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We study the problem of bivariate discrete or continuous probability density estimation under low-rank constraints.For discrete distributions, we assume that the two-dimensional array to estimate is a low-rank probability matrix. In the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-10-23 Julien Chhor , Olga Klopp , Alexandre Tsybakov

A very popular class of models for networks posits that each node is represented by a point in a continuous latent space, and that the probability of an edge between nodes is a decreasing function of the distance between them in this latent…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-01-07 Cosma Rohilla Shalizi , Dena Marie Asta

Models which include domain constraints occur in myriad contexts such as econometrics, genomics, and environmetrics, though simulating from constrained distributions can be computationally expensive. In particular, repeated sampling from…

Computation · Statistics 2020-03-03 Hillary Koch , Gregory P. Bopp

This paper gives a new approach for the maximum likelihood estimation of the joint of the location and scale of the Cauchy distribution. We regard the joint as a single complex parameter and derive a new form of the likelihood equation of a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-12-02 Kazuki Okamura , Yoshiki Otobe

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms are simple and extremely powerful techniques to sample from almost arbitrary distributions. The flaw in practice is that it can take a large and/or unknown amount of time to converge to the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-11-13 Xianghang Liu , Justin Domke

Straightforward methods for adapting the familiar chi^2 statistic to histograms of discrete events and other Poisson distributed data generally yield biased estimates of the parameters of a model. The bias can be important even when the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2014-03-12 Joseph W. Fowler

For two vast families of mixture distributions and a given prior, we provide unified representations of posterior and predictive distributions. Model applications presented include bivariate mixtures of Gamma distributions labelled as…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-09-09 Aziz LMoudden , Éric Marchand

A famous characterization theorem due to C.F. Gauss states that the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) of the parameter in a location family is the sample mean for all samples of all sample sizes if and only if the family is Gaussian. There…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-03-13 Mitia Duerinckx , Christophe Ley , Yvik Swan

We study the problem of parameter estimation using maximum likelihood for fast/slow systems of stochastic differential equations. Our aim is to shed light on the problem of model/data mismatch at small scales. We consider two classes of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-06-20 A. Papavasiliou , G. A. Pavliotis , A. M. Stuart

Max-stable processes are the most popular models for high-impact spatial extreme events, as they arise as the only possible limits of spatially-indexed block maxima. However, likelihood inference for such models suffers severely from the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-14 Raphaël Huser , Michael L. Stein , Peng Zhong

The skew-normal and the skew-$t$ distributions are parametric families which are currently under intense investigation since they provide a more flexible formulation compared to the classical normal and $t$ distributions by introducing a…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-03-13 Adelchi Azzalini , Reinaldo B. Arellano-Valle

In finite mixtures of location-scale distributions, if there is no constraint or penalty on the parameters, then the maximum likelihood estimator does not exist because the likelihood is unbounded. To avoid this problem, we consider a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-03-04 Kentaro Tanaka

We consider the rate of piecewise constant approximation to a locally stationary process $X(t),t\in [0,1]$, having a variable smoothness index $\alpha(t)$. Assuming that $\alpha(\cdot)$ attains its unique minimum at zero and satisfies the…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-11-19 Enkelejd Hashorva , Mikhail Lifshits , Oleg Seleznjev

Predicting extreme events is important in many applications in risk analysis. The extreme-value theory suggests modelling extremes by max-stable distributions. The Bayesian approach provides a natural framework for statistical prediction.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-09-22 Simone A. Padoan , Stefano Rizzelli

In the context of mod-Gaussian convergence, as defined previously in our work with J. Jacod, we obtain lower bounds for local probabilities for a sequence of random vectors which are approximately Gaussian with increasing covariance. This…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2014-02-26 E. Kowalski , A. Nikeghbali

For a skew normal random sequence, convergence rates of the distribution of its partial maximum to the Gumbel extreme value distribution are derived. The asymptotic expansion of the distribution of the normalized maximum is given under an…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-12-06 Xin Liao , Zuoxiang Peng , Saralees Nadarajah , Xiaoqian Wang

This paper deals with empirical processes of the type \[C_n(B)=\sqrt{n}\{\mu_n(B)-P(X_{n+1}\in B\mid X_1,...,X_n)\},\] where $(X_n)$ is a sequence of random variables and $\mu_n=(1/n)\sum_{i=1}^n\delta_{X_i}$ the empirical measure.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-01-14 Patrizia Berti , Irene Crimaldi , Luca Pratelli , Pietro Rigo

For a variant of the algorithm in [Pit19] (arXiv:1903.10816) to compute the approximate density or distribution function of a linear mixture of independent random variables known by a finite sample, it is presented a proof of the functional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-06-19 Thomas Pitschel

This paper proposes a widely applicable method of approximate maximum-likelihood estimation for multivariate diffusion process from discretely sampled data. A closed-form asymptotic expansion for transition density is proposed and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-08-14 Chenxu Li

We consider a generalization of the variance-gamma (generalized asymmetric Laplace) distribution, defined as a normal mean - variance mixture with a gamma mixing distribution. While this model is typically studied in the univariate setting,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-04 Tomasz J. Kozubowski , Andrey Sarantsev , James A. Spiker