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In this paper we present a novel inference methodology to perform Bayesian inference for spatiotemporal Cox processes where the intensity function depends on a multivariate Gaussian process. Dynamic Gaussian processes are introduced to…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-03-12 Flávio B. Gonçalves , Dani Gamerman

The construction of valid and flexible cross-covariance functions is a fundamental task for modeling multivariate space-time data arising from climatological and oceanographical phenomena. Indeed, a suitable specification of the covariance…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-11-23 Alfredo Alegría , Emilio Porcu , Reinhard Furrer , Jorge Mateu

We consider a modification of the covariance function in Gaussian processes to correctly account for known linear constraints. By modelling the target function as a transformation of an underlying function, the constraints are explicitly…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-09-20 Carl Jidling , Niklas Wahlström , Adrian Wills , Thomas B. Schön

Data refinement is the standard extension of a refinement relation from programs to datatypes (i.e. a behavioural subtyping relation). Forward/backward simulations provide a tractable method for establishing data refinement, and have been…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2025-11-27 Chris Chen , Annabelle McIver , Carroll Morgan

In multivariate functional data analysis, different functional covariates often exhibit homogeneity. The covariates with pronounced homogeneity can be analyzed jointly within the same group, offering a parsimonious approach to modeling…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-24 Shuhao Jiao , Ngai-Hang Chan

Memory effects in the dynamics of open systems have been the subject of significant interest in the last decades. The methods involved in quantifying this effect, however, are often difficult to compute and may lack analytical insight. With…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2021-02-10 Rolando Ramirez Camasca , Gabriel T. Landi

In this paper, we propose a data-driven robust safety verification framework for stochastic dynamical systems modeled as Markov decision processes with time-varying and uncertain transition probabilities. Rather than assuming access to the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-12-09 Abhijit Mazumdar , Manuela L. Bujorianu , Rafal Wisniewski

The spatial random-effects model is flexible in modeling spatial covariance functions, and is computationally efficient for spatial prediction via fixed rank kriging. However, the success of this model depends on an appropriate set of basis…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-04-23 ShengLi Tzeng , Hsin-Cheng Huang

Real-time monitoring in modern medical research introduces functional longitudinal data, characterized by continuous-time measurements of outcomes, treatments, and confounders. This complexity leads to uncountably infinite…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-15 Andrew Ying

In some real world applications, such as spectrometry, functional models achieve better predictive performances if they work on the derivatives of order m of their inputs rather than on the original functions. As a consequence, the use of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-05-04 Fabrice Rossi , Nathalie Villa-Vialaneix

We present a computational strategy for the evaluation of multidimensional integrals on hyper-rectangles based on Markovian stochastic exploration of the integration domain while the integrand is being morphed by starting from an initial…

Applications · Statistics 2016-05-04 Mirco Zerbetto , Diego Frezzato

We axiomatize and generalize Markov's approach to the continuity problem for Type 1 computable functions, i.e. the problem of finding sufficient conditions on a computable topological space to obtain a theorem of the form "computable…

Logic · Mathematics 2024-12-12 Emmanuel Rauzy

Stochastic approximation is a framework unifying many random iterative algorithms occurring in a diverse range of applications. The stability of the process is often difficult to verify in practical applications and the process may even be…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-03-10 Christophe Andrieu , Matti Vihola

Covariance Neural Networks (VNNs) perform graph convolutions on the covariance matrix of input data to leverage correlation information as pairwise connections. They have achieved success in a multitude of applications such as neuroscience,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-30 Andrea Cavallo , Zhan Gao , Elvin Isufi

Conformal prediction provides a distribution-free framework for uncertainty quantification. This study explores the application of conformal prediction in scenarios where covariates are missing, which introduces significant challenges for…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-09 Jingsen Kong , YIming Liu , Guangren Yang

We introduce state-space models where the functionals of the observational and the evolutionary equations are unknown, and treated as random functions evolving with time. Thus, our model is nonparametric and generalizes the traditional…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-02-24 Anurag Ghosh , Soumalya Mukhopadhyay , Sandipan Roy , Sourabh Bhattacharya

We consider Bayesian inverse problems arising in data assimilation for dynamical systems governed by partial and stochastic partial differential equations. The space-time dependent field is inferred jointly with static parameters of the…

Computation · Statistics 2026-03-20 Baptiste Simandoux , Nikolas Kantas , Dan Crisan

Many fMRI analyses examine functional connectivity, or statistical dependencies among remote brain regions. Yet popular methods for studying whole-brain functional connectivity often yield results that are difficult to interpret. Factor…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-24 Kyle Stanley , Nicole Lazar , Matthew Reimherr

In this paper we present the Markov variation, a smoothness measure which offers a probabilistic interpretation of graph signal smoothness. This measure is then used to develop an optimization framework for graph signal interpolation. Our…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-01-29 Ayelet Heimowitz , Yonina C. Eldar

The Markov assumption (MA) is fundamental to the empirical validity of reinforcement learning. In this paper, we propose a novel Forward-Backward Learning procedure to test MA in sequential decision making. The proposed test does not assume…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-02-06 Chengchun Shi , Runzhe Wan , Rui Song , Wenbin Lu , Ling Leng
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