Direct System Identification of Dynamical Networks with Partial Measurements: a Maximum Likelihood Approach

This paper introduces a novel direct approach to system identification of dynamic networks with missing data based on maximum likelihood estimation. Dynamic networks generally present a singular probability density function, which poses a challenge in the estimation of their parameters. By leveraging knowledge about the network's interconnections, we show that it is possible to transform the problem into a more tractable form by applying linear transformations. This results in a nonsingular probability density function, enabling the application of maximum likelihood estimation techniques. Our preliminary numerical results suggest that when combined with global optimization algorithms or a suitable initialization strategy, we are able to obtain a good estimate of the dynamics of the internal systems.