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This work focuses on the nature of visibility in societies where the behaviours of humans and algorithms influence each other - termed algorithmically infused societies. We propose a quantitative measure of visibility, with implications and…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2024-12-09 Shaojing Sun , Zhiyuan Liu , David Waxman

Forecasting the popularity of new songs has become a standard practice in the music industry and provides a comparative advantage for those that do it well. Considerable efforts were put into machine learning prediction models for that…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-11-29 Niklas Reisz , Vito D. P. Servedio , Stefan Thurner

Information popularity prediction is important yet challenging in various domains, including viral marketing and news recommendations. The key to accurately predicting information popularity lies in subtly modeling the underlying temporal…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-09-26 Xin Jing , Yichen Jing , Yuhuan Lu , Bangchao Deng , Sikun Yang , Dingqi Yang

We consider a setting in which a single item of content (such as a song or a video clip) is disseminated in a population of mobile nodes by opportunistic copying when pairs of nodes come in radio contact. We propose and study models that…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2012-09-03 Srinivasan Venkatramanan , Anurag Kumar

With the ever decreasing attention span of contemporary Internet users, the title of online content (such as a news article or video) can be a major factor in determining its popularity. To take advantage of this phenomenon, we propose a…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2017-07-24 Wociech Stokowiec , Tomasz Trzcinski , Krzysztof Wolk , Krzysztof Marasek , Przemyslaw Rokita

Probabilistic topic models are a powerful tool for extracting latent themes from large text datasets. In many text datasets, we also observe per-document covariates (e.g., source, style, political affiliation) that act as environments that…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-11-04 Dominic Sobhani , Amir Feder , David Blei

We investigate the predictability of successful memes using their early spreading patterns in the underlying social networks. We propose and analyze a comprehensive set of features and develop an accurate model to predict future popularity…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2014-06-02 Lilian Weng , Filippo Menczer , Yong-Yeol Ahn

Predicting the future popularity of information in online social networks is a crucial yet challenging task, due to the complex spatiotemporal dynamics underlying information diffusion. Existing methods typically use structural or…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2026-03-11 Yuchen Wang , Dongpeng Hou , Weikai Jing , Chao Gao , Xianghua Li , Yang Liu

Recommender systems operate in closed feedback loops, where user interactions reinforce popularity bias, leading to over-recommendation of already popular items while under-exposing niche or novel content. Existing bias mitigation methods,…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2025-06-10 Rahul Agarwal , Amit Jaspal , Saurabh Gupta , Omkar Vichare

This paper presents a systematic online prediction method (Social-Forecast) that is capable to accurately forecast the popularity of videos promoted by social media. Social-Forecast explicitly considers the dynamically changing and evolving…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-06-19 Jie Xu , Mihaela van der Schaar , Jiangchuan Liu , Haitao Li

As short videos have become the primary form of content consumption across various industries, accurately predicting their popularity has become key to enhancing user engagement and optimizing business strategies. This report presents a…

Multimedia · Computer Science 2025-02-25 Jiacheng Lu , Mingyuan Xiao , Weijian Wang , Yuxin Du , Zhengze Wu , Cheng Hua

The dynamics of popularity in online media are driven by a combination of endogenous spreading mechanisms and response to exogenous shocks including news and events. However, little is known about the dependence of temporal patterns of…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-05-25 Ryota Kobayashi , Patrick Gildersleve , Takeaki Uno , Renaud Lambiotte

This paper aims to show how some popular topics on social networks can be used to predict online newspaper views, related to the topics. Newspapers site and many social networks, become a good source of data to analyse and explain complex…

We introduce a model for predicting the diffusion of content information on social media. When propagation is usually modeled on discrete graph structures, we introduce here a continuous diffusion model, where nodes in a diffusion cascade…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-02-04 Cédric Lagnier , Simon Bourigault , Sylvain Lamprier , Ludovic Denoyer , Patrick Gallinari

Online socio-technical systems can be studied as proxy of the real world to investigate human behavior and social interactions at scale. Here we focus on Instagram, a media-sharing online platform whose popularity has been rising up to…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2017-03-07 Emilio Ferrara , Roberto Interdonato , Andrea Tagarelli

Studying information diffusion and the spread of goods in the real world and in many digital services can be extremely difficult since information about the information flows is challenging to accurately track. How information spreads has…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-09-21 Jarosław Jankowski , Piotr Bródka , Juho Hamari

Social media platforms are daily exhibiting millions of events. To preliminarily predict the mainstream public reaction to these events, we study trendy response prediction to automatically generate top-liked user replies to social media…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-03-01 Erxin Yu , Jing Li , Chunpu Xu

An ability to predict the popularity dynamics of individual items within a complex evolving system has important implications in a wide range of domains. Here we propose a deep learning attention mechanism to model the process through which…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-04-22 Sha Yuan , Yu Zhang , Jie Tang , Huawei Shen , Xingxing Wei

This work proposes a novel and simple sequential learning strategy to train models on videos and texts for multimodal sentiment analysis. To estimate sentiment polarities on unseen out-of-distribution data, we introduce a multimodal model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-10 Xianbing Zhao , Lizhen Qu , Tao Feng , Jianfei Cai , Buzhou Tang

Classification of social media data is an important approach in understanding user behavior on the Web. Although information on social media can be of different modalities such as texts, images, audio or videos, traditional approaches in…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2017-08-08 Chi Thang Duong , Remi Lebret , Karl Aberer