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We provide new non-asymptotic false discovery proportion (FDP) confidence envelopes in several multiple testing settings relevant for modern high dimensional-data methods. We revisit the multiple testing scenarios considered in the recent…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-09-18 Iqraa Meah , Gilles Blanchard , Etienne Roquain

We discuss systematically two versions of confidence regions: those based on p-values and those based on e-values, a recent alternative to p-values. Both versions can be applied to multiple hypothesis testing, and in this paper we are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-03-05 Vladimir Vovk , Ruodu Wang

Linear combinations of multinomial probabilities, such as those resulting from contingency tables, are of use when evaluating classification system performance. While large sample inference methods for these combinations exist, small sample…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-20 Katherine A. Batterton , Christine M. Schubert , Richard L. Warr

Modern applications of conformal inference to multiple testing problems, such as outlier detection and candidate selection, often involve selecting test samples whose conformal p-values fall below a threshold. The quality of such methods is…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-21 Ziang Song , Ying Jin , Emmanuel J. Candès

When multiple hypotheses are tested, interest is often in ensuring that the proportion of false discoveries (FDP) is small with high confidence. In this paper, confidence upper bounds for the FDP are constructed, which are simultaneous over…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-01-07 Jesse Hemerik , Aldo Solari , Jelle J. Goeman

False discovery rate (FDR) is a common way to control the number of false discoveries in multiple testing. There are a number of approaches available for controlling FDR. However, for functional test statistics, which are discretized into…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-03 Tomáš Mrkvička , Mari Myllymäki

When testing multiple hypothesis in a survey --e.g. many different source locations, template waveforms, and so on-- the final result consists in a set of confidence intervals, each one at a desired confidence level. But the probability…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2009-11-11 L. Baggio , G. A. Prodi

In this paper, we provide an extension of confidence sequences for settings where the variance of the data-generating distribution does not exist or is infinite. Confidence sequences furnish confidence intervals that are valid at arbitrary…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-08-08 Sujay Bhatt , Guanhua Fang , Ping Li , Gennady Samorodnitsky

Fitting high-dimensional statistical models often requires the use of non-linear parameter estimation procedures. As a consequence, it is generally impossible to obtain an exact characterization of the probability distribution of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-04-03 Adel Javanmard , Andrea Montanari

Null hypothesis significance tests and p values are widely used despite very strong arguments against their use in many contexts. Confidence intervals are often recommended as an alternative, but these do not achieve the objective of…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-02-12 Michael Wood

Confidence intervals are central to statistical inference as a tool to evaluate the type I error risk at a given significance level. We devise a method to construct confidence intervals using a single run of a permutation test. This…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-22 Niels Lundtorp Olsen

While traditional multiple testing procedures prohibit adaptive analysis choices made by users, Goeman and Solari (2011) proposed a simultaneous inference framework that allows users such flexibility while preserving high-probability bounds…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-01-05 Eugene Katsevich , Aaditya Ramdas

Conformal Prediction (CP) stands out as a robust framework for uncertainty quantification, which is crucial for ensuring the reliability of predictions. However, common CP methods heavily rely on data exchangeability, a condition often…

When searching for new physics effects, collaborations will often wish to publish upper limits and intervals with a lower confidence level than the threshold they would set to claim an excess or a discovery. However, confidence intervals…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2019-02-20 Knut Dundas Morå

This work presents a novel simulation-based approach for constructing confidence regions in parametric models, which is particularly suited for generative models and situations where limited data and conventional asymptotic approximations…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-22 Elena Bortolato , Laura Ventura

Consider panel data modelled by a linear random intercept model that includes a time-varying covariate. Suppose that we have uncertain prior information that this covariate is exogenous. We present a new confidence interval for the slope…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-09-01 Paul Kabaila , Rheanna Mainzer

In various high-energy physics contexts, such as neutrino-oscillation experiments, several assumptions underlying the typical asymptotic confidence interval construction are violated, such that one has to resort to computationally expensive…

High Energy Physics - Experiment · Physics 2024-05-09 Lukas Berns

I propose a new type of confidence interval for correct asymptotic inference after using data to select a model of interest without assuming any model is correctly specified. This hybrid confidence interval is constructed by combining…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-25 Adam McCloskey

Meta-analysis can be formulated as combining $p$-values across studies into a joint $p$-value function, from which point estimates and confidence intervals can be derived. We extend the meta-analytic estimation framework based on combined…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-21 David Kronthaler , Leonhard Held

The purpose of this paper is to propose methodologies for statistical inference of low-dimensional parameters with high-dimensional data. We focus on constructing confidence intervals for individual coefficients and linear combinations of…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-11-05 Cun-Hui Zhang , Stephanie S. Zhang
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