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This paper establishes the local-in-time well-posedness of solutions to an approximating system constructed by mildly regularizing the dynamical sea-ice model of {\it W.D. Hibler, Journal of Physical Oceanography, 1979}. Our choice of…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2022-06-08 Xin Liu , Marita Thomas , Edriss S. Titi

Consider the set of equations modeling the motion of a rigid body enclosed in sea ice. Using Hibler's viscous-plastic model for describing sea ice, it is shown by a certain decoupling approach that this system admits a unique, local strong…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2024-05-31 Tim Binz , Felix Brandt , Matthias Hieber

In this paper, we initiate the rigorous mathematical analysis of the elastic-viscous-plastic (EVP) sea-ice model, which was introduced in [E. C. Hunke and J. K. Dukowicz, J. Phys. Oceanogr., 27, 9 (1997), 1849-1867]. The EVP model is one of…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2026-03-23 Daniel W. Boutros , Xin Liu , Marita Thomas , Edriss S. Titi

This paper proves the local-in-time strong well-posedness of a parabolic-hyperbolic regularized version of Hibler's sea ice model. Hibler's model is the most frequently used sea ice model in climate science. Lagrangian coordinates are…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2025-08-14 Felix Brandt

A significant fraction (4%-13%) of Antarctic sea ice remains stationary as landfast sea-ice ("fast ice"), typically anchored by grounded icebergs. Current global climate models do not represent fast-ice formation due to iceberg grounding,…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-07-29 Carolin Mehlmann , Saskia Kahl

This article establishes local strong well-posedness and global strong well-posedness close to constant equilibria of a model coupling the primitive equations of ocean and atmospheric dynamics with Hibler's viscous-plastic sea ice model. In…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2025-12-19 Tim Binz , Felix Brandt , Matthias Hieber

In this paper, we prove global existence and uniqueness of weak solutions to the momentum equations of Hibler's visco-plastic model for the dynamics of the arctic sea-ice covers. Although Hibler's model is standardly used in global climate…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2025-08-25 Stefan Dingel , Karoline Disser

This article develops for the first time a rigorous analysis of Hibler's model of sea ice dynamics. Identifying Hibler's ice stress as a quasilinear second order operator and regarding Hibler's model as a quasilinear evolution equation, it…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2022-06-15 Felix Brandt , Karoline Disser , Robert Haller-Dintelmann , Matthias Hieber

We introduce a comprehensive modeling framework for the dynamics of sea ice floes using particle, kinetic, and hydrodynamic approaches. Building upon the foundational work of Ha and Tadmor on the Cucker-Smale model for flocking, we derive a…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-09-04 Quanling Deng , Seung-Yeal Ha

We present a new approach for predicting stable equilibrium shapes of crystalline islands on flat substrates, as commonly occur through solid-state dewetting of thin films. The new theory is a generalization of the widely used Winterbottom…

Materials Science · Physics 2017-06-23 Weizhu Bao , Wei Jiang , David J. Srolovitz , Yan Wang

Rapid changes in Earth's cryosphere caused by human activity can lead to significant environmental impacts. Computer models provide a useful tool for understanding the behavior and projecting the future of Arctic and Antarctic ice sheets.…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-08-01 Won Chang , Bledar A. Konomi , Georgios Karagiannis , Yawen Guan , Murali Haran

Observations indicate that the Arctic sea ice cover is rapidly retreating while the Antarctic sea ice cover is steadily expanding. State-of-the-art climate models, by contrast, typically simulate a moderate decrease in both the Arctic and…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2017-10-11 Erica Rosenblum , Ian Eisenman

We analyze the numerical solutions of a stochastic Arctic sea ice model with constant additive noise over a wide range of external heat-fluxes, $\Delta F_0$, which correspond to greenhouse gas forcing. The variability that the stochasticity…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2017-05-05 Woosok Moon , John S. Wettlaufer

Within the framework of lower order thermodynamic theories for the climatic evolution of Arctic sea ice we isolate the conditions required for the existence of stable seasonally-varying solutions, in which ice forms each winter and melts…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2015-06-04 W. Moon , J. S. Wettlaufer

Arctic sea ice performs a vital role in global climate and has paramount impacts on both polar ecosystems and coastal communities. In the last few years, multiple deep learning based pan-Arctic sea ice concentration (SIC) forecasting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-22 Jingyi Xu , Yeqi Luo , Weidong Yang , Keyi Liu , Shengnan Wang , Ben Fei , Lei Bai

In [SIAM J. Appl. Dyn. Sys., 12(4):2068--2092, 2013], Widiasih proposed and analyzed a deterministic one-dimensional Budyko-Sellers energy-balance model with a moving ice-line. In this paper, we extend this model to the stochastic setting…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-11-28 Ilya Pavlyukevich , Marian Ritsch

Arctic sea ice extent has drawn increasing interest and alarm from geoscientists, owing to its rapid decline. In this article, we propose a Bayesian spatio-temporal hierarchical statistical model for binary Arctic sea ice data over two…

Applications · Statistics 2020-03-17 Bohai Zhang , Noel Cressie

It has been widely debated whether Arctic sea-ice loss can reach a tipping point beyond which a large sea-ice area disappears abruptly. The theory of dynamical systems predicts a slowing down when a system destabilises towards a tipping…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2016-01-26 Sebastian Bathiany , Bregje van der Bolt , Mark S. Williamson , Timothy M. Lenton , Marten Scheffer , Egbert van Nes , Dirk Notz

Sea ice plays an important role in stabilising the Earth system. Yet, representing its dynamics remains a major challenge for models, as the underlying processes are scale-invariant and highly anisotropic. This poses a dilemma:…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-11-13 Tobias Sebastian Finn , Marc Bocquet , Pierre Rampal , Charlotte Durand , Flavia Porro , Alban Farchi , Alberto Carrassi

Motivated by the elastic-viscous-plastic (EVP) sea-ice model [E. C. Hunke and J. K. Dukowicz, J. Phys. Oceanogr., 27, 9 (1997), 1849--1867], which is used in large-scale numerical climate simulations, we proposed in [D. W. Boutros, X. Liu,…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2026-04-30 Daniel W. Boutros , Xin Liu , Marita Thomas , Edriss S. Titi
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