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We propose a method for inference on moderately high-dimensional, nonlinear, non-Gaussian, partially observed Markov process models for which the transition density is not analytically tractable. Markov processes with intractable transition…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-04-02 Joonha Park , Edward L. Ionides

Recent work on overfitting Bayesian mixtures of distributions offers a powerful framework for clustering multivariate data using a latent Gaussian model which resembles the factor analysis model. The flexibility provided by overfitting…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-08-29 Panagiotis Papastamoulis

As our information environments become ever more powered by artificial intelligence (AI), the phenomenon of trust in a human's interactions with this intelligence is becoming increasingly pertinent. For example, in the not too distant…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2025-04-22 Johan van der Meer , Pamela Hoyte , Luisa Roeder , Peter Bruza

Shallow water equations are extensively considered in the domains of oceans, atmospheric modelling, and engineering research (Franca et al., 2022), which play significant roles in floods and tsunami governance. Nonetheless, the accurate…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2023-09-22 Ruijia Yu

In order to develop machine learning and deep learning models that take into account the guidelines and principles of trustworthy AI, a novel information theoretic trustworthy AI framework is introduced. A unified approach to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-13 Mohit Kumar , Bernhard A. Moser , Lukas Fischer , Bernhard Freudenthaler

This work integrates ensemble-based data assimilation (DA) with the energy-aware hybrid modeling approach, applied to a three-layer quasi-geostrophic (QG) model of the Gulf Stream flow. Building on prior DA success in the QG channel regime,…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2025-09-03 Igor Shevchenko , Dan Crisan

Multi-agent, collaborative sensor fusion is a vital component of a multi-national intelligence toolkit. In safety-critical and/or contested environments, adversaries may infiltrate and compromise a number of agents. We analyze state of the…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-03-26 R. Spencer Hallyburton , Miroslav Pajic

A Bayesian filtering algorithm is developed for a class of state-space systems that can be modelled via Gaussian mixtures. In general, the exact solution to this filtering problem involves an exponential growth in the number of mixture…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-07-03 Adrian G. Wills , Johannes Hendriks , Christopher Renton , Brett Ninness

We consider a human-assisted autonomy sensor fusion for dynamic target localization in a Bayesian framework. Autonomous sensor-based tracking systems can suffer from observability and target detection failure. Humans possess valuable…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-10-08 Min-Won Seo , Solmaz S. Kia

A variety of researchers have successfully obtained the parameters of low dimensional diffusion models using the data that comes out of atomistic simulations. This naturally raises a variety of questions about efficient estimation,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-11-06 Christopher P. Calderon

While there is significant interest in using generative AI tools as general-purpose models for specific ML applications, discriminative models are much more widely deployed currently. One of the key shortcomings of these discriminative AI…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-12-13 Son The Nguyen , Theja Tulabandhula , Mary Beth Watson-Manheim

Data assimilation addresses the general problem of how to combine model-based predictions with partial and noisy observations of the process in an optimal manner. This survey focuses on sequential data assimilation techniques using…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-08-15 Sebastian Reich

Data assimilation, in its most comprehensive form, addresses the Bayesian inverse problem of identifying plausible state trajectories that explain noisy or incomplete observations of stochastic dynamical systems. Various approaches have…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-01 François Rozet , Gilles Louppe

We propose an Anderson Acceleration (AA) scheme for the adaptive Expectation-Maximization (EM) algorithm for unsupervised learning a finite mixture model from multivariate data (Figueiredo and Jain 2002). The proposed algorithm is able to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-29 Truong Nguyen , Guangye Chen , Luis Chacon

Every day, weather forecasting centres around the world make use of noisy, incomplete observations of the atmosphere to update their weather forecasts. This process is known as data assimilation, data fusion or state estimation and is best…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2022-05-04 Daniel Tang , Nick Malleson

Missing data arises when certain values are not recorded or observed for variables of interest. However, most of the statistical theory assume complete data availability. To address incomplete databases, one approach is to fill the gaps…

In this work, we study the utility of graph embeddings to generate latent user representations for trust-based collaborative filtering. In a cold-start setting, on three publicly available datasets, we evaluate approaches from four method…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-02-02 Tomislav Duricic , Hussain Hussain , Emanuel Lacic , Dominik Kowald , Denis Helic , Elisabeth Lex

We develop, discuss, and compare several inference techniques to constrain theory parameters in collider experiments. By harnessing the latent-space structure of particle physics processes, we extract extra information from the simulator.…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2018-09-19 Johann Brehmer , Kyle Cranmer , Gilles Louppe , Juan Pavez

Target-oriented discovery under limited evaluation budgets requires making reliable progress in high-dimensional, heterogeneous design spaces where each new measurement is costly, whether experimental or high-fidelity simulation. We present…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-04 Yixuan Zhang , Zhiyuan Li , Weijia He , Mian Dai , Chen Shen , Teng Long , Hongbin Zhang

Particle identification in large high-energy physics experiments typically relies on classifiers obtained by combining many experimental observables. Predicting the probability density function (pdf) of such classifiers in the multivariate…

High Energy Physics - Experiment · Physics 2022-02-11 Giacomo Graziani , Lucio Anderlini , Saverio Mariani , Edoardo Franzoso , Luciano Libero Pappalardo , Pasquale di Nezza