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Entropy governs molecular self-assembly, phase transitions, and material stability, yet remains challenging to quantify and directly control in molecular systems. Here, we demonstrate that the computable information density (CID), a data…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-02-27 Ashley Z. Guo , Kaelyn Chang , Nicholas J. Corrente

We propose a geometric model-free causality measurebased on multivariate delay embedding that can efficiently detect linear and nonlinear causal interactions between time series with no prior information. We then exploit the proposed causal…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2016-07-26 Saba Emrani , Hamid Krim

Disparities in health or well-being experienced by minority groups can be difficult to study using the traditional exposure-outcome paradigm in causal inference, since potential outcomes in variables such as race or sexual minority status…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-22 Andy A. Shen , Elina Visoki , Ran Barzilay , Samuel D. Pimentel

The study of cause-and-effect is of the utmost importance in many branches of science, but also for many practical applications of intelligent systems. In particular, identifying causal relationships in situations that include hidden…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-14 Luca Castri , Sariah Mghames , Marc Hanheide , Nicola Bellotto

Event Causality Identification (ECI), which aims to detect whether a causality relation exists between two given textual events, is an important task for event causality understanding. However, the ECI task ignores crucial event structure…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-01-30 Shiyao Cui , Jiawei Sheng , Xin Cong , QuanGang Li , Tingwen Liu , Jinqiao Shi

Despite the impressive performance of biological and artificial networks, an intuitive understanding of how their local learning dynamics contribute to network-level task solutions remains a challenge to this date. Efforts to bring learning…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2025-03-27 Abdullah Makkeh , Marcel Graetz , Andreas C. Schneider , David A. Ehrlich , Viola Priesemann , Michael Wibral

Causal inference is a science with multi-disciplinary evolution and applications. On the one hand, it measures effects of treatments in observational data based on experimental designs and rigorous statistical inference to draw causal…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-05 Jingying Zeng , Run Wang

Recent approaches to causal inference have focused on causal effects defined as contrasts between the distribution of counterfactual outcomes under hypothetical interventions on the nodes of a graphical model. In this article we develop…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-26 Iván Díaz

We present a sound and complete algorithm, called iterative causal discovery (ICD), for recovering causal graphs in the presence of latent confounders and selection bias. ICD relies on the causal Markov and faithfulness assumptions and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-19 Raanan Y. Rohekar , Shami Nisimov , Yaniv Gurwicz , Gal Novik

While it is an important problem to identify the existence of causal associations between two components of a multivariate time series, a topic addressed in Runge et al. (2012), it is even more important to assess the strength of their…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-07-15 Jakob Runge , Jobst Heitzig , Norbert Marwan , Jürgen Kurths

Causal knowledge is vital for effective reasoning in science, as causal relations, unlike correlations, allow one to reason about the outcomes of interventions. Algorithms that can discover causal relations from observational data are based…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-11-12 Anish Dhir , Ciarán M. Lee

Causal effect estimation from observational data is one of the essential problems in causal inference. However, most estimation methods rely on the strong assumption that all confounders are observed, which is impractical and untestable in…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-14 Yubai Yuan , Annie Qu

Recent work has shown promising results in causal discovery by leveraging interventional data with gradient-based methods, even when the intervened variables are unknown. However, previous work assumes that the correspondence between…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-12 Gonçalo R. A. Faria , André F. T. Martins , Mário A. T. Figueiredo

An important problem in many domains is to predict how a system will respond to interventions. This task is inherently linked to estimating the system's underlying causal structure. To this end, Invariant Causal Prediction (ICP) (Peters et…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-09-21 Christina Heinze-Deml , Jonas Peters , Nicolai Meinshausen

I introduce a new approach to semantic information based upon the influence of erasure operations (interventions) upon distributions of a system's future trajectories through its phase space. Semantic (meaningful) information is…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-07-11 Stuart J Bartlett

Linear causal disentanglement is a recent method in causal representation learning to describe a collection of observed variables via latent variables with causal dependencies between them. It can be viewed as a generalization of both…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-07-08 Paula Leyes Carreno , Chiara Meroni , Anna Seigal

The broad concept of emergence is instrumental in various of the most challenging open scientific questions -- yet, few quantitative theories of what constitutes emergent phenomena have been proposed. This article introduces a formal theory…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2021-01-27 Fernando E. Rosas , Pedro A. M. Mediano , Henrik J. Jensen , Anil K. Seth , Adam B. Barrett , Robin L. Carhart-Harris , Daniel Bor

Highly accurate interval forecasting of electricity demand is fundamental to the success of reducing the risk when making power system planning and operational decisions by providing a range rather than point estimation. In this study, a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-06-17 Tao Xiong , Yukun Bao , Zhongyi Hu

Thermal infrared image enhancement aims to restore high-quality images from complex compound degradations. Existing all-in-one approaches typically employ a single shared backbone to handle diverse degradations, which causes gradient…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-04-28 Pu Li , Huafeng Li , Yafei Zhang , Yu Liu , Wen Wang

Conformal prediction provides prediction sets with finite-sample marginal coverage, but many applications require coverage guarantees that adapt to individual test points, a subpopulation, or a structural component of the data. Existing…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-27 Yinjie Min , Liuhua Peng , Changliang Zou
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