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Numerical interactions leading to users sharing textual content published by others are naturally represented by a network where the individuals are associated with the nodes and the exchanged texts with the edges. To understand those…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-14 Rémi Boutin , Pierre Latouche , Charles Bouveyron

Addressing complex meteorological processes at a fine spatial resolution requires substantial computational resources. To accelerate meteorological simulations, researchers have utilized neural networks to downscale meteorological variables…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-04-30 Jing Hu , Honghu Zhang , Peng Zheng , Jialin Mu , Xiaomeng Huang , Xi Wu

Weather forecasting is crucial for public safety, disaster prevention and mitigation, agricultural production, and energy management, with global relevance. Although deep learning has significantly advanced weather prediction, current…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-18 Shixuan Li , Wei Yang , Peiyu Zhang , Xiongye Xiao , Defu Cao , Yuehan Qin , Xiaole Zhang , Yue Zhao , Paul Bogdan

We present a novel framework that leverages time series clustering to improve internet traffic matrix (TM) prediction using deep learning (DL) models. Traffic flows within a TM often exhibit diverse temporal behaviors, which can hinder…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-19 Martha Cash , Alexander Wyglinski

The path toward realizing the potential of seasonal forecasting and its socioeconomic benefits depends heavily on improving general circulation model based dynamical forecasting systems. To improve dynamical seasonal forecast, it is crucial…

Shapelets that discriminate time series using local features (subsequences) are promising for time series clustering. Existing time series clustering methods may fail to capture representative shapelets because they discover shapelets from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-16 Borui Cai , Guangyan Huang , Shuiqiao Yang , Yong Xiang , Chi-Hung Chi

The success of deep learning techniques over the last decades has opened up a new avenue of research for weather forecasting. Here, we take the novel approach of using a neural network to predict full probability density functions at each…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-01-05 Mariana Clare , Omar Jamil , Cyril Morcrette

The abundance of data affords researchers to pursue more powerful computational tools to learn the dynamics of complex system, such as neural networks, engineered systems and social networks. Traditional machine learning approaches capture…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-16 Yan Shen , Fan Yang , Mingchen Gao , Wen Dong

Clustering analysis of daily load profiles represents an effective technique to classify and aggregate electric users based on their actual consumption patterns. Among other purposes, it may be exploited as a preliminary stage for load…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-05-11 Francesca Soldan , Alberto Maldarella , Gabriele Paludetto , Enea Bionda , Federico Belloni , Samuele Grillo

Hydroclimatic time series analysis focuses on a few feature types (e.g., autocorrelations, trends, extremes), which describe a small portion of the entire information content of the observations. Aiming to exploit a larger part of the…

Joint distributions over many variables are frequently modeled by decomposing them into products of simpler, lower-dimensional conditional distributions, such as in sparsely connected Bayesian networks. However, automatically learning such…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-01-07 Scott Davies , Andrew Moore

Communicating climate change remains challenging, as climate reports, though rich in data and visualizations, often feel too abstract or technical for the public. Although personalization can enhance communication, most tools still lack the…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2025-07-17 Mashrur Rashik , Jean-Daniel Fekete , Narges Mahyar

Ensemble weather predictions require statistical post-processing of systematic errors to obtain reliable and accurate probabilistic forecasts. Traditionally, this is accomplished with distributional regression models in which the parameters…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-04-01 Stephan Rasp , Sebastian Lerch

We present an approach to deep estimation of discrete conditional probability distributions. Such models have several applications, including generative modeling of audio, image, and video data. Our approach combines two main techniques:…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-03-01 Wesley Tansey , Karl Pichotta , James G. Scott

The quantification of the interannual component of variability in climatological time series is essential for the assessment and prediction of the El Ni\~{n}o - Southern Oscillation phenomenon. This is achieved by estimating the deviation…

Applications · Statistics 2025-11-14 Tommaso Proietti , Alessandro Giovannelli

Weather forecasting remains a crucial yet challenging domain, where recently developed models based on deep learning (DL) have approached the performance of traditional numerical weather prediction (NWP) models. However, these DL models,…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-02-13 Zhanxiang Hua , Yutong He , Chengqian Ma , Alexandra Anderson-Frey

To cluster, classify and represent are three fundamental objectives of learning from high-dimensional data with intrinsic structure. To this end, this paper introduces three interpretable approaches, i.e., segmentation (clustering) via the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-06-21 Kai-Liang Lu , Avraham Chapman

Cloud-related parameterizations remain a leading source of uncertainty in climate projections. Although machine learning holds promise for Earth system models (ESMs), many data-driven parameterizations lack interpretability, physical…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-11-25 Arthur Grundner , Tom Beucler , Julien Savre , Axel Lauer , Manuel Schlund , Veronika Eyring

The potential for complex systems to exhibit tipping points in which an equilibrium state undergoes a sudden and often irreversible shift is well established, but prediction of these events using standard forecast modeling techniques is…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-12-07 Daniel Dylewsky , Timothy M. Lenton , Marten Scheffer , Thomas M. Bury , Christopher G. Fletcher , Madhur Anand , Chris T. Bauch

Satellite images have become increasingly valuable for modelling regional climate change effects. Earth surface forecasting represents one such task that integrates satellite images with meteorological data to capture the joint evolution of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-13 Tushar Verma , Sudipan Saha