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Using ideas borrowed from topological dynamics and ergodic theory we introduce topological and metric versions of the recurrence property for general Markov chains. The main question of interest here is how large is the set of recurrent…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-10-23 Michael Blank

We prove that under mild positivity assumptions the entropy rate of a hidden Markov chain varies analytically as a function of the underlying Markov chain parameters. A general principle to determine the domain of analyticity is stated. An…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-07-13 Guangyue Han , Brian Marcus

We study a class of dissipative PDE's perturbed by a bounded random kick force. It is assumed that the random force is non-degenerate, so that the Markov process obtained by the restriction of solutions to integer times has a unique…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2012-12-05 Vojkan Jaksic , Vahagn Nersesyan , Claude-Alain Pillet , Armen Shirikyan

A new approach is developed for evaluating the convergence rate for nonlinear Markov chains (MC) based on the recently developed spectral radius technique of markovian coupling for linear MC and the idea of small nonlinear perturbations of…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-27 Alexander Shchegolev , Alexander Veretennikov

In this paper, we prove a large deviation principle for the empirical measures of a system of weakly interacting diffusion with reflection. We adopt the weak convergence approach. To make this approach work, we show that the sequence of…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-04-04 Ping Cheng , Rong Wei , Tusheng Zhang

We prove a large deviation principle on path space for a class of discrete time Markov processes whose state space is the intersection of a regular domain $\L\subset \R^d$ with some lattice of spacing $\e$. Transitions from $x$ to $y$ are…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Anton Bovier , Veronique Gayrard

For sequences of non-lattice weakly dependent random variables, we obtain asymptotic expansions for Large Deviation Principles. These expansions, commonly referred to as strong large deviation results, are in the spirit of Edgeworth…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-03-10 Kasun Fernando , Pratima Hebbar

We investigate large deviations for the empirical measure of the forward and backward recurrence time processes associated with a classical renewal process with arbitrary waiting-time distribution. The Donsker-Varadhan theory cannot be…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-09-22 Raphael Lefevere , Mauro Mariani , Lorenzo Zambotti

For a reversible and ergodic Markov chain $\{X_n,n\geq0\}$ with invariant distribution $\pi$, we show that a valid confidence interval for $\pi(h)$ can be constructed whenever the asymptotic variance $\sigma^2_P(h)$ is finite and positive.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-08-14 Yves F. Atchadé

In the framework of Harnack type Dirichlet forms, we prove a large deviation principle for the asymptotics of reversible Markov processes with rate function given by the energy of the paths.

Probability · Mathematics 2009-07-28 Ann-Kathrin Jarecki

A large deviation principle is derived for stochastic partial differential equations with slow-fast components. The result shows that the rate function is exactly that of the averaged equation plus the fluctuating deviation which is a…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-01-28 Wei Wang , A. J. Roberts , Jinqiao Duan

Let $S_N$ be the sum of vector-valued functions defined on a finite Markov chain. An analogue of the Bernstein--Hoeffding inequality is derived for the probability of large deviations of $S_N$ and relates the probability to the spectral gap…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Vladislav Kargin

In this paper we propose a novel variance reduction approach for additive functionals of Markov chains based on minimization of an estimate for the asymptotic variance of these functionals over suitable classes of control variates. A…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-02-18 D. Belomestny , L. Iosipoi , E. Moulines , A. Naumov , S. Samsonov

We consider probability measures on $A^N$, the set of sequences of symbols on a finite alphabet $A$ of length $N$, that give a weight to each sequence in terms of a collection of matrices with non-negative entries and having rows and…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-21 Davide Gabrielli , Federica Iacovissi

We prove that moderate deviations for empirical measures for countable nonhomogeneous Markov chains hold under the assumption of uniform convergence of transition probability matrices for countable nonhomogeneous Markov chains in Ces\`aro…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-10-16 Mingzhou Xu , Kun Cheng

Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms are invaluable tools for exploring stationary properties of physical systems, especially in situations where direct sampling is unfeasible. Common implementations of Monte Carlo algorithms employ…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-04-27 Marija Vucelja

Let $M_{l,n}$ be the number of blocks with frequency $l$ in the exchangeable random partition induced by a sample of size $n$ from the Ewens-Pitman sampling model. We show that, as $n$ tends to infinity, $n^{-1}M_{l,n}$ satisfies a large…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-01 Stefano Favaro , Shui Feng

It is shown that transient graphs for the simple random walk do not admit a nearest neighbor transient Markov chain (not necessarily a reversible one), that crosses all edges with positive probability, while there is such chain for the…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-02-15 Itai Benjamini , Jonathan Hermon

This article develops general conditions for weak convergence of adaptive Markov chain Monte Carlo processes and is shown to imply a weak law of large numbers for bounded Lipschitz continuous functions. This allows an estimation theory for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-14 Austin Brown , Jeffrey S. Rosenthal

We investigate periodic points of the Dyck shift from the viewpoint of large deviations. We establish the level-2 Large Deviation Principle with the rate function given in terms of Kolmogorov-Sinai entropies of shift-invariant Borel…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-03-19 Hiroki Takahasi
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