-structured branching models with reproduction law depending on the remaining lifetime of the parent. The lifespan of an individual is decided at its birth and its remaining lifetime decreases at the unit speed. The models…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-01-08 Ziling Cheng , Zenghu Li

We investigate the complex spatiotemporal dynamics of an ecological network with species dispersal mediated via a mean-field coupling. The local dynamics of the network are governed by the Truscott--Brindley model, which is an important…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2017-09-13 Ramesh Arumugam , Tanmoy Banerjee , Partha Sharathi Dutta

We consider a discrete-time host-parasite model for a population of cells which are colonized by proliferating parasites. The cell population grows like an ordinary Galton-Watson process, but in reflection of real biological settings the…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-05-18 Gerold Alsmeyer , Sören Gröttrup

Branching processes pervade many models in statistical physics. We investigate the survival probability of a Galton-Watson branching process after a finite number of generations. We reveal the finite-size scaling law of the survival…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-11-26 Rosalba Garcia-Millan , Francesc Font-Clos , Alvaro Corral

For a branching process in random environment it is assumed that the offspring distribution of the individuals varies in a random fashion, independently from one generation to the other. For the subcritical regime a kind of phase transition…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-08-11 Valeriy Afanasyev , Christian Böinghoff , Götz Kersting , Vladimir Vatutin

In this work we model the dynamics of a population that evolves as a continuous time branching process with a trait structure and ecological interactions in form of mutations and competition between individuals. We generalize existing…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-10-19 Gabriel Berzunza , Anja Sturm , Anita Winter

Understanding the patterns and processes of diversification of life in the planet is a key challenge of science. The Tree of Life represents such diversification processes through the evolutionary relationships among the different taxa, and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2011-06-16 E. Alejandro Herrada , Claudio J. Tessone , Konstantin Klemm , Victor M. Eguiluz , Emilio Hernandez-Garcia , Carlos M. Duarte

The classical model for the genealogies of a neutrally evolving population in a fixed environment is due to Kingman. Kingman's coalescent process, which produces a binary tree, universally emerges from many microscopic models in which the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-12-05 Ethan Levien

In this paper, we consider time-inhomogeneous branching processes and time-inhomogeneous birth-and-death processes, in which the offspring distribution and birth and death rates (respectively) vary in time. A classical result of branching…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-03-02 Nicholas Bhattacharya , Mark Perlman

Consider a graph where the sites are distributed in space according to a Poisson point process on $\mathbb R^n$. We study a population evolving on this network, with individuals jumping between sites with a rate which decreases…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-04-05 Vincent Bansaye , Michele Salvi

Motivated by applications to COVID dynamics, we describe a branching process in random environments model $\{Z_n\}$ whose characteristics change when crossing upper and lower thresholds. This introduces a cyclical path behavior involving…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-14 Giacomo Francisci , Anand N. Vidyashankar

The problem of natural selection in dispersal-structured populations consisting of individuals characterized by different diffusion coefficients is studied. The competition between the organisms is taken into account through the assumption…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2020-05-01 E. Heinsalu , D. Navidad Maeso , M. Patriarca

We consider the evolution of populations under the joint action of mutation and differential reproduction, or selection. The population is modelled as a finite-type Markov branching process in continuous time, and the associated…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2009-02-23 Ellen Baake , Hans-Otto Georgii

We consider a class of Crump-Mode-Jagers processes with interaction, constructed by removing a newly born offspring with a probability that depends on the age structure of the population at its birth time. We prove a law of large numbers…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-14 Félix Foutel-Rodier , Emmanuel Schertzer

We consider a branching process with Poissonian immigration where individuals have inheritable types. At rate theta, new individuals singly enter the total population and start a new population which evolves like a supercritical,…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-12-02 Mathieu Richard