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Reliable uncertainty quantification is crucial for reinforcement learning (RL) in high-stakes settings. We propose a unified conformal prediction framework for infinite-horizon policy evaluation that constructs distribution-free prediction…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-31 Feichen Gan , Youcun Lu , Yingying Zhang , Yukun Liu

This paper discusses a class of combinatorial optimization problems with uncertain costs in the objective function. It is assumed that a sample of the cost realizations is available, which defines an empirical probability distribution for…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-12-21 Marcel Jackiewicz , Adam Kasperski , Pawel Zielinski

This paper presents algorithms for performing data-driven reachability analysis under temporal logic side information. In certain scenarios, the data-driven reachable sets of a robot can be prohibitively conservative due to the inherent…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-03-31 Amr Alanwar , Frank J. Jiang , Maryam Sharifi , Dimos V. Dimarogonas , Karl H. Johansson

Efficiently handling time-triggered and possibly nondeterministic switches for hybrid systems reachability is a challenging task. In this paper we present an approach based on conservative set-based enclosure of the dynamics that can handle…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-07-07 Marcelo Forets , Daniel Freire , Christian Schilling

In this paper, we propose a suboptimal moving horizon estimator for nonlinear systems. For the stability analysis we transfer the "feasibility-implies-stability/robustness" paradigm from model predictive control to the context of moving…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-09-13 Julian D. Schiller , Sven Knüfer , Matthias A. Müller

We study data-driven learning of robust stochastic control for infinite-horizon systems with potentially continuous state and action spaces. In many managerial settings--supply chains, finance, manufacturing, services, and dynamic…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-18 Shengbo Wang , Jason Meng , Nian Si , Jose Blanchet , Zhengyuan Zhou

We propose a new method in indefinite-horizon settings for estimating optimal dynamic treatment regimes for time-to-event outcomes. This method allows patients to have different numbers of treatment stages and is constructed using…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-31 Jane She , Matthew Egberg , Michael R. Kosorok

In data-driven optimization, solution feasibility is often ensured through a "safe" reformulation of the uncertain constraints, such that an obtained data-driven solution is guaranteed to be feasible for the oracle formulation with high…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-09-17 Henry Lam , Huajie Qian

Reachability analysis has been a prominent way to provide safety guarantees for neurally controlled autonomous systems, but its direct application to neural perception components is infeasible due to imperfect or intractable perception…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-27 Yuang Geng , Thomas Waite , Trevor Turnquist , Radoslav Ivanov , Ivan Ruchkin

We study safe, data-driven control of (Markov) jump linear systems with unknown transition probabilities, where both the discrete mode and the continuous state are to be inferred from output measurements. To this end, we develop a receding…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-05-07 Mathijs Schuurmans , Panagiotis Patrinos

Real-world autonomous systems often employ probabilistic predictive models of human behavior during planning to reason about their future motion. Since accurately modeling human behavior a priori is challenging, such models are often…

Robotics · Computer Science 2020-04-07 Somil Bansal , Andrea Bajcsy , Ellis Ratner , Anca D. Dragan , Claire J. Tomlin

We study the problem of policy optimization for infinite-horizon discounted Markov Decision Processes with softmax policy and nonlinear function approximation trained with policy gradient algorithms. We concentrate on the training dynamics…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-23 Andrea Agazzi , Jianfeng Lu

In this paper, we present a geometric framework for the reachability analysis of attitude control systems. We model the attitude dynamics on the product manifold $\mathrm{SO}(3) \times \mathbb{R}^3$ and introduce a novel parametrized family…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-03-03 Chencheng Xu , Saber Jafarpour , Chengcheng Zhao , Zhiguo Shi , Jiming Chen

In this paper we establish an attainability result for the minimum time function of a control problem in the space of probability measures endowed with Wasserstein distance. The dynamics is provided by a suitable controlled continuity…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-08-24 Giulia Cavagnari , Antonio Marigonda

We consider the problem of computing reachable sets directly from noisy data without a given system model. Several reachability algorithms are presented for different types of systems generating the data. First, an algorithm for computing…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-03-14 Amr Alanwar , Anne Koch , Frank Allgöwer , Karl Henrik Johansson

This paper investigates the robust optimal control of sampled-data stochastic systems with multiplicative noise and distributional ambiguity. We consider a class of discrete-time optimal control problems where the controller \emph{jointly}…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-02-05 Chung-Han Hsieh

Despite of its importance for safe machine learning, uncertainty quantification for neural networks is far from being solved. State-of-the-art approaches to estimate neural uncertainties are often hybrid, combining parametric models with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-03 Joachim Sicking , Maram Akila , Maximilian Pintz , Tim Wirtz , Asja Fischer , Stefan Wrobel

We propose a new method for optimistic planning in infinite-horizon discounted Markov decision processes based on the idea of adding regularization to the updates of an otherwise standard approximate value iteration procedure. This…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-16 Antoine Moulin , Gergely Neu

We study the problem of distributional matrix completion: Given a sparsely observed matrix of empirical distributions, we seek to impute the true distributions associated with both observed and unobserved matrix entries. This is a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-09 Jacob Feitelberg , Kyuseong Choi , Anish Agarwal , Raaz Dwivedi

We present an approach to approximate reachable sets for linear systems with bounded L-infinity controls in finite time. Our first approach investigates the boundaries of these sets and reveals an exact characterization for single-input,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-03-18 Steven Nguyen , Jorge Cortés , Boris Kramer
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