Related papers: Muon $g$$-$2: correlation-induced uncertainties in…
In this talk, I revisit and present a more comprehensive estimate of the lowest order Hadronic Vacuum Polarization (HVP) contribution $a_\mu\vert_{hvp}^{lo}$ to the muon anomalous magnetic moment (muon anomaly) from $e^+e^-\to$ Hadrons…
The discrepancy between the Standard Model theory and experimental measurement of the muon magnetic moment anomaly, $a_{\mu}=\left(g_{\mu}-2\right)/2$, is connected to precision electroweak (EW) predictions via their common dependence on…
The statistical significance that characterizes a discrepancy between a measurement and theoretical prediction is usually calculated assuming that the statistical and systematic uncertainties are known. Many types of systematic…
Using experimental spectral data for hadronic tau decays from the OPAL experiment, supplemented by a phenomenologically successful parameterization for the high-s region not covered by the data, we construct a physically constrained model…
In this paper, we discuss how windows in Euclidean time can be used to isolate the origin of potential conflicts between evaluations of the hadronic-vacuum-polarization (HVP) contribution to the anomalous magnetic moment of the muon in…
We perform an updated analysis of $e^+e^-\to\pi^+\pi^-$ cross-section data using a dispersive representation of the pion vector form factor. We show that the available data are compatible with the assumption that the form factor is free of…
A reliable evaluation of the integral giving the hadronic vacuum polarization contribution to the muon anomalous magnetic moment should be possible using a simple trapezoid-rule integration of lattice data for the subtracted electromagnetic…
We reevaluate the hadronic vacuum polarisation contributions to the muon magnetic anomaly and to the running of the electromagnetic coupling constant at the $Z$-boson mass. We include newest $e^+e^- \to$ hadrons cross-section data together…
When averages of different experimental determinations of the same quantity are computed, each with statistical and systematic error components, then frequently the statistical and systematic components of the combined error are quoted…
An accurate calculation of the leading-order hadronic vacuum polarisation (LOHVP) contribution to the anomalous magnetic moment of the muon ($a_\mu$) is key to determining whether a discrepancy, suggesting new physics, exists between the…
The muon anomalous magnetic moment is one of the most precisely measured quantities in particle physics. Recent high precision measurements (0.54ppm) at Brookhaven reveal a ``discrepancy'' by 3 standard deviations from the electroweak…
This paper presents a hierarchical Bayesian modeling framework for the uncertainty quantification in modal identification of linear dynamical systems using multiple vibration data sets. This novel framework integrates the state-of-the-art…
A highly physical model of the subtracted $I=1$ vector polarization, obtained using a dispersive representation with precise hadronic $\tau$ decay data as input, is used to investigate systematic issues in the lattice evaluation of the…
The past five years have brought significant new results on the muon magnetic anomaly, $a_\mu = (g_\mu - 2)/2$, and on the hadronic vacuum polarization (HVP) contribution dominating the uncertainty $\Delta a_\mu$. Serious tension has…
We construct a physically motivated model for the isospin-one non-strange vacuum polarization function Pi(Q^2) based on a spectral function given by vector-channel OPAL data from hadronic tau decays for energies below the tau mass and a…
Template histograms are the foundation of statistical inference at the Large Hadron Collider. The HistFactory likelihood encodes template uncertainty through per-bin Barlow-Beeston gamma factors for Monte Carlo statistical error and through…
We formulate a general approach to the inclusion of theoretical uncertainties, specifically those related to the missing higher order uncertainty (MHOU), in the determination of parton distribution functions (PDFs). We demonstrate how,…
Windows in Euclidean time have become a standard tool for comparing lattice QCD and data-driven computations of the hadronic vacuum polarization (HVP) contribution to the muon $g-2$. Here we review our results, obtained using…
Quantifying forecast uncertainty is a key aspect of state-of-the-art numerical weather prediction and data assimilation systems. Ensemble-based data assimilation systems incorporate state-dependent uncertainty quantification based on…
We determine the uncertainties on observables arising from the errors on the experimental data that are fitted in the global MRST2001 parton analysis. By diagonalizing the error matrix we produce sets of partons suitable for use within the…