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When inferring parameters from a Gaussian-distributed data set by computing a likelihood, a covariance matrix is needed that describes the data errors and their correlations. If the covariance matrix is not known a priori, it may be…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2016-01-27 Elena Sellentin , Alan F. Heavens

Functional data are defined as realizations of random functions (mostly smooth functions) varying over a continuum, which are usually collected with measurement errors on discretized grids. In order to accurately smooth noisy functional…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-12-13 Jingjing Yang , Dennis D. Cox , Jong Soo Lee , Peng Ren , Taeryon Choi

This paper develops an approach to inference in a linear regression model when the number of potential explanatory variables is larger than the sample size. The approach treats each regression coefficient in turn as the interest parameter,…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-14 Heather S. Battey , Nancy Reid

Accurate and precise covariance matrices will be important in enabling planned cosmological surveys to detect new physics. Standard methods imply either the need for many N-body simulations in order to obtain an accurate estimate, or a…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2018-12-13 Alex Hall , Andy Taylor

In this paper, we study a smoothness regularization method for a varying coefficient model based on sparse and irregularly sampled functional data which is contaminated with some measurement errors. We estimate the one-dimensional…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-11-28 Behdad Mostafaiy

We show via counterexamples that relative entropy between the solution of a Markovian master equation and the steady state is not a convex function of time. We thus let down a curtain on a possible formulation of a principle of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2013-09-06 Matteo Polettini , Massimiliano Esposito

The theory of ``Markov-up'' processes is being developed. This is a new class of stochastic processes with ``partial'' markovian features; it could also be called ``one-sided Markov''. Such a behavior may be found in the real world and in…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-07-01 D. O. Kalikaeva

The smoothing spline is one of the most popular curve-fitting methods, partly because of empirical evidence supporting its effectiveness and partly because of its elegant mathematical formulation. However, there are two obstacles that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-09-11 Yu Ryan Yue , Daniel Simpson , Finn Lindgren , Håvard Rue

Inferring the mechanical properties of soft tissues from measured deformations is a fundamental challenge in elastography. A rarely examined assumption underlying existing approaches is that the assumed constitutive law correctly describes…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-15 Vincent C. Scholz , P. S. Koutsourelakis

Stochastic approximation is a powerful class of algorithms with celebrated success. However, a large body of previous analysis focuses on stochastic approximations driven by contractive operators, which is not applicable in some important…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-21 Ethan Blaser , Shangtong Zhang

We study nonparametric covariance function estimation for functional data observed with noise at discrete locations on a $d$-dimensional domain. Estimating the covariance function from discretely observed data is a challenging nonparametric…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-25 Yoshikazu Terada , Atsutomo Yara

We propose a flexible dual functional factor model for modelling high-dimensional functional time series. In this model, a high-dimensional fully functional factor parametrisation is imposed on the observed functional processes, whereas a…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-01-15 Chenlei Leng , Degui Li , Hanlin Shang , Yingcun Xia

Strong invariance principles describe the error term of a Brownian approximation of the partial sums of a stochastic process. While these strong approximation results have many applications, the results for continuous-time settings have…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-06-17 Ardjen Pengel , Joris Bierkens

We examine an analytic variational inference scheme for the Gaussian Process State Space Model (GPSSM) - a probabilistic model for system identification and time-series modelling. Our approach performs variational inference over both the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-12-11 Alessandro Davide Ialongo , Mark van der Wilk , Carl Edward Rasmussen

Estimation of Markov Random Field and covariance models from high-dimensional data represents a canonical problem that has received a lot of attention in the literature. A key assumption, widely employed, is that of {\em sparsity} of the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-05-16 Davoud Ataee Tarzanagh , George Michailidis

The invariant measure is a fundamental object in the theory of Markov processes. In finite dimensions a Markov process is defined by transition rates of the corresponding stochastic matrix. The Markov tree theorem provides an explicit…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-10-08 Artur Stephan

Dynamics of non-Markovian systems is a classic problem yet it attracts an everlasting activity in physics and beyond. A powerful tool for modeling such setups is the Generalized Langevin Equation, however, its analysis typically poses a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-10-29 Mateusz Wiśniewski , Jakub Spiechowicz

We consider a general honest homogeneous continuous-time Markov process with restarts. The process is forced to restart from a given distribution at time moments generated by an independent Poisson process. The motivation to study such…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-06-26 Konstantin Avrachenkov , Alexei Piunovskiy , Zhang Yi

We propose a flexible yet interpretable model for high-dimensional data with time-varying second order statistics, motivated and applied to functional neuroimaging data. Motivated by the neuroscience literature, we factorize the covariances…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-07-20 Katherine Tsai , Mladen Kolar , Oluwasanmi Koyejo

We investigate the non-Markovianity of continuous variable Gaussian quantum channels through the evolution of an operational metrological quantifier, namely the Gaussian interferometric power, which captures the minimal precision that can…