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We consider the problem of detecting a `bump' in the intensity of a Poisson process or in a density. We analyze two types of likelihood ratio based statistics which allow for exact finite sample inference and asymptotically optimal…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-02-26 Camilo Rivera , Guenther Walther

Benchmarking studies in computational chemistry use reference datasets to assess the accuracy of a method through error statistics. The commonly used error statistics, such as the mean signed and mean unsigned errors, do not inform…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2018-03-19 Pascal Pernot , Andreas Savin

We propose a principal components regression method based on maximizing a joint pseudo-likelihood for responses and predictors. Our method uses both responses and predictors to select linear combinations of the predictors relevant for the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-10 Karl Oskar Ekvall

The influence of systematic errors on the calculation of the statistical significance of a $\gamma$-ray signal with the frequently invoked Li and Ma method is investigated. A simple criterion is derived to decide whether the Li and Ma…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-23 Gerrit Spengler

This note aims at presenting several new theoretical results for the compound Poisson point process, which follows the work of Zhang \emph{et al.} [Insurance~Math.~Econom.~59(2014), 325-336]. The first part provides a new characterization…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-12-10 Huiming Zhang , Xiaoxu Wu

The issue of constructing a risk minimizing hedge under an additional almost-surely type constraint on the shortfall profile is examined. Several classical risk minimizing problems are adapted to the new setting and solved. In particular,…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2015-12-11 Michał Barski

Weighting strategy prevails in machine learning. For example, a common approach in robust machine learning is to exert lower weights on samples which are likely to be noisy or quite hard. This study reveals another undiscovered strategy,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-05 Rujing Yao , Ou Wu

Nonuniform subsampling methods are effective to reduce computational burden and maintain estimation efficiency for massive data. Existing methods mostly focus on subsampling with replacement due to its high computational efficiency. If the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-06 Jun Yu , HaiYing Wang , Mingyao Ai , Huiming Zhang

The collective risk model differentiates usually between claims frequencies (and their distribution) and claim sizes (and their distribution). For the claims frequencies typically classical discrete distributions are considered, such as…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-09-12 Dietmar Pfeifer

In this paper, an alternative mixed Poisson distribution is proposed by amalgamating Poisson distribution and a modification of the Quasi Lindley distribution. Some fundamental structural properties of the new distribution, namely the shape…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-26 Ramajeyam Tharshan , Pushpakanthie Wijekoon

This article presents a new spectral analysis approach for dispersion error and a methodology to numerically evaluate it. In practice, this new analysis allows the numerical study of dispersion errors on all types of mesh and for multiple…

Computational Physics · Physics 2019-09-18 J. Ruano , A. Baez Vidal , F. X. Trias , J. Rigola

The existence of asymmetric information has always been a major concern for financial institutions. Financial intermediaries such as commercial banks need to study the quality of potential borrowers in order to make their decision on…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-07-05 Jinglun Yao , Maxime Levy-Chapira , Mamikon Margaryan

Although the specification of bivariate probability models using a collection of assumed conditional distributions is not a novel concept, it has received considerable attention in the last decade. In this study, a bivariate…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-20 Indranil Ghosh , Mina Norouzirad , Filipe J. Marques

Count data take on non-negative integer values and are challenging to properly analyze using standard linear-Gaussian methods such as linear regression and principal components analysis. Generalized linear models enable direct modeling of…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-01-14 F. William Townes

This article is concerned with the fitting of multinomial regression models using the so-called "Poisson Trick". The work is motivated by Chen & Kuo (2001) and Malchow-M{\o}ller & Svarer (2003) which have been criticized for being…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-07-27 Jarod Y. L. Lee , Peter J. Green , Louise M. Ryan

This paper focuses on estimating the coefficients and average partial effects of observed regressors in nonlinear panel data models with interactive fixed effects, using the common correlated effects (CCE) framework. The proposed two-step…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-04-27 Liang Chen , Minyuan Zhang

Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods have become a cornerstone of many modern scientific analyses by providing a straightforward approach to numerically estimate uncertainties in the parameters of a model using a sequence of random…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2020-03-10 Joshua S. Speagle

This review outlines concepts of mathematical statistics, elements of probability theory, hypothesis tests and point estimation for use in the analysis of modern astronomical data. Least squares, maximum likelihood, and Bayesian approaches…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2012-05-10 Eric D. Feigelson , G. Jogesh Babu

We consider fits to two or more datasets for which results from the sa me experiment share a common systematic uncertainty in addition to their individ ual statistical errors. This is important in extracting the maximum information from a…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2020-09-29 Roger John Barlow

Bayesian, classical, and extended maximum likelihood approaches to estimation of upper limits in experiments with small numbers of signal events are surveyed. The discussion covers only experiments whose outcomes are well described by a…

High Energy Physics - Experiment · Physics 2011-07-19 Ilya Narsky