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In this paper, we consider the problem of propagating an uncertain distribution by a possibly non-linear function and quantifying the resulting uncertainty. We measure the uncertainty using the Wasserstein distance, and for a given input…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-06-13 Eduardo Figueiredo , Steven Adams , Peyman Mohajerin Esfahani , Luca Laurenti

We present an algorithm for data-driven reachability analysis that estimates finite-horizon forward reachable sets for general nonlinear systems using level sets of a certain class of polynomials known as Christoffel functions. The level…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-04-29 Alex Devonport , Forest Yang , Laurent El Ghaoui , Murat Arcak

This paper proposes a mechanism to fine-tune convex approximations of probabilistic reachable sets (PRS) of uncertain dynamic systems. We consider the case of unbounded uncertainties, for which it may be impossible to find a bounded…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-02-06 Pengcheng Wu , Sonia Martinez , Jun Chen

We study control of constrained linear systems with only partial statistical information about the uncertainty affecting the system dynamics and the sensor measurements. Specifically, given a finite collection of disturbance realizations…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-07-15 Jean-Sébastien Brouillon , Andrea Martin , John Lygeros , Florian Dörfler , Giancarlo Ferrari Trecate

In this paper we focus on noncooperative games with uncertain constraints coupling the agents' decisions. We consider a setting where bounded deviations of agents' decisions from the equilibrium are possible, and uncertain constraints are…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-11-28 George Pantazis , Filiberto Fele , Kostas Margellos

This paper poses a theoretical characterization of the stochastic reachability problem in terms of probability measures, capturing the probability measure of the state of the system that satisfies the reachability specification for all…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-12-13 Karthik Sivaramakrishnan , Vignesh Sivaramakrishnan , Rosalyn Alex Devonport , Meeko M. K. Oishi

Distributionally robust stochastic optimization (DRSO) is an approach to optimization under uncertainty in which, instead of assuming that there is a known true underlying probability distribution, one hedges against a chosen set of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-05-03 Rui Gao , Anton J. Kleywegt

Data-driven distributionally robust optimization is a recently emerging paradigm aimed at finding a solution that is driven by sample data but is protected against sampling errors. An increasingly popular approach, known as Wasserstein…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-07-20 Jonathan Yu-Meng Li , Tiantian Mao

Designing provably safe control is a core problem in trustworthy autonomy. However, most prior work in this regard assumes either that the system dynamics are known or deterministic, or that the state and action space are finite,…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-02-04 Xinhang Ma , Junlin Wu , Yiannis Kantaros , Yevgeniy Vorobeychik

An important mathematical tool in the analysis of dynamical systems is the approximation of the reach set, i.e., the set of states reachable after a given time from a given initial state. This set is difficult to compute for complex systems…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-19 Abdelmouaiz Tebjou , Goran Frehse , Faïcel Chamroukhi

Many decision problems in science, engineering and economics are affected by uncertain parameters whose distribution is only indirectly observable through samples. The goal of data-driven decision-making is to learn a decision from finitely…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-11-05 Daniel Kuhn , Peyman Mohajerin Esfahani , Viet Anh Nguyen , Soroosh Shafieezadeh-Abadeh

Distributionally robust optimization has emerged as an attractive way to train robust machine learning models, capturing data uncertainty and distribution shifts. Recent statistical analyses have proved that generalization guarantees of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-01-28 Tam Le , Jérôme Malick

Reachability analysis is a formal method to guarantee safety of dynamical systems under the influence of uncertainties. A substantial bottleneck of all reachability algorithms is the necessity to adequately tune specific algorithm…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-02-23 Mark Wetzlinger , Niklas Kochdumper , Stanley Bak , Matthias Althoff

We study the convex hulls of reachable sets of nonlinear systems with bounded disturbances and uncertain initial conditions. Reachable sets play a critical role in control, but remain notoriously challenging to compute, and existing…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-04-16 Thomas Lew , Riccardo Bonalli , Marco Pavone

We present a data-driven framework for reachability analysis of nonlinear dynamical systems that requires no explicit model. A denoising diffusion probabilistic model learns the time-evolving state distribution of a dynamical system from…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-02 Yanliang Huang , Peng Xie , Wenyuan Wu , Zhuoqi Zeng , Amr Alanwar

We present a data-driven approach for distributionally robust chance constrained optimization problems (DRCCPs). We consider the case where the decision maker has access to a finite number of samples or realizations of the uncertainty. The…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-10-11 Ashish R. Hota , Ashish Cherukuri , John Lygeros

We address the reachability problem for continuous-time stochastic dynamic systems. Our objective is to present a unified framework that characterizes the reachable set of a dynamic system in the presence of both stochastic disturbances and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-09-04 Saber Jafarpour , Zishun Liu , Yongxin Chen

The goal of scenario reduction is to approximate a given discrete distribution with another discrete distribution that has fewer atoms. We distinguish continuous scenario reduction, where the new atoms may be chosen freely, and discrete…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-01-17 Napat Rujeerapaiboon , Kilian Schindler , Daniel Kuhn , Wolfram Wiesemann

We study distributionally robust optimization (DRO) problems with uncertainty sets consisting of high-dimensional random vectors that are close in the multivariate Wasserstein distance to a reference random vector. We give conditions when…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-01-30 Brandon Tam , Silvana M. Pesenti

In this paper, we present an analytical approach for the synthesis of ellipsoidal probabilistic reachable sets of saturated systems subject to unbounded additive noise. Using convex optimization methods, we compute a contraction factor of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-09-03 Carlo Karam , Matteo Tacchi-Bénard , Mirko Fiacchini