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We demonstrate how the uncertainty of parameter point estimates can be assessed in a maximum likelihood framework in order to prevent overfitting and erroneous detection of time-inhomogeneity. The class of models we consider are regular…

Computation · Statistics 2012-05-23 Jakob Stöber , Ulf Schepsmeier

Statistical quality control methods are noteworthy to producing standard production in manufacturing processes. In this regard, there are many classical manners to control the process. Many of them have a global assumption around the…

This article proposes copula-based dependence quantification between multiple groups of random variables of possibly different sizes via the family of $Phi$-divergences. An axiomatic framework for this purpose is provided, after which we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-02-28 Steven De Keyser , Irène Gijbels

This paper introduces a nonparametric copula-based index for detecting the strength and monotonicity structure of linear and nonlinear statistical dependence between pairs of random variables or stochastic signals. Our index, termed Copula…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-02-25 Kiran Karra , Lamine Mili

The inversion formula for conservative multifractal measures was unveiled mathematically a decade ago, which is however not well tested in real complex systems. In this Letter, we propose to verify the inversion formula using high-frequency…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-02-11 Zhi-Qiang Jiang , Wei-Xing Zhou

This paper explores the dependence modeling of financial assets in a dynamic way and its critical role in measuring risk. Two new methods, called Accelerated Moving Window method and Bottom-up method are proposed to detect the change of…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-08-15 Yali Dou , Haiyan Liu , Georgios Aivaliotis

In actuarial research, a task of particular interest and importance is to predict the loss cost for individual risks so that informative decisions are made in various insurance operations such as underwriting, ratemaking, and capital…

Applications · Statistics 2019-10-15 Peng Shi , Zifeng Zhao

This paper develops an intuitive concept of perfect dependence between two variables of which at least one has a nominal scale. Perfect dependence is attainable for all marginal distributions. It furthermore proposes a set of dependence…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-05 Jan-Lukas Wermuth

We consider the convolution model where i.i.d. random variables $X_i$ having unknown density $f$ are observed with additive i.i.d. noise, independent of the $X$'s. We assume that the density $f$ belongs to either a Sobolev class or a class…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Cristina Butucea

In conditional copula models, the copula parameter is deterministically linked to a covariate via the calibration function. The latter is of central interest for inference and is usually estimated nonparametrically. However, when a…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-03-19 Elif F. Acar , Radu V. Craiu , Fang Yao

Gaussian copulas are widely used in the industry to correlate two random variables when there is no prior knowledge about the co-dependence between them. The perturbed Gaussian copula approach allows introducing the skew information of both…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2012-02-10 Alberto Elices , Jean-Pierre Fouque

We consider the problem of estimating stochastic volatility for a class of second-order parabolic stochastic PDEs. Assuming that the solution is observed at a high temporal frequency, we use limit theorems for multipower variations and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-06-02 Carsten Chong

We propose a new multivariate dependency measure. It is obtained by considering a Gaussian kernel based distance between the copula transform of the given d-dimensional distribution and the uniform copula and then appropriately normalizing…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-11-12 Angshuman Roy , Alok Goswami , C. A. Murthy

This paper proposes a variance-based measure of importance for coherent systems with dependent and heterogeneous components. The particular cases of independent components and homogeneous components are also considered. We model the…

Applications · Statistics 2024-09-30 Antonio Arriaza , Jorge Navarro , Miguel Angel Sordo , Alfonso Suárez-Llorens

The association between log-price increments of exchange-traded equities, as measured by their spot correlation estimated from high-frequency data, exhibits a pronounced upward-sloping and almost piecewise linear relationship at the…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-16 Kim Christensen , Ulrich Hounyo , Zhi Liu

Based on discrete observations, we develop a test to infer if the volatility function $\sigma(\cdot)$ within the nonparametric Gaussian white noise model $dY_t = \sigma(t)dW_t$ is constant. The testing procedure is shown to be…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-29 Johannes Brutsche , Lukas Riepl

For multivariate distributions in the domain of attraction of a max-stable distribution, the tail copula and the stable tail dependence function are equivalent ways to capture the dependence in the upper tail. The empirical versions of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-10-09 John H. J. Einmahl , Johan Segers

This paper develops a flexible and computationally efficient multivariate volatility model, which allows for dynamic conditional correlations and volatility spillover effects among financial assets. The new model has desirable properties…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-25 Wenyu Li , Yuchang Lin , Qianqian Zhu , Guodong Li

We introduce tests for the goodness of fit of point patterns via methods from topological data analysis. More precisely, the persistent Betti numbers give rise to a bivariate functional summary statistic for observed point patterns that is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-06-19 Christophe Ange Napoléon Biscio , Nicolas Chenavier , Christian Hirsch , Anne Marie Svane

Uncertain information on input parameters of reliability models is usually modeled by considering these parameters as random, and described by marginal distributions and a dependence structure of these variables. In numerous real-world…

Applications · Statistics 2018-04-30 Nazih Benoumechiara , Bertrand Michel , Philippe Saint-Pierre , Nicolas Bousquet