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Predictive policing systems that direct patrol resources based on algorithmically generated crime forecasts have been widely deployed across US cities, yet their tendency to encode and amplify racial disparities remains poorly understood in…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-03-23 Pronob Kumar Barman , Pronoy Kumar Barman

There are ongoing discussions about predictive policing systems, such as those deployed in Los Angeles, California and Baltimore, Maryland, being unfair, for example, by exhibiting racial bias. Studies found that unfairness may be due to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-04 Samin Semsar , Kiran Laxmikant Prabhu , Gabriella Waters , James Foulds

Settings such as lending and policing can be modeled by a centralized agent allocating a resource (loans or police officers) amongst several groups, in order to maximize some objective (loans given that are repaid or criminals that are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-16 Hadi Elzayn , Shahin Jabbari , Christopher Jung , Michael Kearns , Seth Neel , Aaron Roth , Zachary Schutzman

Predictive policing systems are increasingly used to determine how to allocate police across a city in order to best prevent crime. Discovered crime data (e.g., arrest counts) are used to help update the model, and the process is repeated.…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2017-12-25 Danielle Ensign , Sorelle A. Friedler , Scott Neville , Carlos Scheidegger , Suresh Venkatasubramanian

Traffic accident forecasting is an important task for intelligent transportation management and emergency response systems. However, this problem is challenging due to the spatial heterogeneity of the environment. Existing data-driven…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-23 Bang An , Xun Zhou , Amin Vahedian , Nick Street , Jinping Guan , Jun Luo

Urban prediction tasks, such as forecasting traffic flow, temperature, and crime rates, are crucial for efficient urban planning and management. However, existing Spatiotemporal Graph Neural Networks (ST-GNNs) often rely solely on accuracy,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-22 Dingyi Zhuang , Hanyong Xu , Xiaotong Guo , Yunhan Zheng , Shenhao Wang , Jinhua Zhao

Objectives: To develop a deep learning framework to evaluate if and how incorporating micro-level mobility features, alongside historical crime and sociodemographic data, enhances predictive performance in crime forecasting at fine-grained…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-26 Ariadna Albors Zumel , Michele Tizzoni , Gian Maria Campedelli

Traffic prediction plays a crucial role in intelligent transportation systems. Existing approaches primarily focus on improving overall accuracy, often neglecting a critical issue: whether predictive models lead to biased decisions by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-24 Jiangnan Xia , Yu Yang , Jiaxing Shen , Senzhang Wang , Jiannong Cao

Machine learning models have achieved widespread success but often inherit and amplify historical biases, resulting in unfair outcomes. Traditional fairness methods typically impose constraints at the prediction level, without addressing…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-10 Enze Shi , Pankaj Bhagwat , Zhixian Yang , Linglong Kong , Bei Jiang

We are interested in developing a data-driven method to evaluate race-induced biases in law enforcement systems. While the recent works have addressed this question in the context of police-civilian interactions using police stop data, they…

Researchers regard crime as a social phenomenon that is influenced by several physical, social, and economic factors. Different types of crimes are said to have different motivations. Theft, for instance, is a crime that is based on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-27 Deborah Djon , Jitesh Jhawar , Kieron Drumm , Vincent Tran

Risk assessment algorithms have been correctly criticized for potential unfairness, and there is an active cottage industry trying to make repairs. In this paper, we adopt a framework from conformal prediction sets to remove unfairness from…

Applications · Statistics 2021-05-24 Richard A. Berk , Arun Kumar Kuchibhotla

In this article we explore the data available through the Stanford Open Policing Project. The data consist of information on millions of traffic stops across close to 100 different cities and highway patrols. Using a variety of metrics, we…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-01 Saatvik Kher , Johanna Hardin

Hot-spot-based policing programs aim to deter crime through increased proactive patrols at high-crime locations. While most hot spot programs target easily identified chronic hot spots, we introduce models for predicting temporary hot spots…

Applications · Statistics 2020-11-13 Dylan J. Fitzpatrick , Wilpen L. Gorr , Daniel B. Neill

Traffic time series forecasting is challenging due to complex spatio-temporal dynamics time series from different locations often have distinct patterns; and for the same time series, patterns may vary across time, where, for example, there…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-06 Razvan-Gabriel Cirstea , Bin Yang , Chenjuan Guo , Tung Kieu , Shirui Pan

A crime is a punishable offence that is harmful for an individual and his society. It is obvious to comprehend the patterns of criminal activity to prevent them. Research can help society to prevent and solve crime activates. Study shows…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-23 Sohrab Hossain , Ahmed Abtahee , Imran Kashem , Mohammed Moshiul Hoque , Iqbal H. Sarker

Principled decision making in emergency response management necessitates the use of statistical models that predict the spatial-temporal likelihood of incident occurrence. These statistical models are then used for proactive stationing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-16 Sayyed Mohsen Vazirizade , Ayan Mukhopadhyay , Geoffrey Pettet , Said El Said , Hiba Baroud , Abhishek Dubey

Crime events are known to reveal spatio-temporal patterns, which can be used for predictive modeling and subsequent decision support. While the focus has hitherto been placed on areas with high population density, we address the challenging…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2019-02-12 Cristina Kadar , Rudolf Maculan , Stefan Feuerriegel

Understanding the relationship between change in crime over time and the geography of urban areas is an important problem for urban planning. Accurate estimation of changing crime rates throughout a city would aid law enforcement as well as…

Applications · Statistics 2019-10-21 Cecilia Balocchi , Shane T. Jensen

With the growing use of AI technology, many police departments use forecasting software to predict probable crime hotspots and allocate patrolling resources effectively for crime prevention. The clustered nature of crime data makes…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-12 Pramit Das , Moulinath Banerjee , Yuekai Sun
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