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Deep neural networks have achieved remarkable success across a variety of tasks, yet they often suffer from unreliable probability estimates. As a result, they can be overconfident in their predictions. Conformal Prediction (CP) offers a…

Conformal Prediction (CP) has recently received a tremendous amount of interest, leading to a wide range of new theoretical and methodological results for predictive inference with formal theoretical guarantees. However, the vast majority…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-08-22 Manit Paul , Arun Kumar Kuchibhotla , Eric J. Tchetgen Tchetgen

In this work, we address the problem of solving a series of underdetermined linear inverse problems subject to a sparsity constraint. We generalize the spike-and-slab prior distribution to encode a priori correlation of the support of the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-01-19 Michael Riis Andersen , Aki Vehtari , Ole Winther , Lars Kai Hansen

We consider a variant of the set covering problem with uncertain parameters, which we refer to as the chance-constrained set multicover problem (CC-SMCP). In this problem, we assume that there is uncertainty regarding whether a selected set…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-05-04 Shunyu Yao , Neng Fan , Pavlo Krokhmal

Sparse superposition codes, also called sparse regression codes (SPARCs), are a class of codes for efficient communication over the AWGN channel at rates approaching the channel capacity. In a standard SPARC, codewords are sparse linear…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-06-25 Cynthia Rush , Kuan Hsieh , Ramji Venkataramanan

We study the split Conformal Prediction method when applied to Markovian data. We quantify the gap in terms of coverage induced by the correlations in the data (compared to exchangeable data). This gap strongly depends on the mixing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-23 Frédéric Zheng , Alexandre Proutiere

Sequential Convex Programming (SCP) has recently gained significant popularity as an effective method for solving optimal control problems and has been successfully applied in several different domains. However, the theoretical analysis of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-09-07 Riccardo Bonalli , Thomas Lew , Marco Pavone

Model Predictive Control (MPC) is a powerful framework for constrained control, but its performance and safety can be severely degraded when the prediction model is learned online and thus remains uncertain. In this work, we develop a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-12-01 Yingke Li , Yifan Lin , Enlu Zhou , Fumin Zhang

Test-time adaptation with pre-trained vision-language models, such as CLIP, aims to adapt the model to new, potentially out-of-distribution test data. Existing methods calculate the similarity between visual embedding and learnable class…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-03-18 Lihua Zhou , Mao Ye , Shuaifeng Li , Nianxin Li , Xiatian Zhu , Lei Deng , Hongbin Liu , Zhen Lei

The method of Common Spatial Patterns (CSP) is widely used for feature extraction of electroencephalography (EEG) data, such as in motor imagery brain-computer interface (BCI) systems. It is a data-driven method estimating a set of spatial…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-02-10 Mahta Mousavi , Eric Lybrand , Shuangquan Feng , Shuai Tang , Rayan Saab , Virginia de Sa

This article introduces a numerical algorithm that serves as a preliminary step toward solving continuous-time model predictive control (MPC) problems directly without explicit time-discretization. The chief ingredients of the underlying…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-01-24 Souvik Das , Siddhartha Ganguly , Muthyala Anjali , Debasish Chatterjee

Most off-policy evaluation methods for contextual bandits have focused on the expected outcome of a policy, which is estimated via methods that at best provide only asymptotic guarantees. However, in many applications, the expectation may…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-27 Muhammad Faaiz Taufiq , Jean-Francois Ton , Rob Cornish , Yee Whye Teh , Arnaud Doucet

The reliable deployment of deep learning in medical imaging requires uncertainty quantification that provides rigorous error guarantees while remaining anatomically meaningful. Conformal prediction (CP) is a powerful distribution-free…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-01-28 Mélanie Gaillochet , Christian Desrosiers , Hervé Lombaert

The rapid growth of AI applications is dramatically increasing data center energy demand, exacerbating carbon emissions, and necessitating a shift towards 24/7 carbon-free energy (CFE). Unlike traditional annual energy matching, 24/7 CFE…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-07 Yijie Yang , Jian Shi , Dan Wang , Chenye Wu , Zhu Han

This study considers the control problem with signal temporal logic (STL) specifications. Prior works have adopted smoothing techniques to address this problem within a feasible time frame and solve the problem by applying sequential…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-01-30 Yoshinari Takayama , Kazumune Hashimoto , Toshiyuki Ohtsuka

Ensuring safety is a key aspect in sequential decision making problems, such as robotics or process control. The complexity of the underlying systems often makes finding the optimal decision challenging, especially when the safety-critical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-27 Jialin Li , Marta Zagorowska , Giulia De Pasquale , Alisa Rupenyan , John Lygeros

Methods of approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) are increasingly used for analysis of complex models. A major challenge for ABC is over-coming the often inherent problem of high rejection rates in the accept/reject methods based on…

Computation · Statistics 2015-03-27 Fernando V. Bonassi , Mike West

Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) has gained popularity as a method for conducting inference and forecasting in complex models, most notably those which are intractable in some sense. In this paper we use ABC to produce probabilistic…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-03 Chaya Weerasinghe , Ruben Loaiza-Maya , Gael M. Martin , David T. Frazier

Bayesian methods provide an elegant framework for estimating parameter posteriors and quantification of uncertainty associated with probabilistic models. However, they often suffer from slow inference times. To address this challenge,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-10 Piyush Tiwary , Kumar Shubham , Vivek V. Kashyap , Prathosh A. P

Wall-clock convergence time and communication rounds are critical performance metrics in distributed learning with parameter-server setting. While synchronous methods converge fast but are not robust to stragglers; and asynchronous ones can…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2024-01-22 Qiao Tan , Feng Zhu , Jingjing Zhang