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Planning based on long and short term time series forecasts is a common practice across many industries. In this context, temporal aggregation and reconciliation techniques have been useful in improving forecasts, reducing model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-31 Himanshi Charotia , Abhishek Garg , Gaurav Dhama , Naman Maheshwari

Time series forecasting plays a pivotal role in critical domains such as energy management and financial markets. Although deep learning-based approaches (e.g., MLP, RNN, Transformer) have achieved remarkable progress, the prevailing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-24 Renzhao Liang , Sizhe Xu , Chenggang Xie , Jingru Chen , Feiyang Ren , Shu Yang , Takahiro Yabe

Synthetic data is an emerging technology that can significantly accelerate the development and deployment of AI machine learning pipelines. In this work, we develop high-fidelity time-series generators, the SigWGAN, by combining…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-03 Hao Ni , Lukasz Szpruch , Marc Sabate-Vidales , Baoren Xiao , Magnus Wiese , Shujian Liao

Adaptive and interacting Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms (MCMC) have been recently introduced in the literature. These novel simulation algorithms are designed to increase the simulation efficiency to sample complex distributions.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-03-15 G. Fort , E. Moulines , P. Priouret

Many problems in the physical sciences, machine learning, and statistical inference necessitate sampling from a high-dimensional, multi-modal probability distribution. Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms, the ubiquitous tool for this…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2022-05-12 Marylou Gabrié , Grant M. Rotskoff , Eric Vanden-Eijnden

Bayesian inference using Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) on large datasets has developed rapidly in recent years. However, the underlying methods are generally limited to relatively simple settings where the data have specific forms of…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-02-18 Robert Salomone , Matias Quiroz , Robert Kohn , Mattias Villani , Minh-Ngoc Tran

These lecture notes introduce the statistical analysis of continuous-time generative models built from Markov dynamics. We begin with the stochastic-calculus foundations of score-based diffusion models, including time reversal, score…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-27 Eddie Aamari , Arthur Stéphanovitch

Cyclical MCMC is a novel MCMC framework recently proposed by Zhang et al. (2019) to address the challenge posed by high-dimensional multimodal posterior distributions like those arising in deep learning. The algorithm works by generating a…

Computation · Statistics 2024-03-04 Liwei Wang , Xinru Liu , Aaron Smith , Yves Atchade

Decision trees are flexible models that are well suited for many statistical regression problems. In a Bayesian framework for regression trees, Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) search algorithms are required to generate samples of tree…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-10-27 Reza Mohammadi , Matthew Pratola , Maurits Kaptein

Conditional generative models have achieved considerable success in the past few years, but usually require a lot of labeled data. Recently, ClusterGAN combines GAN with an encoder to achieve remarkable clustering performance via…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-06 Fei Ding , Feng Luo , Yin Yang

The generalizability of machine learning (ML) models for wearable monitoring in stroke rehabilitation is often constrained by the limited scale and heterogeneity of available data. Data augmentation addresses this challenge by adding…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-01 Aaron J. Hadley , Christopher L. Pulliam

The use of synthetic data is recognized as a crucial step in the development of neural network-based Artificial Intelligence (AI) systems. While the methods for generating synthetic data for AI applications in other domains have a role in…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-03-17 Gary An , Chase Cockrell

Due to the latest advances in technology, telescopes with significant sky coverage will produce millions of astronomical alerts per night that must be classified both rapidly and automatically. Currently, classification consists of…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2022-08-17 Germán García-Jara , Pavlos Protopapas , Pablo A. Estévez

Generative adversarial networks (GANs) have been extremely successful in generating samples, from seemingly high dimensional probability measures. However, these methods struggle to capture the temporal dependence of joint probability…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-26 Shujian Liao , Hao Ni , Lukasz Szpruch , Magnus Wiese , Marc Sabate-Vidales , Baoren Xiao

The Ideal Observer (IO) performance has been advocated when optimizing medical imaging systems for signal detection tasks. However, analytical computation of the IO test statistic is generally intractable. To approximate the IO test…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-01-28 Weimin Zhou , Mark A. Anastasio

Forecasting attracts a lot of research attention in the electricity value chain. However, most studies concentrate on short-term forecasting of generation or consumption with a focus on systems and less on individual consumers. Even more…

Generative Adversarial Networks (GANs) are a powerful framework for deep generative modeling. Posed as a two-player minimax problem, GANs are typically trained end-to-end on real-valued data and can be used to train a generator of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-11-15 Anirudh Goyal , Nan Rosemary Ke , Alex Lamb , R Devon Hjelm , Chris Pal , Joelle Pineau , Yoshua Bengio

Time Series Generation (TSG) has emerged as a pivotal technique in synthesizing data that accurately mirrors real-world time series, becoming indispensable in numerous applications. Despite significant advancements in TSG, its efficacy…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-07 Yifan Bao , Yihao Ang , Qiang Huang , Anthony K. H. Tung , Zhiyong Huang

Performing numerical integration when the integrand itself cannot be evaluated point-wise is a challenging task that arises in statistical analysis, notably in Bayesian inference for models with intractable likelihood functions. Markov…

Computation · Statistics 2020-06-17 Lawrence Middleton , George Deligiannidis , Arnaud Doucet , Pierre E. Jacob

Random noise arising from physical processes is an inherent characteristic of measurements and a limiting factor for most signal processing and data analysis tasks. Given the recent interest in generative adversarial networks (GANs) for…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-08-22 Adam Wunderlich , Jack Sklar