English

Stochastic energy-balance model with a moving ice line

Probability 2023-11-28 v1

Abstract

In [SIAM J. Appl. Dyn. Sys., 12(4):2068--2092, 2013], Widiasih proposed and analyzed a deterministic one-dimensional Budyko-Sellers energy-balance model with a moving ice-line. In this paper, we extend this model to the stochastic setting and analyze it within the framework of stochastic slow-fast systems. We derive the dynamics for the ice line in the limit of a small parameter as a solution to a stochastic differential equation. The stochastic approach enables the study of co-existing (metastable) climate states as well as the transition dynamics between them.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2311.15352,
  title  = {Stochastic energy-balance model with a moving ice line},
  author = {Ilya Pavlyukevich and Marian Ritsch},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2311.15352},
  year   = {2023}
}

Comments

32 pages, 1 figure