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In this paper we study the functional central limit theorem for stationary Markov chains with self-adjoint operator and general state space. We investigate the case when the variance of the partial sum is not asymptotically linear in n; and…
This paper focuses on the task of detecting local episodes involving violation of the standard It\^o semimartingale assumption for financial asset prices in real time that might induce arbitrage opportunities. Our proposed detectors,…
We study the short-time asymptotics of conditional expectations of smooth and non-smooth functions of a (discontinuous) Ito semimartingale; we compute the leading term in the asymptotics in terms of the local characteristics of the…
We obtain a functional central limit theorem (CLT) for sums of the form $\xi_N(t)=\frac1{\sqrt N}\sum_{n=1}^{[Nt]}\big(F(X(q_1(n)),...,X(q_\ell(n)))-\bar F\big)$ where $q_1,...,q_\ell$ are polynomials.
This paper is concerned with normal approximation under relaxed moment conditions using Stein's method. We obtain the explicit rates of convergence in the central limit theorem for (i) nonlinear statistics with finite absolute moment of…
The estimation of local characteristics of Ito semimartingales has received a great deal of attention in both academia and industry over the past decades. In various papers limit theorems were derived for functionals of increments and…
The aim of this paper is to study the asymptotic expansion in total variation in the Central Limit Theorem when the law of the basic random variable is locally lower-bounded by the Lebesgue measure (or equivalently, has an absolutely…
We present an elementary treatment of the Optional Decomposition Theorem for continuous semimartingales and general filtrations. This treatment does not assume the existence of equivalent local martingale measure(s), only that of strictly…
In this paper, we study the stability and convergence of some general quadratic semimartingales. Motivated by financial applications, we study simultaneously the semimartingale and its opposite. Their characterization and integrability…
We consider the fluctuation of linear eigenvalue statistics of random band $n\times n$ matrices whose entries have the form $\mathcal{M}_{ij}=b^{-1/2}u^{1/2}(|i-j|)\tilde w_{ij}$ with i.i.d. $w_{ij}$ possessing the $(4+\varepsilon)$th…
Let $X,X_1,X_2,\ldots$ be i.i.d. ${\mathbb{R}}^d$-valued real random vectors. Assume that ${\mathbf{E}X=0}$, $\operatorname {cov}X=\mathbb{C}$, $\mathbf{E}\Vert X\Vert^2=\sigma ^2$ and that $X$ is not concentrated in a proper subspace of…
We provide a general It\=o\,-Wentzell formula for a random field of maps on the Wasserstein space of probability measures, defined by continuous semimartingales, and evaluated along the flow of conditional distributions of another…
In this study, we give an extension of Montanaro's arXiv/archive:1504.06987 quantum Monte Carlo method, tailored for computing expected values of random variables that exhibit infinite variance. This addresses a challenge in analyzing…
Maxwell's velocity distribution is known to be universally valid across systems and phases. Here we present a new and general derivation that uses the central limit theorem (CLT) of the probability theory. This essentially uses the idea…
In this paper we consider two semimartingales driven by diffusions and jumps. We allow both for finite activity and for infinite activity jump components. Given discrete observations we disentangle the {\it integrated covariation} (the…
This paper deals with subspace estimation in the small sample size regime, where the number of samples is comparable in magnitude with the observation dimension. The traditional estimators, mostly based on the sample correlation matrix, are…
We provide a set of probabilistic laws for estimating the quadratic variation of continuous semimartingales with realized range-based variance -- a statistic that replaces every squared return of realized variance with a normalized squared…
In this note, we derive upper-bounds on the statistical estimation rates of unbalanced optimal transport (UOT) maps for the quadratic cost. Our work relies on the stability of the semi-dual formulation of optimal transport (OT) extended to…
The main result of the article reads: the distribution of a continuous starting from zero local martingale whose quadratic characteristic is almost surely absolutely continuous with respect to some non-random increasing continuous function…
We explore an asymptotic behavior of entropies for sums of independent random variables that are convolved with a small continuous noise.