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We present a Bayesian data fusion method to approximate a posterior distribution from an ensemble of particle estimates that only have access to subsets of the data. Our approach relies on approximate probabilistic inference of model…

Computation · Statistics 2020-10-28 Caleb Miller , Michael D. Schneider , Jem N. Corcoran , Jason Bernstein

This work introduces a novel probabilistic deep learning technique called deep Gaussian mixture ensembles (DGMEs), which enables accurate quantification of both epistemic and aleatoric uncertainty. By assuming the data generating process…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-06-13 Yousef El-Laham , Niccolò Dalmasso , Elizabeth Fons , Svitlana Vyetrenko

The recent availability of huge, many-dimensional data sets, like those arising from genome-wide association studies (GWAS), provides many opportunities for strengthening causal inference. One popular approach is to utilize these…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-12-21 Ioan Gabriel Bucur , Tom Claassen , Tom Heskes

Generative AI (GenAI) has revolutionized data-driven modeling by enabling the synthesis of high-dimensional data across various applications, including image generation, language modeling, biomedical signal processing, and anomaly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-09 Yao Xie , Xiuyuan Cheng

Conventional generative models for materials discovery are predominantly trained and validated using data from Density Functional Theory (DFT) with approximate exchange-correlation functionals. This creates a fundamental bottleneck: these…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-04-30 Mahule Roy

We present a novel probabilistic approach for generating multi-fidelity data while accounting for errors inherent in both low- and high-fidelity data. In this approach a graph Laplacian constructed from the low-fidelity data is used to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-01 Orazio Pinti , Jeremy M. Budd , Franca Hoffmann , Assad A. Oberai

With advances in scientific computing and mathematical modeling, complex scientific phenomena such as galaxy formations and rocket propulsion can now be reliably simulated. Such simulations can however be very time-intensive, requiring…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-29 Yi Ji , Simon Mak , Derek Soeder , J-F Paquet , Steffen A. Bass

Handling trust is one of the core requirements for facilitating effective interaction between the human and the AI agent. Thus, any decision-making framework designed to work with humans must possess the ability to estimate and leverage…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-01-31 Zahra Zahedi , Sarath Sreedharan , Subbarao Kambhampati

Extracting insight from the enormous quantity of data generated from molecular simulations requires the identification of a small number of collective variables whose corresponding low-dimensional free-energy landscape retains the essential…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2019-12-30 Yasemin Bozkurt Varolgunes , Tristan Bereau , Joseph F. Rudzinski

Data assimilation is the task to combine evolution models and observational data in order to produce reliable predictions. In this paper, we focus on ensemble-based recursive data assimilation problems. Our main contribution is a hybrid…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-02-26 Nawinda Chustagulprom , Sebastian Reich , Maria Reinhardt

Large-scale Gaussian process models are becoming increasingly important and widely used in many areas, such as, computer experiments, stochastic optimization via simulation, and machine learning using Gaussian processes. The standard…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-08-02 Yongxiang Li , Qiang Zhou , Kwok Leung Tsui , Javier Cabrera

Real-world data often exhibits bias, imbalance, and privacy risks. Synthetic datasets have emerged to address these issues. This paradigm relies on generative AI models to generate unbiased, privacy-preserving data while maintaining…

We study Bayesian inverse problems with mixed noise, modeled as a combination of additive and multiplicative Gaussian components. While traditional inference methods often assume fixed or known noise characteristics, real-world…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-17 Paul Hagemann , Robert Gruhlke , Bernhard Stankewitz , Claudia Schillings , Gabriele Steidl

Lagrangian data assimilation exploits the trajectories of moving tracers as observations to recover the underlying flow field. One major challenge in Lagrangian data assimilation is the intrinsic nonlinearity that impedes using exact…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-06-14 Nan Chen , Shubin Fu

This paper, the fourth part of a series of papers on the arithmetic average (AA) density fusion approach and its application for target tracking, addresses the intricate challenge of distributed heterogeneous multisensor multitarget…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-01-13 Tiancheng Li , Haozhe Liang , Guchong Li , Jesús García Herrero , Quan Pan

Computer simulations are indispensable for analyzing complex systems, yet high-fidelity models often incur prohibitive computational costs. Multi-fidelity frameworks address this challenge by combining inexpensive low-fidelity simulations…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-28 Junoh Heo , Romain Boutelet , Chih-Li Sung

Motivated by statistical inference problems in high-dimensional time series data analysis, we first derive non-asymptotic error bounds for Gaussian approximations of sums of high-dimensional dependent random vectors on hyper-rectangles,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-06-05 Jinyuan Chang , Xiaohui Chen , Mingcong Wu

This study explores the dynamics of trust in artificial intelligence (AI) agents, particularly large language models (LLMs), by introducing the concept of "deferred trust", a cognitive mechanism where distrust in human agents redirects…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2025-11-24 Johan Sebastián Galindez-Acosta , Juan José Giraldo-Huertas

In this article, we discuss two specific classes of models - Gaussian Mixture Copula models and Mixture of Factor Analyzers - and the advantages of doing inference with gradient descent using automatic differentiation. Gaussian mixture…

Computation · Statistics 2018-12-17 Siva Rajesh Kasa , Vaibhav Rajan

Recursive Bayesian inference, in which posterior beliefs are updated in light of accumulating data, is a tool for implementing Bayesian models in applications with streaming and/or very large data sets. As the posterior of one iteration…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-05 Henry R. Scharf