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We develop a novel approach to tackle the common but challenging problem of conformal inference for missing data in machine learning, focusing on Missing at Random (MAR) data. We propose a new procedure Conformal prediction for Missing data…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-22 Wenlu Tang , Hongni Wang , Xingcai Zhou , Bei Jiang , Linglong Kong

Concept drift -- the change of the distribution over time -- poses significant challenges for learning systems and is of central interest for monitoring. Understanding drift is thus paramount, and drift localization -- determining which…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-22 Fabian Hinder , Valerie Vaquet , Johannes Brinkrolf , Barbara Hammer

We consider the testing and estimation of change-points, locations where the distribution abruptly changes, in a sequence of multivariate or non-Euclidean observations. We study a nonparametric framework that utilizes similarity information…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-23 Lynna Chu , Hao Chen

A main challenge in target localization arises from the lack of reliable distance measures. This issue is especially pronounced in indoor settings due to the presence of walls, floors, furniture, and other dynamically changing conditions…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-05-07 Mahesh K. Banavar , Shandeepa Wickramasinghe , Monalisa Achalla , Jie Sun

Modeling non-stationary data is a challenging problem in the field of continual learning, and data distribution shifts may result in negative consequences on the performance of a machine learning model. Classic learning tools are often…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-23 Sebastián Basterrech , Line Clemmensen , Gerardo Rubino

This paper proposes various nonparametric tools based on measure transportation for directional data. We use optimal transports to define new notions of distribution and quantile functions on the hypersphere, with meaningful quantile…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-02-29 Marc Hallin , Hang Liu , Thomas Verdebout

This paper introduces a novel direct approach to system identification of dynamic networks with missing data based on maximum likelihood estimation. Dynamic networks generally present a singular probability density function, which poses a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-07-31 João Victor Galvão da Mata , Anders Hansson , Martin S. Andersen

In this article, we consider the estimation of the marginal distributions for pairs of data are recorded, with unobserved order in each pair. New estimators are proposed and their asymptotic properties are established, by proving a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-04-26 L. Dumitrescu , D. Harcourt

Unwanted samples from private source categories in the learning objective of a partial domain adaptation setup can lead to negative transfer and reduce classification performance. Existing methods, such as re-weighting or aggregating target…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-10-20 Sandipan Choudhuri , Arunabha Sen

Learning from a label distribution has achieved promising results on ordinal regression tasks such as facial age and head pose estimation wherein, the concept of adaptive label distribution learning (ALDL) has drawn lots of attention…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-04-04 Qiang Li , Jingjing Wang , Zhaoliang Yao , Yachun Li , Pengju Yang , Jingwei Yan , Chunmao Wang , Shiliang Pu

We study the change detection problem with an unknown post-change distribution. Under this constraint, the unknown change in the distribution of observations may occur in many ways without much structure on the observations, whereas, before…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-12-11 Deniz Sargun , C. Emre Koksal

An interesting phenomenon arises: Empirical Risk Minimization (ERM) sometimes outperforms methods specifically designed for out-of-distribution tasks. This motivates an investigation into the reasons behind such behavior beyond algorithmic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-21 Hong Zheng , Fei Teng

The Poisson distribution is the default choice of likelihood for probabilistic models of count data. However, due to the equidispersion contraint of the Poisson, such models may have predictive uncertainty that is artificially inflated.…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-15 Jimmy Lederman , Aaron Schein

In observational studies, the identification of causal estimands depends on the no unmeasured confounding (NUC) assumption. As this assumption is not testable from observed data, sensitivity analysis plays an important role in observational…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-28 Md Abdul Basit , Mahbub A. H. M. Latif , Abdus S Wahed

In the uniformity testing task, an algorithm is provided with samples from an unknown probability distribution over a (known) finite domain, and must decide whether it is the uniform distribution, or, alternatively, if its total variation…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2025-08-05 Guy Blanc , Clément L. Canonne , Erik Waingarten

The nonlinear filtering problem is concerned with finding the conditional probability distribution (posterior) of the state of a stochastic dynamical system, given a history of partial and noisy observations. This paper presents a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-03-26 Mohammad Al-Jarrah , Bamdad Hosseini , Amirhossein Taghvaei

This study develops an online predictive optimization framework for dynamically operating a transit service in an area of crowd movements. The proposed framework integrates demand prediction and supply optimization to periodically redesign…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-02-25 Inon Peled , Kelvin Lee , Yu Jiang , Justin Dauwels , Francisco C. Pereira

We propose nonparametric open-end sequential testing procedures that can detect all types of changes in the contemporary distribution function of possibly multivariate observations. Their asymptotic properties are theoretically investigated…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-15 Mark Holmes , Ivan Kojadinovic , Alex Verhoijsen

Different observations of a relation between inputs ("sources") and outputs ("targets") are often reported in terms of histograms (discretizations of the source and the target densities). Transporting these densities to each other provides…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2019-07-25 Caroline Moosmüller , Felix Dietrich , Ioannis G. Kevrekidis

The problem of detecting a few anomalous processes among a large number of data streams is considered. At each time, aggregated observations can be taken from a chosen subset of the processes, where the chosen subset conforms to a given…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2018-08-17 Chao Wang , Kobi Cohen , Qing Zhao