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Data-carving methods perform selective inference by conditioning the distribution of data on the observed selection event. However, existing data-carving approaches typically require an analytically tractable characterization of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-03 Sifan Liu , Snigdha Panigrahi

Temporal prediction is critical for making intelligent and robust decisions in complex dynamic environments. Motion prediction needs to model the inherently uncertain future which often contains multiple potential outcomes, due to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-10 Yichuan Charlie Tang , Ruslan Salakhutdinov

We introduce Diffusion World Model (DWM), a conditional diffusion model capable of predicting multistep future states and rewards concurrently. As opposed to traditional one-step dynamics models, DWM offers long-horizon predictions in a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-17 Zihan Ding , Amy Zhang , Yuandong Tian , Qinqing Zheng

Generative models such as diffusion and flow-matching offer expressive policies for offline reinforcement learning (RL) by capturing rich, multimodal action distributions, but their iterative sampling introduces high inference costs and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-26 Prajwal Koirala , Cody Fleming

Constructing valid and informative conformal prediction regions for multi-dimensional outputs remains a fundamental challenge. While conformal prediction provides finite-sample, distribution-free coverage guarantees, its practical…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-11 Zhenhan Fang , Aixin Tan , Jian Huang

The sequential nature of autoregressive next-token prediction imposes a fundamental speed limit on large language models. While continuous flow models offer a path to parallel generation, they traditionally demand expensive iterative…

Robust and accurate perception of humans in their 3D scene context is essential for integrating robots into everyday environments. Existing approaches, however, often fail to predict plausible and accurate human motion estimates that are…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-05-26 Simon Schaefer , Joshua Näf , Stefan Leutenegger

Decision-making, motion planning, and trajectory prediction are crucial in autonomous driving systems. By accurately forecasting the movements of other road users, the decision-making capabilities of the autonomous system can be enhanced,…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-09-17 Mais Jamal , Aleksandr Panov

One of the key challenges for autonomous vehicles is the ability to accurately predict the motion of other objects in the surrounding environment, such as pedestrians or other vehicles. In this contribution, a novel motion forecasting…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-10-09 Kay Scheerer , Thomas Michalke , Juergen Mathes

Challenges in traversing dynamic clutters lie mainly in the efficient perception of the environmental dynamics and the generation of evasive behaviors considering obstacle movement. Previous solutions have made progress in explicitly…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-12-11 Bowen Xu , Zexuan Yan , Minghao Lu , Xiyu Fan , Yi Luo , Youshen Lin , Zhiqiang Chen , Yeke Chen , Qiyuan Qiao , Peng Lu

The pedestrian trajectory prediction task is an essential component of intelligent systems. Its applications include but are not limited to autonomous driving, robot navigation, and anomaly detection of monitoring systems. Due to the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-07-28 Rongqin Liang , Yuanman Li , Jiantao Zhou , Xia Li

For intelligent transportation systems and autonomous vehicles to operate safely and efficiently, they must reliably predict the future motion and trajectory of surrounding agents within complex traffic environments. At the same time, the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-05 Mitch Kosieradzki , Seongjin Choi

High-risk traffic zones such as intersections are a major cause of collisions. This study leverages deep generative models to enhance the safety of autonomous vehicles in an intersection context. We train a 1000-step denoising diffusion…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-07-17 Juanran Wang , Marc R. Schlichting , Mykel J. Kochenderfer

Many density estimation techniques for 3D human motion prediction require a significant amount of inference time, often exceeding the duration of the predicted time horizon. To address the need for faster density estimation for 3D human…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-02-02 Takahiro Maeda , Jinkun Cao , Norimichi Ukita , Kris Kitani

Effective understanding of the environment and accurate trajectory prediction of surrounding dynamic obstacles are critical for intelligent systems such as autonomous vehicles and wheeled mobile robotics navigating in complex scenarios to…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-07-30 Jiachen Li , Hengbo Ma , Masayoshi Tomizuka

The ability of Flow Matching (FM) to model complex conditional distributions has established it as the state-of-the-art for prediction tasks (e.g., robotics, weather forecasting). However, deployment in safety-critical settings is hindered…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-16 Constantinos Tsakonas , Serena Ivaldi , Jean-Baptiste Mouret

Human motion prediction is a cornerstone of human-robot collaboration (HRC), as robots need to infer the future movements of human workers based on past motion cues to proactively plan their motion, ensuring safety in close collaboration…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-09-20 Sibo Tian , Minghui Zheng , Xiao Liang

Flow-based generative models have recently shown impressive performance for conditional generation tasks, such as text-to-image generation. However, current methods transform a general unimodal noise distribution to a specific mode of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-14 Noam Issachar , Mohammad Salama , Raanan Fattal , Sagie Benaim

Diffusion models can learn rich representations during data generation, showing potential for Self-Supervised Learning (SSL), but they face a trade-off between generative quality and discriminative performance. Their iterative sampling also…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-24 Kosuke Ukita , Tsuyoshi Okita

Iterative generative models such as Flow Matching and Diffusion models have demonstrated strong test-time scaling behavior, where additional inference computation can improve generation quality. In contrast, Drift Models offer efficient…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-19 Chenrui Ma , Xi Xiao , Lin Zhao , Tianyang Wang , Ferdinando Fioretto , Yanning Shen