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We propose localized spectral estimators for the quadratic covariation and the spot covolatility of diffusion processes which are observed discretely with additive observation noise. The eligibility of this approach to lead to an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-19 Markus Bibinger , Markus Reiß

The usage of a spot volatility estimate based on a volatility decomposition in a time-changed price-model according to the trading times is investigated. In this model clock-time volatility splits up into the product of tick-time volatility…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-05-10 Rainer Dahlhaus , Sophon Tunyavetchakit

We study the estimation of leverage effect and volatility of volatility by using high-frequency data with the presence of jumps. We first construct spot volatility estimator by using the empirical characteristic function of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-03 Qiang Liu , Zhi Liu , Wang Zhou

Asymptotic properties of the local Whittle estimator in the nonstationary case (d>{1/2}) are explored. For {1/2}<d\leq 1, the estimator is shown to be consistent, and its limit distribution and the rate of convergence depend on the value of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Peter C. B. Phillips , Katsumi Shimotsu

We study the central limit theorem (CLT) for linear eigenvalue statistics of several types of matrix models, whose entries are having exploding moments, i.e., moments of the entries are increasing with the size of the matrix. In particular,…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-30 Indrajit Jana , Sunita Rani

In this paper we present randomization methods to enhance the accuracy of the central limit theorem (CLT) based inferences about the population mean $\mu$. We introduce a broad class of randomized versions of the Student $t$-statistic, the…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-05-20 Masoud M Nasari

Using Bernstein polynomial approximations, we prove the central limit theorem for linear spectral statistics of sample covariance matrices, indexed by a set of functions with continuous fourth order derivatives on an open interval including…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-11-29 Zhidong Bai , Xiaoying Wang , Wang Zhou

We introduce a new method for obtaining quantitative convergence rates for the central limit theorem (CLT) in a high dimensional setting. Using our method, we obtain several new bounds for convergence in transportation distance and entropy,…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-09-08 Ronen Eldan , Dan Mikulincer , Alex Zhai

We compute the exact rates of convergence in total variation associated with the 'fourth moment theorem' by Nualart and Peccati (2005), stating that a sequence of random variables living in a fixed Wiener chaos verifies a central limit…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-05-08 Ivan Nourdin , Giovanni Peccati

The recent paper "Simple confidence intervals for MCMC without CLTs" by J.S. Rosenthal, showed the derivation of a simple MCMC confidence interval using only Chebyshev's inequality, not CLT. That result required certain assumptions about…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-07-01 Yu Hang Jiang , Tong Liu , Zhiya Lou , Jeffrey S. Rosenthal , Shanshan Shangguan , Fei Wang , Zixuan Wu

In this paper, we study the mesoscopic fluctuations at edges of orthogonal polynomial ensembles with both continuous and discrete measures. Our main result is a Central limit Theorem (CLT) for linear statistics at mesoscopic scales. We show…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-13 Wenkui Liu

Statistical inference for stochastic processes based on high-frequency observations has been an active research area for more than a decade. One of the most well-known and widely studied problems is that of estimation of the quadratic…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-02-03 B. Cooper Boniece , José E. Figueroa-López , Yuchen Han

We put forward a general framework for the study of a pathwise central limit theorem (CLT) and a moderate deviation principle (MDP) for stochastic partial differential equations perturbed with a small multiplicative linear noise by means of…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-07-21 Emanuela Gussetti

This article establishes an asymptotic theory for volatility estimation in an infinite-dimensional setting. We consider mild solutions of semilinear stochastic partial differential equations and derive a stable central limit theorem for the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-03-14 Fred Espen Benth , Dennis Schroers , Almut E. D. Veraart

We consider asymptotic behavior of Fourier transforms of stationary ergodic sequences with finite second moments. We establish a central limit theorem (CLT) for almost all frequencies and also an annealed CLT. The theorems hold for all…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-11-08 Magda Peligrad , Wei Biao Wu

We study the Central Limit Theorem (CLT) in the so-called hybrid Lebesgue-continuous spaces and tail behavior of normed sums of centered random independent variables (vectors) with values in these spaces.

Probability · Mathematics 2013-09-11 E. Ostrovsky , L. Sirota

We propose new concentration inequalities for self-normalized martingales. The main idea is to introduce a suitable weighted sum of the predictable quadratic variation and the total quadratic variation of the martingale. It offers much more…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-06-17 Bernard Bercu , Taieb Touati

In this paper we study the Fourier estimator of Malliavin and Mancino for the spot volatility. We establish the convergence of the trigonometric polynomial to the volatility's path in a setting that includes the following aspects. First,…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-15 L. J. Espinosa González , Erick Treviño Aguilar

The main contribution of the paper is proving that the Fourier spot volatility estimator introduced in [Malliavin and Mancino, 2002] is consistent and asymptotically efficient if the price process is contaminated by microstructure noise.…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-09-20 Maria Elvira Mancino , Tommaso Mariotti , Giacomo Toscano

This article studies the finite sample behaviour of a number of estimators for the integrated power volatility process of a Brownian semistationary process in the non semi-martingale setting. We establish three consistent feasible…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-06-18 Phillip Murray , Riccardo Passeggeri , Almut E. D. Veraart , Mikko S. Pakkanen
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