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We introduce economic models based on Boolean Delay Equations: this formalism makes easier to take into account the complexity of the interactions between firms and is particularly appropriate for studying the propagation of an initial…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-05-06 B. Coluzzi , M. Ghil , S. Hallegatte , G. Weisbuch

The topology of production networks determines the propagation mechanisms of local shocks and thus the co-movement of industries. As a result, we need a more precisely defined production network to model economic growth accurately. In this…

General Economics · Economics 2022-05-19 Eszter Molnár , Dénes Csala

This paper provides a general framework for modeling financial contagion in a system with obligations in multiple illiquid assets (e.g., currencies). In so doing, we develop a multi-layered financial network that extends the single network…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-05-24 Zachary Feinstein

Many complex systems, such as communication networks, display a surprising degree of robustness: while key components regularly malfunction, local failures rarely lead to the loss of the global information-carrying ability of the network.…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-10-31 Reka Albert , Hawoong Jeong , Albert-Laszlo Barabasi

We develop an alternative theory to the aggregate matching function in which workers search for jobs through a network of firms: the labor flow network. The lack of an edge between two companies indicates the impossibility of labor flows…

General Economics · Economics 2019-03-13 Robert L. Axtell , Omar A. Guerrero , Eduardo López

Financial contagion from liquidity shocks has being recently ascribed as a prominent driver of systemic risk in interbank lending markets. Building on standard compartment models used in epidemics, in this work we develop an EDB…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-05-23 Giuseppe Brandi , Riccardo Di Clemente , Giulio Cimini

We present the qGaussian generalization of the Merton framework, which takes into account slow fluctuations of the volatility of the firms market value of financial assets. The minimal version of the model depends on the Tsallis entropic…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-10-28 Yuri A. Katz

The hypothesis of critical failure relates the presence of an ultimate stability point in the structural constitutive equation of materials to a divergence of characteristic scales in the microscopic dynamics responsible for deformation.…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-05-16 Jordi Baró , Jörn Davidsen

Threats on the stability of a financial system may severely affect the functioning of the entire economy, and thus considerable emphasis is placed on the analyzing the cause and effect of such threats. The financial crisis in the current…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-10-28 Piotr Berman , Bhaskar DasGupta , Lakshmi Kaligounder , Marek Karpinski

The stability of the global food supply network is critical for ensuring food security. This study constructs an aggregated international food supply network based on the trade data of four staple crops and evaluates its structural…

General Economics · Economics 2025-04-15 Han-Yu Zhu , Yin-Ting Zhang , Wen-Jie Xie , Wei-Xing Zhou

The dynamic network of relationships among corporations underlies cascading economic failures including the current economic crisis, and can be inferred from correlations in market value fluctuations. We analyze the time dependence of the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2010-11-18 Dion Harmon , Blake Stacey , Yavni Bar-Yam , Yaneer Bar-Yam

We propose a new model of the liquidity driven banking system focusing on overnight interbank loans. This significant branch of the interbank market is commonly neglected in the banking system modeling and systemic risk analysis. We…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2016-03-17 Paweł Smaga , Mateusz Wiliński , Piotr Ochnicki , Piotr Arendarski , Tomasz Gubiec

We study contagion and systemic risk in sparse financial networks with balance-sheet interactions on a directed random graph. Each institution has homogeneous liabilities and equity, and exposures along outgoing edges are split equally…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-08 Riley James Bendel

We consider a dynamic model of interconnected banks. New banks can emerge, and existing banks can default, creating a birth-and-death setup. Microscopically, banks evolve as independent geometric Brownian motions. Systemic effects are…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-05-28 Tomoyuki Ichiba , Michael Ludkovski , Andrey Sarantsev

In this paper, a mathematically rigorous solution overturns existing wisdom regarding New Keynesian Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium. I develop a formal concept of stochastic equilibrium. I prove uniqueness and necessity, when agents…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-06-04 David Staines

Several structural results for the set of competitive equilibria in trading networks with frictions are established: The lattice theorem, the rural hospitals theorem, the existence of side-optimal equilibria, and a…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2020-07-01 Jan Christoph Schlegel

This paper studies the transmission of US monetary policy shocks into Emerging Markets emphasizing the role of investment and financial heterogeneity. First, we use a panel SVAR model to show that a US interest tightening leads to a…

General Economics · Economics 2022-09-23 Santiago Camara , Sebastian Ramirez Venegas

Many critical infrastructure systems have network structure and are under stress. Despite their national importance, the complexity of large-scale transport networks means we do not fully understand their vulnerabilities to cascade…

Large but rare cascades triggered by small initial shocks are present in most of the infrastructure networks. Here we present a simple model for cascading failures based on the dynamical redistribution of the flow on the network. We show…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-10 Paolo Crucitti , Vito Latora , Massimo Marchiori

Maximizing robustness and minimizing cost are common objectives in the design of infrastructure networks. However, most infrastructure networks evolve and operate in a highly decentralized fashion, which may significantly impact the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-05-29 Dong-Hee Kim , Adilson E. Motter
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